FOREX-Dollar down versus euro, pound as trade talks continue

Published 15/11/2019, 16:30
Updated 15/11/2019, 16:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar down versus euro, pound as trade talks continue

(New throughout; updates dateline, previous LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Nov 15 (Reuters) - The dollar was lower on Friday

morning in the North American session as some optimism for the

ongoing trade talks with China bolstered trade-linked currencies

like the euro and the British pound.

Hopes that the United States and China may soon end their

trade war after White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said a

deal was "getting close" lifted trade-exposed currencies on

Friday at the expense of safe-haven assets such as the Japanese

yen. Given the lack of concrete detail in Kudlow's comments,

however, markets mostly stayed cautious. "To be blunt, such rhetoric is more or less the same as

Steven Mnuchin (who) said months ago that a deal was '99%

done'," Commerzbank analysts wrote in a note to clients, though

they acknowledged the comments had benefited sentiment.

They said the comments could not be taken seriously until

the trade documents could be assessed and a deal was signed.

The dollar fell 0.26% against the euro EUR= and 0.24%

against the British pound GBP= , at $1.105 and $1.291

respectively. It rose 0.3% versus the yen JPY= , last at

108.71, suggesting an end to the past week's dollar-yen slump

may be in sight. The Swiss franc also weakened

0.16% versus the dollar CHF= .

But bleak Chinese data earlier in the week were still

bolstering hopes for a deal, some analysts argued.

"The belief is that perhaps, even though the numbers in the

United States are barely expansionary ... the fact that China is

slowing down means that there is perhaps economic leverage on

the U.S. side and that China will sign on to whatever," said

Juan Perez, senior foreign exchange trader and strategist at

Tempus Inc.

On Friday, the Commerce Department reported that U.S. retail

sales rebounded in October, but consumers cut back on purchases

of big-ticket household items and clothing, raising questions

about the consumer strength currently underpinning the U.S.

economy. That may have also contributed to the rise in the euro and

the pound.

"When we were looking at second-quarter numbers for Europe

and the United Kingdom, those numbers were very worrisome, but

that now we're looking at the third-quarter numbers, their

progress has been a little bit better and their pace has been at

expectation or beyond, whereas the United States has actually

slowed down," said Perez.

"The dollar is finally today reacting to those numbers and

saying the economic pace of the United States is not that

great."

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