FOREX-Dollar slips to 4-month low as Fed holds rates, nixes hike hopes

Published 11/12/2019, 21:51
Updated 11/12/2019, 21:54
FOREX-Dollar slips to 4-month low as Fed holds rates, nixes hike hopes
USD/HKD
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DXY
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* Fed sees moderate economic growth next year

* Traders await ECB meetings, trade deadline

* HK dlr hits highest since July as carry trades unwind

* Sterling rises after latest UK election poll

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments

to show reaction to Fed decision)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, Dec 11 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell on

Wednesday to a four-month low against a basket of currencies

after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and Fed

Chair Jerome Powell said a significant, persistent inflation

rise would be needed to hike rates.

The Fed left the benchmark overnight lending rate in its

1.50% to 1.75% target range, and the U.S. central bank's

rate-setting committee said after its two-day policy meeting

that it expects moderate economic growth and low unemployment

through next year's presidential election. "A Fed determined to maintain an accommodative financial

environment seems to finally be playing against the greenback,"

said Juan Perez, senior currency trader with Tempus, Inc. in

Washington.

Rate increases are less needed than in the mid- 1990's

rate-cut cycle, Powell told a news conference.

"The bar to a rate hike remains higher than the bar to

lowering rates further, but overall you are looking at a Fed

that is fairly confident about where the economy is headed and

expects inflation to remain under pressure for a prolonged

period of time," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at

Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.

The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback

against six other major currencies, was 0.33% lower at 97.095,

its lowest since Aug. 9.

"Market participants are going to keep an eye out for the

European Central Bank meeting tomorrow, but mostly will remain

focused on what happens on Saturday with respect to U.S.-China

trade negotiations," Schamotta said.

U.S. President Donald Trump has set Dec. 15 as the date to

impose tariffs on nearly $160 billion in Chinese consumer goods.

Washington is laying the groundwork to delay tariffs, a person

briefed on the situation told Reuters, although there is no

clarity on what the decision will be. "If we do see a delay in tariffs, that clears the way for

other currencies to rise relative to the dollar," Schamotta

said.

The euro was 0.4% higher ahead of new ECB boss Christine

Lagarde's first policy meeting on Thursday. Investors will

scrutinize her every word. Elsewhere, Sweden's crown jumped to a more than four-month

high against the dollar after strong inflation data made it

highly likely the country would end negative interest rates. The

dollar was 1.16% lower against the Swedish crown. In another notable move, the Hong Kong dollar rallied to its

strongest level since July 24, which analysts attributed to the

unwinding of bets previously profiting from "carry trades" -

borrowing with low interest rates in Hong Kong to purchase U.S.

dollar-denominated assets. The greenback was 0.24% lower against the Hong Kong dollar.

HKD= . Hong Kong's currency is pegged to the greenback at a

tight range of 7.75-7.85 per dollar and the city's monetary

policy moves lock-step with the United States.

The pound was 0.37% higher in thin trading on the eve of

Britain's general election, shrugging off a poll that showed the

ruling Conservative Party might fail to win a majority.

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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