Watches of Switzerland jumps after affirming H1 outlook, playing down tariff risks

Published 03/09/2025, 08:32

Investing.com -- Watches of Switzerland said it remains on track to deliver a good first half (H1) of fiscal 2026 (FY26) in line with expectations, citing strong trading in the 18 weeks to August 31, 2025.

The company’s shares jumped around 7% after the update.

The luxury retailer highlighted “consistently strong trading throughout the period, particularly in the U.S. despite the announcement of increased tariffs on Swiss imports.”

It added that stability in the U.K. luxury watch and jewellery markets seen in the prior half year has continued, supporting year-on-year growth.

Registration of Interest lists are also expanding in both markets, the company said. 

Looking ahead, management said performance is in line with guidance issued in July. It does not expect “any material impact from the U.S. tariffs in H1 FY26 as brand partners have increased inventories,” citing a 45% jump in Swiss watch exports in July versus last year.

“WOSG today confirms a good H1 to date, in line with the group’s FY guidance,” Jefferies analyst James Grzinic said. “Whether the augmented 39% U.S. tariffs result in additional margin attrition for retailers once inventory cover runs out later in H2 will be a debate.”

The broker slightly trimmed its estimates and the price target to 440p from 490p “to reflect the incremental tariff imponderables.”

Separately, Deutsche Bank analyst Alison Lygo said the market is overstating the downside risk to Watches of Switzerland’s earnings from U.S. import tariffs.

She noted that the real risk lies in demand for non supply-constrained brands in the U.S., which make up only about 12% of the group’s gross profit pool this year. “This limits the downside risk,” she wrote.

Even under a harsher scenario of 15% price hikes with volumes down 30% in FY27 and further margin pressure, Lygo pointed out that the shares would still be trading on roughly 9x earnings versus the 11x multiple underpinning her target price.

RBC Capital Markets analyst Piral Dadhania echoed the optimistic view, saying the WOSG’s trading statement “is reassuring, and should underpin 1H26E expectations, particularly in the context of softer investor sentiment.”

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.