Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-U.S. dollar struggles as traders price in more Fed cuts

Published 05/03/2020, 11:45
Updated 05/03/2020, 11:55
© Reuters.  FOREX-U.S. dollar struggles as traders price in more Fed cuts

* Safe-haven Japanese yen hits five-month high vs dollar

* Canadian dollar weakens as BoC leaves room for more cuts

* Sterling rises as BoE resists pressure of to cut rates

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates prices, adds chart)

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, March 5 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell on Thursday

amid expectations of the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates

further, after slashing them by 50 basis points this week in an

emergency move to shield the economy from the effects of

coronavirus.

The Fed had mentioned the epidemic 48 times in its latest

Beige Book report, suggesting policymakers were highly concerned

about the economic damage of the disease.

"The reports in the Beige Book are likely to have been

important for the Fed's inter-meeting rate cut," said Olle

Holmgren, chief strategist at SEB.

Money markets were pricing in another 25 bps cut from the

current 1% to 1.25% range at the next Fed meeting on March 18-19

and a 50 bps cut by April. FEDWATCH=

As a result, the dollar remained close to the two-month low

of 1.1214 it reached against the euro on Tuesday, last trading

0.4% lower at 1.1175 EUR=EBS . The euro also benefited from

traders unwinding their carry trade positions, analysts said.

"Sharper euro falls could emerge quickly" if the coronavirus

spreads further in the euro zone, said Lee Hardman, currency

analyst at MUFG. "Further euro depreciation may follow despite

its outperformance of late."

Versus the safe-haven Japanese yen, the dollar's weakness

was more pronounced. Dollar-yen was last down 0.7% at 106.81

JPY=EBS , a five-month low.

Low U.S. yields and the prospect of even more monetary

easing added pressure to the dollar, though data showing U.S.

services activity at a one-year high had pushed it higher

against the euro in Asian trading.

Former Vice President Joe Biden's victories in the

Democratic primaries also helped the dollar. Biden is considered

less likely to raise taxes and impose new regulations than rival

Bernie Sanders. But the coronavirus outbreak weighed more strongly on the

dollar and other major currencies. Mainland China reported a

rise in new infections on Thursday, deaths are mounting

globally, Italy has closed its schools and California has

declared a state of emergency as cases there increase.

The Canadian dollar was down 0.1% against the U.S. dollar at

1.3399 CAD=D3 , after the Bank of Canada joined the Fed in

cutting rates by 50 bps - its largest cut in 10 years - and

leaving the door open to further easing. Falling oil prices also

put pressure on the loonie.

The Bank of England is leaving rates unchanged for now, and

sterling rose to a one-week high of $1.2931 GBP=D3 and a

three-day high versus the euro of 86.22 pence EURGBP=D3 .

Money markets, however, are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut by

the BoE on March 26, incoming Governor Andrew Bailey's first

policy meeting.

Traders will be watching later in the day the release of

initial jobless claims and factory orders in the U.S. Both data

sets are expected to be weaker.

Major currencies vs dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/39l3Hc2

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.