FOREX-Asian trade-related currencies strengthen after China data

Published 19/10/2020, 08:43
© Reuters.
DX
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* The Chinese yuan parked near 1-1/2-year high versus dollar
* Nordic currencies inch higher too, led by Nokkie
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Olga Cotaga
LONDON, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Asia's trade-exposed currencies
held firm on Monday as data showed China's economic rebound from
the pandemic accelerated in the third quarter, with the yuan
staying close to its recent 1-1/2-year high.
China's gross domestic product grew 4.9% in July-September
from a year earlier, slower than analysts' forecast but faster
than the second quarter and helped by strong gains in industrial
output and an acceleration in retail sales. The yuan and the Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped
from session highs after the Chinese GDP headline miss, but then
rebounded on the view that consumption data from China was a
harbinger of better growth in the current quarter.
The Chinese currency was last flat at 6.6935 against the
U.S. dollar in the offshore market CNY=EBS , close to 6.6785
which it reached on Oct. 9, its strongest since April 2019.
The yuan benefited in the last few months from hopes of a
Joe Biden win in the U.S. presidential election, as he is seen
as less of a threat to U.S.-China relations.
The Australian dollar was 0.3% higher at $0.7098 AUD=D3
and the New Zealand dollar rose 0.4% to $0.6627 NZD=D3 .
"The renminbi, other Asian and commodity-related currencies
should continue to benefit," said Lee Hardman, currency analyst
at MUFG, noting that the spread of COVID-19 in Asia remains more
contained than in the rest of the world and that points to "a
continuation of cyclical outperformance" there.
The dollar was broadly stable elsewhere, supported by
investor worries about rising coronavirus cases, the looming
U.S. election and fading prospects of any fiscal stimulus before
the election.
An index tracking the greenback against a basket of
currencies was last steady at 93.68 =USD , close to the top of
the last three months' trading range.
"The dollar can remain elevated this week," said
Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Kim Mundy. "A lack of
fiscal stimulus and rising coronavirus infections raise concerns
about the global economic outlook."
Euro/dollar was also neutral at $1.1714 EUR=EBS .
Faint hopes that Democrats and the White House could agree
on a new spending programme was tempered by the opposition of
Senate Republicans and as investors focused on what the election
outcome means for stimulus later.
Fifteen days out from election day, Biden leads Trump by
about 10 points in national polls, and has a narrow lead in
several battleground states. The pair are due to face off in a
final debate on Thursday.
Elsewhere, the Nordic currencies strengthened, with the
Norwegian crown leading the way. The crown was up 0.5% versus
the U.S. dollar at 9.3430 NOK=D3 and by the same amount versus
the euro at 10.9395 EURNOK=D3 .
The British pound also rose by 0.4% versus the euro to 90.38
pence, on hopes the deadlock in Brexit talks can be broken.
Versus the dollar, sterling rose 0.3% at $1.2955 GBP=D3 .


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