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FOREX-China virus anxiety underpins safe-haven currencies

Published 30/01/2020, 01:51
FOREX-China virus anxiety underpins safe-haven currencies
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* Dollar, yen, Swiss franc in demand as safe-havens

* Aussie flirts with 3-1/2-month low, euro near 2-month low

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Jan 30 (Reuters) - The dollar held near a two-month

high against a basket of major currencies while the Australian

dollar and the yuan were under pressure on Thursday as investors

tried to shield themselves from assets that could be hit by

China's virus epidemic.

The U.S. Federal Reserve, while keeping interest rates on

hold as expected on Wednesday, also cited the virus as a source

of uncertainty for the economic outlook. As the new pneumonia-like disease spread quickly in China

and many of its trade partners in Asia and Europe, the dollar is

emerging as an ultimate safe-haven destination.

The dollar is the best performing currency among G10

currencies so far this month, with the dollar index =USD

rising 1.6% in January to hit a two-month high.

It last stood at 98.033, flat on the day but not far from

Wednesday's two-month high of 98.037.

The yen and the Swiss franc, traditional safe-haven

currencies, ranked a close second and third.

The yen traded at 109.06 yen per dollar JPY= , having

gained 0.14% the previous day. The Japanese currency was down

0.3% against the dollar so far this month.

The Swiss franc CHF= changed hands at 0.9729 franc per

dollar.

"The overall market is neither clear-cut risk-on nor

risk-off. But in the currency market, the dollar, the yen and

the Swiss franc are clearly favoured now," said Minori Uchida,

chief currency analyst at MUFG Bank.

"While it is highly uncertain how much the disease will

spread and how hard it will hit the economy, downgrades to the

Chinese economy looks inevitable."

China's economic growth may drop to 5% or even lower due to

the coronavirus outbreak, possibly pushing policymakers into

introduce more stimulus measures, a government economist said in

remarks published on Wednesday. That would deal a severe blow to other economies that rely

heavily to Chinese demand.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.6751 AUD=D4 , having hit a

3-1/2-month low of $0.67355 in the previous session.

The euro stood at $1.1009 EUR= , having touched a two-month

low of $1.0992 in U.S. trade on Wednesday.

The offshore yuan steadied for now, trading at 6.9730 yuan

per dollar CNH= , above the one-month low of 6.9900 touched on

Monday.

Elsewhere, sterling traded unchanged at $1.3016 GBP=D4

ahead of the Bank of England's policy decision later in the day.

Though expectations of a rate cut have substantially dropped

after some robust data last week, they still remain almost 50%,

suggesting the rate decision is likely to move the pound

whichever way the BoE will go.

The European Parliament gave final approval to Britain's

divorce from the European Union on Wednesday, paving the way for

the country to quit the bloc on Friday after nearly half a

century and delivering a major setback for European integration.

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