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Investing.com -- Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler expressed concern on Thursday about the impact of changing trade policies and a potential decrease in investor interest in U.S. dollar assets. She emphasized the importance of understanding how a company’s financial health intersects with its international trade exposure, particularly in the current uncertain global economic landscape.
Kugler did not provide any future predictions about monetary policy or the economic outlook during her speech at a central bank conference. Her comments come in the midst of an ongoing trade war initiated by President Donald Trump, which has unsettled financial markets and increased economic outlook risks.
The president’s rapidly changing attempts to significantly raise import taxes to encourage a resurgence of domestic manufacturing suffered a significant setback on Monday. A court decision invalidated a large portion of the current tariff schedule.
Many Fed officials and private sector economists believe that the tariffs will likely cause a temporary increase in inflation, while simultaneously increasing unemployment and slowing growth. The president’s trade policy has also caused significant volatility in global financial markets and seems to be driving a shift away from dollar-denominated assets. This could have significant implications for the future of the American economy.
Kugler highlighted her monitoring of the financial stability implications of a potential decrease in the attractiveness of U.S. financial assets during flight-to-safety events. Recent market activity has shown a reduced interest in U.S. assets as safe havens during periods of stress.
Kugler stressed the importance of examining how potential changes in the role of U.S. financial assets as a safe haven might affect financial stability both domestically and internationally.
Her comments followed the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 6-7. During the meeting, some officials expressed concern about how investors approached U.S. assets during the market difficulties in April, as government bond yields increased while the dollar, stocks, and other assets lost value. The minutes noted that a lasting change in these correlations or a decrease in the perceived safe-haven status of U.S. assets could have long-term implications for the economy.