Tesla stock outlook cautious with new EU tariffs and demand challenges, says Mizuho

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/10/2024, 12:10
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On Monday, Mizuho maintained its Neutral stance on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock with a consistent price target of $230.00.

The firm addressed concerns over the potential impact of escalating trade tensions on the electric vehicle maker, noting that Tesla's import of vehicles from its Shanghai Gigafactory to Europe could face headwinds due to proposed new tariffs by the European Union. The suggested tariffs could increase from the current 10% to approximately 17.8%.

Tesla recently reported its third-quarter deliveries, which were approximately 462,000 units, aligning closely with the consensus estimate of 463,000. However, expectations are set higher for the fourth quarter of 2024, as Tesla's sales in the same period of the previous year reached about 484,000 units. This increase in sales was attributed to a surge in demand before the expiration of government subsidies in December 2023.

To stimulate demand amidst these challenges, Tesla has initiated financing offers, including around 1.99% in the United States and approximately 0% in China. These efforts come at a time when the company is facing the dual pressures of a financially stretched consumer base and an aging vehicle lineup, according to the firm's analysis.

In other recent news, Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) is presently in negotiations to acquire Arcadium, a lithium mining company. This acquisition could position Rio Tinto as the third-largest lithium producer worldwide. The potential acquisition is estimated to value Arcadium between $4 billion and $6 billion.

Meanwhile, Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) Automotive Inc has revised its full-year production forecast downward due to a parts shortage. The company now anticipates producing between 47,000 and 49,000 vehicles for the year, a reduction from the previously projected 57,000 units. Despite these challenges, Rivian remains focused on cutting costs and ramping up production of its R1 models.

In addition, Tesla Inc. is preparing to issue $783 million in bonds secured by automotive leases, a financial move to generate capital. Furthermore, Tesla's stock price target was recently raised by HSBC analyst Michael Tyndall to $124 from the previous $118. Bernstein SocGen Group maintained its Underperform rating on Tesla, whereas Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its Neutral stance.

Lastly, Tesla Inc. is set to develop four new versions of its in-house battery cells, designed to power a range of electric vehicles including the anticipated Cybertruck and a forthcoming robotaxi. The company aims to incorporate dry cathodes into Cybertruck batteries by mid-next year and plans to produce between 2,000 and 3,000 Cybertrucks weekly using this new technology.

InvestingPro Insights

As Tesla navigates the challenges highlighted in Mizuho's analysis, InvestingPro data provides additional context to the company's financial position. Tesla's market capitalization stands at an impressive $798.92 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the electric vehicle market. The company's P/E ratio of 63.93 indicates that investors are pricing in significant future growth expectations, aligning with the high sales targets mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Tesla "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "liquid assets exceed short term obligations," suggesting a strong financial foundation to weather potential headwinds from trade tensions and market pressures. This liquidity position could be crucial as Tesla implements financing offers to stimulate demand, as mentioned in the article.

However, another InvestingPro Tip notes that Tesla "suffers from weak gross profit margins," which was 17.72% in the last twelve months. This could be a concern as the company faces potential tariff increases and offers attractive financing terms to boost sales.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 21 additional tips for Tesla, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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