How are energy investors positioned?
Investing.com -- Warnings about defaults are accumulating in the $1.7 trillion private credit market, with some analysts expressing concern about hidden risks in this popular Wall Street investment vehicle, noted a report from Bloomberg, citing analysts at JPMorgan.
While private credit default definitions vary, current default rates range between 2% and 3%. When including non-accrual loans—those expected to generate losses—this rate increases to 5.4%, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) data from KBRA DLD. This adjusted rate aligns closely with defaults seen in the broadly syndicated loan market.
Despite returns exceeding 8%, private credit funds are attracting less investment than before. Fundraising has declined to $70 billion through July 22, representing just 10% of alternative asset inflows—the lowest proportion since at least 2015, JPMorgan reports.
"Inflows into the asset class meant too much capital was committed far too quickly," JPMorgan analysts led by Stephen Dulake wrote in an August report. "Underwriting corners were surely cut; and losses will be outsized come the downturn."
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