TSX runs higher on rate cut expectations
Investing.com -- Citi analysts highlighted the strengthening case for a policy rate cut by the central bank, citing the Taiwanese dollar (TWD) appreciation and recent tariff shocks against a backdrop of stable inflation rates.
The analysts noted that the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed core inflation at approximately 1.7% year-over-year and headline inflation around 2%, indicating that prices are expected to remain steady in the near term.
According to Citi, softer inflation expectations may be influenced by the impact of lower oil prices and the appreciation of the TWD. They pointed out that the combination of tariffs and TWD strength is a double blow to Taiwan’s exporters, emphasizing the urgent need for policy support, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
The analysts at Citi believe that the economic circumstances bolster their projection of a 25 basis points cut in the policy rate at the upcoming June Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. They suggest that while reductions in the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) could be considered later, it would be prudent to delay such measures to address real estate leverage more effectively.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.