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FOREX-Euro gains after biggest weekly drop in 6 weeks; Swiss franc firm

Published 19/08/2019, 12:20
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro gains after biggest weekly drop in 6 weeks; Swiss franc firm
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON, Aug 19 (Reuters) - The euro advanced on Monday after

registering its biggest weekly drop in nearly two months as risk

appetite gradually returned to global markets after a week of

turmoil, though investors were still wary about the near term

outlook for the single currency.

With hopes of fiscal stimulus from Germany growing and steps

by China over the weekend to cut corporate lending costs pushing

up equities, growth-sensitive currencies such as the Australian

dollar also edged higher. and But despite the gains, the perceived safe-haven currencies

such as the Japanese yen JPY=EBS and the Swiss franc CHF=EBS

remained firmly in demand with sight deposits at the Swiss

National Bank registering another big weekly rise, indicating

more intervention from policymakers. "Markets seem to be recovering after last week's selloff

though some of the safe haven currencies still seem to be in

demand," said Adrian Schmidt, chief FX strategist at Continuum

Economics based in London.

"But authorities can only slow the appreciation trend in

some of those currencies such as the Swiss franc rather than

drawing a line in the sand," he said.

JP Morgan expects the franc to appreciate to 1.07 francs per

euro by the end of the year compared to 1.08755 francs now.

Against the greenback EUR=EBS , the euro rose 0.2% to

$1.1114 in London trading after falling 1% last week, its

biggest weekly drop since early July.

FED EYED

Investor optimism is also likely to be capped before a

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speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell later this

week at the Jackson Hole central bank conference.

Market strategists believe his comments will be aimed at

reassuring nervous markets that the Fed will remain in an easing

stance and set the stage for more rate cuts after a quarter

percentage point rate cut in July.

"Powell's speech will set the stage for, at the minimum, a

25 basis points rate cut at the September meeting, stressing

that quantitative tightening is over and stressing that the

committee's bias is now back in accommodation mode," said

Elsa Lignos, global head of FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

Money markets are pricing in a cumulative 67 basis points of

rate cuts from the Fed by the end of the year.

The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback

against six major currencies, was broadly steady at 98.20, close

to a two-week high of 98.339 reached on Friday.

Global markets went into a tailspin last week after bond

yield curves inverted, signalling the global economy was headed

towards a recession, sending panicky investors to the relative

safety of perceived safe-haven assets such as gold and yen.

Latest weekly positioning data showed hedge funds ramped up

their holdings of the Japanese currency for a second consecutive

week versus the greenback.

Against the yen JPY=EBS , the dollar was little changed at

106.57 yen, near a one-week high of 106.98 yen.

SNB sight deposits and EURCHF https://tmsnrt.rs/2Z1lLXq

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