FOREX-Dollar steadies, but more losses seen on post-election policy outlook

Published 06/11/2020, 03:52
Updated 06/11/2020, 03:54
© Reuters.
DX
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
* Dollar falls broadly as yields fall, equities rally
* Currencies price in low chance of big U.S. stimulus
* Australian dollar falls after RBA statement

By Stanley White
TOKYO, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied against many
currencies on Friday, but traders say more losses are likely as
a contentious U.S. presidential election diminished hopes for
large stimulus to support the economy any time soon.
Investors are betting that Democrat Joe Biden will become
the next president but Republicans will retain control of the
Senate, which will make it difficult for the Democrats to pass
the larger fiscal spending they have been pushing.
Biden maintains an edge over President Donald Trump, but a
few important states are still counting votes and Trump is
mounting legal challenges to vote counts, so there is still a
high degree of uncertainty. A large decline in long-term Treasury yields due to
expectations for less fiscal spending, combined with a rally in
equities and other risk assets, has placed the dollar under
consistent selling pressure that is likely to continue.
"There is a green light for the resumption of dollar
selling, reflecting past declines in real interest rates," said
Ray Attrill, head of foreign exchange strategy at National
Australia Bank in Sydney.
"There's an argument that the U.S. Federal Reserve will have
to backstop risk assets. The pandemic is still trending in the
wrong direction."
The dollar traded at 103.61 yen JPY=D3 in Asia on Friday,
close to an eight-month low.
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga has vowed to work
closely with overseas authorities to keep currency moves stable,
because a strong yen is widely viewed as a threat to Japan's
economy. Against the euro EUR=EBS , the dollar traded at $1.1818
after falling 0.87% in the previous session.
The British pound GBP=D3 traded at $1.3128, holding onto a
hefty 1.23% gain from Thursday.
The dollar index =USD against a basket of six major
currencies stood at 92.668, close to a two-week low.
For the week, the dollar index was down 1.5%, on course for
its biggest drop in almost four months.
Voting tallies from several U.S. states continued to trickle
in during the Asian session, but currencies showed little
reaction because the declaration of an outright winner could
take several more days or even weeks, some traders said.
Investors also await the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls
later on Friday, which is forecast to show a slight slowdown in
job creation.
Worries about the U.S. economy are growing, which is a
reason to expect declines in the dollar to continue into next
year, some analysts say.
The rise in new coronavirus cases to record levels in
several states could also curb U.S. economic activity.
The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS fell slightly to 6.6366 per
dollar but still remained close to its more than two-year high
reached on Thursday.
Many investors expect a Biden administration will slightly
scale back Trump's trade war with China, which should benefit
the yuan.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUD=D3 fell against the
greenback in Asian trading after the country's central bank said
it is prepared to expand bond purchases if needed to support the
economy. The declines in the Aussie also dragged the New Zealand
dollar NZD=D3 lower.

========================================================
Currency bid prices at 11:27AM (0227 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.1818 $1.1828 -0.08% +5.42% +1.1848 +1.1796
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 103.6100 103.5500 +0.06% -4.61% +103.7500 +103.4950
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 122.45 122.40 +0.04% +0.41% +122.6700 +122.3000
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9040 0.9042 -0.01% -6.57% +0.9056 +0.9030
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.3128 1.3153 -0.16% -0.99% +1.3156 +1.3114
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.3075 1.3046 +0.18% +0.60% +1.3085 +1.3038
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7262 0.7285 -0.30% +3.52% +0.7283 +0.7250
NZ NZD=D3 0.6778 0.6774 +0.07% +0.74% +0.6786 +0.6756
Dollar/Dollar


All spots FX=
Tokyo spots AFX=
Europe spots EFX=
Volatilities FXVOL=
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

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