Rheinmetall shares gain as 2030 outlook tops consensus

Published 18/11/2025, 11:22
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Rheinmetall said on Tuesday it expects to lift annual revenue to about 50 billion euros by 2030—five times its 2024 level of 9.8 billion euros. The target places the company at the upper end of its previous 40–50 billion-euro range and stands roughly 29% above current consensus, according to Jefferies.

The company said that the target includes planned M&A activity but does not factor in any potential contract wins in the U.S.

Shares in the European arms manufacturer rose 3.1% by 10:17 GMT.

Management also raised its profitability ambitions, guiding for an operating margin above 20%. This implies at least 10 billion euros of adjusted EBIT by the end of the decade, Jefferies analyst Chloe Lemarie said.

The group increased its cash-conversion goal as well. Rheinmetall now aims for a rate above 50% on a three-year rolling basis, up from a prior target of more than 40%.

This “would imply around €5bn of free cash flow (FCF) in 2030, 22% ahead of consensus, driven by the hike in adj. EBIT,” Lemarie noted.

“We see this as a strong guidance, 30% ahead of consensus, with more details to be released on the M&A part of the guide which seems implied around €5bn implying c. 15% stronger organic growth vs. cons,” she wrote.

By division, the 2030 plan calls for 14–16 billion euros of sales in Weapon & Ammunition with margins of 29–31%; 13–15 billion euros in Vehicle Systems with 13–15% margins; 8–10 billion euros in Digital with 17–19% margins; 3–4 billion euros in Air Defence with 24–26% margins; and about 5 billion euros in Naval with margins above 15%.

Ammunition output targets remain unchanged at 1.1 million units of 155mm shells in 2027, rising to around 1.5 million by 2030.

The company kept its 2025 outlook intact, expecting 25–30% sales growth, including 35–40% growth in defence and flat civil revenue.

Operating margin guidance remains about 15.5%, with cash conversion above 40%. Rheinmetall still sees its order backlog climbing to roughly 80 billion euros this year.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.