TD Cowen upgrades Lockheed Martin stock on strong Q2 and F-35 delivery restart

Published 24/07/2024, 11:06
TD Cowen upgrades Lockheed Martin stock on strong Q2 and F-35 delivery restart

On Wednesday, Lockheed Martin stock received a positive update from TD Cowen, with the firm's analyst moving the defense contractor's rating from Hold to Buy. The new price target set for the company is $560, an increase from the previous target of $480. This adjustment reflects a more optimistic outlook for the company's financial performance in the coming years.

The upgrade was influenced by several factors contributing to the company's promising future prospects. According to the analyst at TD Cowen, a strong second quarter, the resumption of F-35 fighter jet deliveries, and Lockheed Martin's leading position in foreign military sales and munitions contribute to a forecast of approximately 5% sales growth. Additionally, the company is expected to experience a yearly margin increase of 10 to 20 basis points and rising cash flow from 2024 to 2026.

Despite these positive indicators, Lockheed Martin's stock has not performed as well as some might expect so far this year. It has been noted that the stock has trailed behind, with a relatively low 20% net buy rating among its peers. This underperformance has been a key consideration in the decision to raise the rating and price target for the company.

The new price target of $560 is based on a 17.5 times total enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and pension (TEV/EBITDAP) ratio. This valuation metric is often used to assess the value of companies like Lockheed Martin in the aerospace and defense industry.

Lockheed Martin, listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker NYSE:LMT, is expected to benefit from these developments. The analyst's comments underscore the belief that the company's visibility into future sales and earnings is improving, which could potentially lead to a re-rating of the stock by the market.

In other recent news, Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) has reported a 9% increase in sales year-over-year, with a sequential growth of 5% in the second quarter of 2024. The company's backlog is nearly $160 billion, over twice its annual revenue, suggesting a strong foundation for future earnings. Lockheed Martin has secured over $17 billion in new orders and is committed to delivering up to 110 F-35 aircraft in the latter half of 2024.

Recent developments also indicate strategic collaborations in defense technologies in Poland, Germany, and Australia, with an emphasis on ramping up production for various defense systems. Analysts from the company have increased expectations for 2024 sales, segment operating profit, and earnings per share, with the MFC division anticipated to be the highest grower within the company for the next three to five years.

However, it's worth noting that the supply chain requires further improvement in certain areas, and challenges such as pension contributions are acknowledged. Despite these challenges, Lockheed Martin's leadership expresses confidence in the company's ability to meet demand and ramp up production for both domestic and international orders. These are the recent developments from Lockheed Martin.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the positive outlook from TD Cowen, Lockheed Martin's current financial metrics provide additional context for potential investors. With a market capitalization of $120.28 billion and a robust P/E ratio of 18.16, the company showcases a stable investment profile. Notably, the P/E ratio adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 stands at an even more attractive 17.36, indicating a slightly lower valuation against near-term earnings growth. Moreover, the company's revenue has grown by 5.28% over the last twelve months, highlighting its strong financial health and potential for further growth.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Lockheed Martin's consistent shareholder returns, with a history of raising its dividend for 21 consecutive years and maintaining dividend payments for 41 years. Additionally, the company's low price volatility and the fact that 4 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period are indicative of a positive sentiment around Lockheed Martin's stock. For investors looking for more in-depth analysis and additional tips, there are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed with a subscription. Use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, offering valuable insights for informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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