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FOREX-Euro drops to two-week low against the dollar

Published 16/08/2019, 09:07
FOREX-Euro drops to two-week low against the dollar
EUR/USD
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CBKG
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USD/CNY
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DXY
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USD/CNH
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US2US10=RR
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* Appetite for safe-haven currencies recedes

* Dollar maintains gains

* China's central bank fixes yuan lower than expected

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga and Stanley White

LONDON, Aug 16 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a two-week low

on Friday against the dollar, which extended the gains it made

the day before after U.S. retail sales data came out better than

expected .

The dollar was on course to end the week up against the

euro, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc as investors returned

to riskier assets. A stable offshore Chinese yuan helped improve

risk appetite.

The euro was down by 0.2% at $1.108875 EUR=EBS , the lowest

it has been since Aug. 2.

Measured against a basket of six major currencies .DXY ,

the dollar was higher in the early London trading at 98.210. It

has recovered by about 1% from its three-week low on Aug. 9.

Data showing U.S. consumers kept spending in July came as a

relief after the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted this week,

which historically has preceded U.S. recessions The inversion stoked worries about the impact of the

Sino-U.S. trade war. The curve steepened a little on Friday

US2US10=RR .

China on Thursday said it would retaliate for the latest

U.S. tariffs on $300 billion of Chinese goods, but U.S.

President Donald Trump said any pact would have to be on

America's terms, suggesting a resolution to the trade war

remains elusive China's offshore yuan, whose plunge past 7 to the dollar

last week sent shivers through financial markets, was weaker on

Friday at 7.0530 CNH=EBS . The People's Bank of China fixed the

onshore yuan currency at 7.0312 on Friday, compared with market

expectations at 7.0307, according to analysts at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG).

"While it was roughly in line with expectations, it might be

worth noting that since yesterday, the actual dollar/onshore

yuan fixing rates have been slightly higher than the estimates,"

the analysts said.

The fragile calm is unlikely to last, traders said.

"The most important point is there are more signs of a

global economic slowdown," said Tsutomu Soma, general manager of

fixed income business solutions at SBI Securities in Tokyo.

"Rates will continue to fall, and investors will pull back

from risk, which means money will leave emerging markets and go

to Treasuries, the Swiss franc, gold, and the yen."

Sterling GBP=D3 was up 0.3% at $1.2118, close to a

one-week high of $1.2150 and on course for its first weekly gain

since mid-July. Encouraging data on British retail sales and

consumer prices suggested the British economy was in better

shape than some investors had feared.

Against the euro, the pound reached an 11-day high of 91.50

pence EURGBP=D3 .

However, the risk remains that Prime Minister Boris Johnson

will take Britain out of the European Union without a transition

agreement, causing short-term economic turmoil.

"I think sterling is likely to be more of a two-way market

now as those opposed to Brexit rage, rage against the dying of

the light. At the same time, we can't expect the Brexit

supporters, who have gotten this far, to just cry how bright

their frail deeds might have danced in a green bay," said

Marshall Gittler, chief strategist at ACLS Global.

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