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FOREX-Pound pauses for breath amid Brexit limbo, dollar steadies

Published 24/10/2019, 04:23
© Reuters.  FOREX-Pound pauses for breath amid Brexit limbo, dollar steadies
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* Pound seen rangebound until Brexit uncertainty resolved

* Dollar steady as trade optimism wavers

* Some traders looking to U.S. VP Pence's speech

By Tom Westbrook

HONG KONG, Oct 24 (Reuters) - The British pound stabilised

on Thursday as the Brexit project entered a fresh holding

pattern, while the dollar held firm as traders took a breather

from Sino-U.S. trade headlines.

Currency markets are also sticking to tight ranges ahead of

key central bank meetings this week and next with the euro zone,

Japan and United States due to review policy.

Sterling GBP=D3 held at $1.2911 after Britain's parliament

backed a withdrawal deal, but rejected the government's tight

timetable, while European Union members delayed deciding whether

to grant a three-month extension to the Oct. 31 leaving date.

The pound has soared 6% in two weeks of volatile trade since

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson flagged and then clinched a

deal with the EU on the terms of Britain's exit from the bloc.

"Sterling remains at the centre of the focus for forex

markets," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at

brokerage CMC Markets in Sydney.

"It looks like traders are weighing up the current

parliamentary shenanigans versus the seeming inevitability of a

Brexit," he said.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia analysts reckon the pound

will stay rangebound between $1.3000 and $1.2800 until things

become clearer.

European Council President Donald Tusk said he recommended

the leaders of the EU's 27 other member states back a delay,

with senior EU diplomats saying a three-month delay is most

likely. Other majors were stable without much news to move the

greenback.

"With trade negotiations now moving out of the headlines,

there doesn't seem much to spur the dollar in either direction,"

CMC Market's McCarthy said.

Positive comments from U.S. and Chinese leaders earlier in

the week about progress negotiating a truce in a their trade

dispute had rallied trade-exposed currencies.

That has begun to run out of steam as concerns about the

health of the U.S. economy returned to the fore.

Tech industry bellwether Texas Instruments TXN.O posted a

disappointing earnings outlook on Tuesday, followed overnight by

signs of a slowdown in Microsoft Corp's MSFT.O cloud computing

division. Traders also await U.S. Vice President Mike Pence's speech

later in the day, after his strong criticism of China in a

speech in October last year escalated bilateral tensions and

triggered a global share selloff.

For now, the dollar was steady in Asian trade, gaining

marginally against the Australian and New Zealand dollars while

slipping marginally against the euro and Japanese yen.

Against a basket of currencies .DXY the dollar was flat at

97.459.

It stood at 108.65 yen JPY= , and drifted higher from a

five-week low touched against the kiwi on Tuesday, with the New

Zealand dollar buying $0.6420 NZD=D3 . The Australian dollar

bought $0.6851 AUD=D3 .

The Chinese yuan was flat at 7.0623 in offshore trade

CNH= .

The euro held at $1.1132 with traders looking to euro zone

manufacturing and services data and the outcome of a European

Central Bank meeting, both due later on Thursday.

"Small improvements across France, Germany and pan-Eurozone

and for both manufacturing, services and composite readings are

the consensus expectation," National Australia Bank's Head of FX

Strategy, Ray Attrill, said in a note.

"EUR will be sensitive to deviations one side or the other

of this."

The ECB is all but certain to leave policy unchanged on

Thursday, six weeks after its last meeting at which it launched

new asset purchases, a rate cut and a pledge to open the money

taps further if needed. Crypto-currency bitcoin BTC=BTSP plunged as far as 11%

overnight to a 5-month low of $7,258.00 after Facebook CEO Mark

Zuckerberg sounded downbeat about the prospect of Facebook's

crypto project, Libra. Also weighing on the digital currency was the announcement

from Google that it has achieved a breakthrough in research on a

quantum computer.

If fully developed, a vast computing power of quantum

computer is expected to obliterate existing cryptographic

technologies.

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