FOREX-Dollar climbs as weak German data dents euro

Published 18/02/2020, 21:05
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar climbs as weak German data dents euro
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* Euro falls to near 3-year low, slips below key $1.08 level

* Norway's crown plummets to 19-year low vs dollar

(Updates to U.S. afternoon, adds graphic on dollar positions)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, Feb 18 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Tuesday to

its highest in nearly three years against the euro, which was

pressured by a German survey showing slumping investor

confidence in Europe's largest economy.

The euro was 0.38% lower against the dollar at $1.0793, its

first fall below the $1.08 level since April 2017.

On Tuesday, Germany's ZEW research institute said in its

monthly survey that investors' mood deteriorated far more than

expected in February, on worries the coronavirus would dampen

world trade. The survey added to expectations the German economy will

lose more momentum in the first half as slumping exports keep

manufacturers mired in a recession.

"The scale of the erosion in confidence potentially sets the

stage from similarly poor results Friday when Germany and the

euro zone issue preliminary PMI surveys," said Joe Manimbo,

senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in

Washington.

Some economists fear the coronavirus, which started in China

and is impacting both the global supply chain and Chinese

demand, could result in weaker German growth in the first

quarter.

The euro has lost around 3.7% of its value against the U.S.

dollar this year, its worst year-to-date performance in five

years.

Poor euro area data has boosted speculation that monetary

policy will remain looser for longer than previously expected.

The U.S. economy has proved more resilient than the rest of

the world, keeping the dollar at 4-1/2 month highs against a

basket of currencies =USD . Other safe-haven assets such as the

Swiss franc and Japanese yen have also benefited.

"Only when the virus issue dies down and the impact from all

the stimulus around the world starts to become apparent, will we

see downward pressure on the USD," Brad Bechtel, managing

director, Jefferies in New York, said in a note.

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to issue

minutes from its Jan. 28-29 meeting on Wednesday.

Speculators increased their net long dollar position in the

latest week, according to calculations by Reuters and U.S.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

offshore-traded yuan fell 0.3% to an eight-day low

of 7.0109 against the dollar CNH= .

Norway's crown, closely correlated with global growth and

trade, plunged to a 19-year low of 9.3378 against the U.S.

dollar. NOK=D3 , down 0.8% on the day.

Against the greenback, the Australian dollar AUD= was 0.4%

lower, while the New Zealand dollar NZD= fell 0.78%. The

risk-sensitive currencies were jolted lower as a production

warning from Apple AAPL.O highlighted the mounting economic

costs of the coronavirus and spooked investors across Asia.

Sterling was little changed on the day at $1.2997 after

Britain's new finance minister said he would deliver the budget

as planned in three weeks, while a broadly weaker euro also

supported the British currency.

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Graphic: U.S. dollar net speculative position https://tmsnrt.rs/2vMTCpf

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