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FOREX-Dollar rises as U.S.-China relations worsen over Hong Kong and tariffs

Published 20/11/2019, 09:49
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar rises as U.S.-China relations worsen over Hong Kong and tariffs
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Elizabeth Howcroft

Nov 20 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Wednesday and

trade-exposed currencies fell after the U.S. president

threatened a trade war escalation and China condemned a U.S.

senate measure backing pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong.

China's yuan slipped to a new two-week low in overnight

trading CNH=D3 after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to

raise new tariffs on Chinese imports if ongoing trade

negotiations fail. China condemned the U.S. legislation aimed at protecting

human rights in Hong Kong, saying that the U.S. should stop

interfering. After four days of falling, the dollar was up 0.1% against

both the euro EUR=EBS and a basket of currencies. .DXY

"Today the main focus is the trade talks between China and

the U.S. and we are seeing risk aversion," said Piotr Matys,

currency strategist at Rabobank.

Matys said that the U.S. senate's bill in support of Hong

Kong could complicate progress towards a preliminary trade deal.

Markets had hoped that a partial trade deal to end the

16-month U.S.-China trade war could be signed at a summit in

Chile, which was scheduled for mid-November. The summit was

cancelled, leaving the outlook for a deal unclear.

Adam Cole, chief currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets

said that a preliminary "phase one" trade deal could be reached

by the end of the year.

"The prospect of a broader more all-encompassing deal will

drag on well into next year," he added.

"The market is worrying (about) this sort of exogenous shock

to the process by the build-up of tension in Hong Kong - I

ultimately doubt that either side will allow that to delay the

process," Cole said.

The Canadian dollar fell against the U.S. dollar to its

lowest since Oct. 11 after a speech by the Bank of Canada's

senior deputy governor boosted the perceived likelihood of a

rate cut. CAD=D3 Trade-exposed currencies took a hit from the worsening

U.S.-China relations. The Australian and New Zealand dollars

were both down 0.4% versus the U.S. dollar AUD=D3 , NZD=D3 .

The Norwegian crown was down 0.9% versus the dollar NOK=D3

and 0.7% versus the euro EURNOK=D3 .

The Swedish crown tracked these losses, but to a lesser

extent, down 0.4% versus the dollar SEK=D3 and 0.7% versus the

euro EURSEK=D3 .

Demand for safe-have currencies was relatively unchanged,

with the Japanese yen up around 0.1% against the dollar

JPY=EBS and the Swiss franc flat around 0.9905 CHF=EBS .

Minutes from the U.S. federal reserve's FOMC meeting in

October are due at 19.00 GMT. Analysts expect little impact.

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