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FOREX-Euro near two-week low vs dollar as Treasury yields rebound

Published 20/08/2019, 12:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro near two-week low vs dollar as Treasury yields rebound
EUR/USD
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DX
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US10YT=X
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USD/CNH
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US2US10=RR
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* Dollar index rises towards 2019 high

* Pound plunges vs euro, dollar

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds context, chart, updates prices)

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Aug 20 (Reuters) - The euro hovered near a two-week

low against the dollar on Tuesday as higher Treasury yields the

day before boosted the U.S. currency. Political uncertainty in

Italy also held the euro back.

Yields on U.S. benchmark 10-year government bonds

US10YT=RR pulled away from three-year lows on Monday, helped

in part by the prospect of Germany ditching its balanced budget

policy and China providing more economic support measures.

Gains also came after Boston Fed President Eric on Monday

criticized further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as well as

from a Trump administration decision to extend a temporary

license for Chinese telecoms producer Huawei, analysts said.

Market focus is likely to shift now to the annual symposium

of global central bankers that begins on Friday at Jackson Hole,

Wyoming, but analysts doubt that will limit demand for dollars.

"Ahead of the Jackson Hole summit later this week, there

seems little reason for the dollar to weaken," said Lee Hardman,

currency analyst at MUFG.

The Treasury yield curve inverted last week, a signal of

impending recession that sent alarms through financial markets.

The curve of two-year and 10-year Treasury yields remained

steeper on Tuesday US2US10=RR .

The dollar index was flat at 98.375 .DXY after earlier

rising to a two-and-a-half-week high of 98.40. It reached its

2019 high of 98.932 at the beginning of the month.

The euro was also flat at $1.1078 EUR=EBS , but not far

from Friday's $1.1066 low, amid concern over political

developments in Italy. Against the Swiss franc, the euro was

down by 0.2% at 1.0855 EURCHF=EBS , near the two-year low of

1.0836 it reached last week.

In Italy, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte will address

parliament at 1300 GMT on Tuesday to defend his record. He might

resign immediately afterwards, or he might wait for a formal

vote to make it clear he is being unseated by the League. A vote

has not been scheduled and there is widespread uncertainty over

how the political turmoil will end.

Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini pulled the plug on the

ruling coalition earlier this month, hoping to trigger early

elections that would probably see him named prime minister.

"The possible success of the no-confidence vote in Italy

today could push euro/dollar towards and even below the

psychological 1.1000 level today," said Chris Turner, head of

forex strategy at ING.

Declines are unlikely to persist, he said, "because the

negative spillover into the euro from periods of political

uncertainty in Europe has been somewhat limited over the past

year."

Elsewhere, a stronger dollar pushed the offshore Chinese

yuan lower, matching a six-day low of 7.0770. The offshore yuan

was last trading neutral at 7.0702 CNH=EBS .

The pound was down by 0.5% both against the dollar and the

euro, last at $1.2076 GBP=D3 and at 91.77 pence against the

euro EURGBP=D3 .

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson made new waves by

writing to European Council President Donald Tusk on Monday to

propose replacing the Irish backstop with a commitment to put in

place alternative arrangements by the end of a post-Brexit

transition period. Johnson will meet both French President Emmanuel Macron and

German Chancellor Angela Merkel during the week and is also

planning to meet Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar in September.

DXY index rises towards 2019 high https://tmsnrt.rs/2Njp8SE

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