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Fear gauges signal calmer trade as coronavirus deaths slow

Published 06/04/2020, 13:57
Updated 06/04/2020, 14:00

LONDON, April 6 (Reuters) - Major stock and currency fear
gauges steadily declined over the last week from 2008 levels as
a slowdown in the number of coronavirus-related deaths calmed
investor nerves and increased appetite for risky assets.
The Cboe Volatility Index .VIX , known as Wall Street's
fear gauge, was at 44.60 points on Monday, well below its March
16 record closing high of 82.69. It was by far the biggest drop
yet seen over a fifteen-day period.
For the currencies markets, one-month gauges for implied
volatility in the euro and Japanese yen fell to their lowest in
a month, a sign that investors no longer expect wild price
swings in euro-dollar and dollar-yen for the near future.
EUR1MO=FN JPY1MO=FN
"The drop in vols (volatility) is a combination of the
recent actions by global central banks and markets kind of
settling down a bit after the recent wild swings," Gavin Friend,
senior FX strategist at NAB Group based in London, said.
But he said market volatility levels were still very high.
The relative calmness led to global stock markets recouping
some of the steep losses incurred during March, although the
MSCI World equity index .MIWD00000PUS is down 26% from record
highs hit on Feb. 19.
While the decline in volatility will offer respite to
investors, it is too soon to say markets have bottomed out after
a 34% plunge from record highs on the S&P 500 .SPX .
During the financial crisis of 2007-08, the S&P 500 took
months to establish its bottom even after the VIX plummeted.
For emerging markets, the mood was still very nervous.
Turkish lira implied volatility gauges jumped to the highest
level in a year on Monday after the lira weakened to levels last
seen in August 2018. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Vol gauges IMAGE https://reut.rs/2whYsf3
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