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UBS cuts CSX stock target to $44, maintains buy rating

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 18/04/2024, 17:40
CSX
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On Thursday, UBS adjusted its outlook for CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX), a leading transportation company. The firm's analyst revised the price target for CSX shares to $44.00 from the previous $46.00, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. This change follows CSX's first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) report, which slightly exceeded both UBS's and consensus estimates.

CSX reported a first-quarter EPS of $0.46, marginally surpassing UBS's forecast of $0.44 and the consensus estimate of $0.45. The better-than-expected results were attributed to revenues and costs that outperformed UBS's model by 0.7 percentage points and 0.5 percentage points, respectively. CSX also demonstrated an improvement in its Purchased Services and Other (PS&O) expenses, which were $23 million lower year-over-year, excluding an insurance gain from the prior year's quarter.

The company's stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times based on UBS's rolling forward estimated EPS. UBS's positive outlook for CSX is supported by anticipated solid volume growth and expected margin improvements in the second half of the year. Despite the slight reduction in the price target, UBS's stance on CSX remains optimistic.

In detailing the rationale behind the price target adjustment, UBS mentioned maintaining its estimated EPS for 2024 while modestly reducing the estimated EPS for 2025. The new 2025 EPS estimate stands at $2.19 per share, down from the prior estimate of $2.30. The price target of $44 is derived by applying a 20 times P/E multiple to the revised 2025 EPS estimate. The endorsement of a Buy rating indicates UBS's continued confidence in CSX's performance.

InvestingPro Insights

As UBS reaffirms its Buy rating on CSX Corporation, the latest data from InvestingPro provides additional context to investors considering the company's stock. CSX's management has been strategically repurchasing shares, a move that often reflects confidence in the company's future prospects (InvestingPro Tip 0). Additionally, the company has a solid track record of raising its dividend, having done so for 19 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors (InvestingPro Tip 1).

From a financial standpoint, CSX boasts a market capitalization of $68.28 billion and maintains impressive gross profit margins of 48.41% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 (InvestingPro Data). Despite a slight decline in revenue growth, the company's operating income margin stands strong at 37.28%. Moreover, CSX has demonstrated a robust return on assets of 8.6%, indicating efficient use of its assets in generating earnings.

For investors seeking further insights and analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on CSX, including its performance in oversold territory and its position as a prominent player in the Ground Transportation industry. To access these insights and more, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 13 more InvestingPro Tips available, investors can gain a comprehensive understanding of CSX's market position and future outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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