Repsol beats Q2 estimates across all key business lines, tweaks guidance; stock up

Published 24/07/2025, 10:26
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Repsol (BME:REP) delivered stronger-than-expected second-quarter results, supported by robust performance across its Upstream, Industrial, and Customer divisions.

Adjusted net income for the quarter came in at €702 million, beating company-compiled consensus estimates by 40%. The upside was driven mainly by better results in the Upstream and Customer units, as well as lower losses in Corporate and Other operations.

Shares in Repsol rose 1.6% by 09:04 GMT following the release. 

Upstream earnings reached €439 million, 34% ahead of expectations. According to Jefferies analysts, the strong performance was helped by higher realized prices for liquids.

The Industrial division posted earnings of €99 million, surpassing forecasts by 6%, supported by stronger refining margins and Repsol Peru’s contribution.

Customer earnings stood at €198 million, 20% above consensus, with broad strength across segments—particularly in Mobility. Meanwhile, Low Carbon Generation delivered €7 million, in line with forecasts.

Cash flow from operations (CFFO) before working capital (WC) came in at €1.4 billion, well above the €1.2 billion expected, driven by operational performance.

"Repsol beats Q2 expectation, driven by a strong performance in upstream, industrial and Customer," Jefferies analysts said. 

"CFFO (pre-WC) is also well ahead of VA consensus, driving a positive organic free cash flow (FCF) generation in the quarter, although insufficient to cover buybacks and minority dividends," they added. 

For the full year, Repsol guided to upstream production of around 550,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, slightly above its previous 530,000–550,000 range and compared to the consensus estimate of 548,000 barrels. 

It revised its full-year cash flow guidance to €6.0 billion, from the previous €6.0 - €6.5 billion range, and net capital expenditure at €3.5 billion, from the previous range of €3.5 - €4.0 billlion.

Shareholder remuneration remains unchanged.

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