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FOREX-Dollar cedes gains as U.S. virus spread deepens pandemic fear

Published 27/02/2020, 07:13
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar cedes gains as U.S. virus spread deepens pandemic fear
USD/KRW
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Tracking the coronavirus: https://tmsnrt.rs/3aIRuz7

* Some worry U.S. has underestimated coronavirus

* Virus now spreading more quickly outside of China

* Risk aversion to remain a diver of currency markets

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Feb 27 (Reuters) - The dollar fell against the yen

and the Swiss franc on Thursday after the first coronavirus

infection of unknown origin was confirmed in the United States,

adding to fears of a pandemic.

The dollar also fell from a three-month high versus the

pound and declined versus the euro as 10-year U.S. Treasury

yields crashed to a record low as concerns grew over whether the

world's largest economy was prepared for the epidemic.

Other currencies were locked in narrow ranges as traders

nervously monitor the global spread of the coronavirus that

emerged in China late last year.

New infections of the virus are now growing faster outside

of China than within, stoking fears that the economic impact of

travel curbs, supply chain disruptions, and falling demand might

be far greater than previously anticipated.

"The dollar doesn't look so safe if we are dealing with the

spread of the virus in the United States," said Yukio Ishizuki,

foreign exchange strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

"The are some concerns that the U.S. government is

underestimating the coronavirus."

The dollar fell 0.35% to 110.06 yen JPY=EBS , extending a

pullback from a 10-month high of 112.23 yen reached on Feb. 20.

The dollar also fell 0.35% to 0.9735 Swiss franc, a currency

that is traditionally sought as a safe haven.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR slumped

to a record low of 1.2970% in Asia on Thursday.

Treasuries have rallied recently, which traders initially

attributed to safe-haven demand, but some investors now say

these purchases are tied more to expectations for monetary

easing as the global economy struggles.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned on

Wednesday of the possibility of community spread after

confirming a coronavirus infection in someone who had not

travelled abroad or been exposed to a known carrier of the

virus, a first for the country.

That brought the total number of cases in the United States

to 15, according to the CDC, which is still a tiny fraction of

the cases in China. Investors in the dollar are also focused on the release of

U.S. durable goods orders and gross domestic product data later

on Thursday, which could test the greenback if the numbers

disappoint expectations.

Efforts to contain the outbreak have paralysed large swathes

of China's economy, which are only slowly returning to normal.

There are worries that other countries could face the same

problem as the virus spreads around the world.

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS held steady at

7.0184 against the dollar, getting some reprieve as the focus of

the virus shifted to rising infections beyond China.

Chinese officials said the number of new deaths from the

virus fell to the lowest since Jan. 28, but there is still a

degree of uncertainty about the human toll from the epidemic in

China. Elsewhere in currency markets, South Korea's won KRW= fell

0.4% to 1,217.45 per dollar after an increase in coronavirus

infections in the country.

South Korea's central bank kept its key interest rate

unchanged on Thursday, defying expectations for a rate cut.

South Korea has emerged as a global hot spot for the virus, and

some investors say rate cuts are unavoidable.

The pound GBP=D3 rose 0.27% to $1.2933. Sterling hovered

near a two-week low versus the euro, at 84.46 pence per euro

EURGBP=D3 .

The new round of talks between Britain and the EU is

scheduled to start on Monday, but comments from both sides

suggest their views on the scope of a fee-trade agreement differ

greatly. The euro EUR=D3 rose 0.24% to $1.0902 as traders pondered

how European officials would respond to a weakening economic

outlook.

Germany's government is considering suspending strict rules

on the amount of debt it can raise, the finance ministry said on

Wednesday, as it faces growing pressure to kick-start a sluggish

economy by spending more. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Jacqueline Wong)

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