Alfen stock collapses 25% on weak earnings and lowered guidance

Published 13/05/2025, 10:24
Alfen stock collapses 25% on weak earnings and lowered guidance

Investing.com -- Shares of Alfen ( AMS (VIE:AMS2):ALFEN) plunged 25% following the release of its first-quarter earnings, which showed a significant decline in EBITDA and revenues, along with a reduced outlook for the fiscal year 2025.

The Dutch energy solutions company reported a 43% drop in EBITDA to €5.5 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of €7.6 million. The disappointing figures were attributed to an 11% decrease in revenues, which totaled €103.8 million, also below the consensus of €111.2 million.

The company’s lower performance was largely due to operational deleverage, heightened price pressure in the electric vehicle (EV) charging segment for home solutions, and adverse mix effects. Within its business divisions, Smart Grids, which accounts for over half of Alfen’s total revenues, saw a 1% decline. This was partly because of grid congestion that dampened private customer demand, while grid operators grappled with regulatory and installation capacity hurdles.

The EV Charging segment experienced a 27% drop in revenues, driven by increased competition in the home segment and a reduction in public charge point deliveries. The Energy Storage segment also faced an 8% revenue decline, reflecting a 40% fall in battery prices.

Looking ahead, Alfen has revised its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance downward by approximately 7%, now expecting revenues to be in the range of €430 million to €480 million, compared to the previous forecast of €445 million to €505 million. This adjustment is a response to delays in the energy transition, with the EBITDA margin projection also reduced to 5%-8% from a previously anticipated high-single-digit percentage.

The company’s updated guidance anticipates a decline in Smart Grids revenues of 0%-5%, a more pronounced 10%-15% decrease in EV Charging revenues due to stiff competition and slower electric vehicle market growth, and a potential 0%-10% drop in Energy Storage revenues, despite having secured the backlog for the year.

Alfen’s medium-term objectives have been tempered as well, with the company now expecting annual revenue growth of 5%-10% beyond fiscal year 2025. This reflects a slower pace of the energy transition, ongoing market volatility, and economic uncertainties, which are likely to lead to a low-double-digit EBITDA margin over the medium term.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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