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FOREX-Pound slips on UK poll projections, dollar awaits Fed

Published 11/12/2019, 04:47
Updated 11/12/2019, 04:54
© Reuters.  FOREX-Pound slips on UK poll projections, dollar awaits Fed

* Cable falls more than 0.2% on narrowing lead for UK Tories

* Investors bet Trump will postpone additional China tariffs

* Euro supported after surprise uptick in German sentiment

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Dec 11 (Reuters) - The British pound slipped early on

Wednesday after a poll showed a narrowing lead for Prime

Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative Party in an election

scheduled for later in the week, while U.S. dollar movement

looked to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.

Investors were also focusing on whether U.S. President

Donald Trump will impose tariffs on nearly $160 billion worth of

Chinese consumer goods from Dec. 15.

Investors have generally believed the U.S. tariffs would be

at least postponed to salvage a trade deal with China.

"It is calmness before storm. Markets have long believed the

additional tariffs will be avoided," said Ayako Sera, market

economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

Sterling fell to as low as $1.3107 and last stood down 0.1%

at $1.3140 GBP=D4 , giving back about a cent after hitting an 8

1/2-month high of $1.3215 on Tuesday.

It also slipped to 0.8449 pound per euro EURGBP=D4 , off

its 2 1/2-year high of 0.8394 touched earlier this week. On the

yen, it changed hands at 142.79 yen GBPJPY=R , down from

Tuesday's seven-month high around 143.39.

A closely watched model from pollsters YouGov showed

Britain's prime minister is on course to win a majority of 28 in

parliament at Thursday's election, down sharply from a forecast

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of 68 last month. The pound had rallied for the past couple of months on

rising expectations that Johnson will secure an outright

majority in parliament after a Dec. 12 election to end Britain's

political paralysis over Brexit since 2016.

The dollar was traded at 108.74 yen JPY= , flat in early

Asia after a gain of 0.15% the previous day.

It drew firmness from a Wall Street Journal report of

officials from both the United States and China saying the

groundwork was being laid to push back the tariff deadline.

The White House's top economic and trade advisers are

expected to meet in coming days with Trump over that decision,

one person briefed on the situation said. "With regards to both the U.K. election and U.S.-China

talks, markets have been leaning towards optimism recently.

Therefore we need to be careful about market reactions if those

expectations do not materialise," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director

of foreign exchange at Societe Generale.

Economic uncertainty stemming from the U.S.-China trade war

has prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates

three times this year. It is almost unanimously expected to

leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. Fed Policymakers' updated projections for the U.S. economy

and interest rates will be the main focus to assess whether they

think the rate cuts so far are enough to keep the economy

rolling for another year.

The euro stood at $1.1094 EUR= , having risen 0.23% on

Tuesday after the ZEW research institute's monthly gauge on

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economic morale among German investors showed improvement far

beyond that of December.

The index rose to near a two-year high of 10.7 from -2.1 a

month earlier, exceeding even the highest forecast in a Reuters

poll of economists, aided by an unexpected rise in October

exports boosting hope for an upturn in Europe's biggest economy.

The euro's strength helped to push down the dollar index

=USD to 97.496, not far from a one-month low of 97.350 touched

on Friday.

The New Zealand dollar slipped 0.3% to $0.6526 NZD=D4 as

profit-taking overshadowed upbeat data and the promise of fiscal

stimulus by Wellington. AUD/

UK's Johnson now less certain of election victory - YouGov

Dec. 15 China tariffs threaten a long list of Christmas

favorites 'half-full' U.S. glass sturdy but still at risk for

spills as Fed meets investor morale surges on signs of resilient exports

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