NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Safe-haven currencies retreat as U.S., Iran seen defusing crisis

Published 09/01/2020, 02:22
Updated 09/01/2020, 02:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Safe-haven currencies retreat as U.S., Iran seen defusing crisis
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
EUR/CHF
-
XAU/USD
-
GC
-

* Yen, Swiss franc, gold slip from high

* Markets see U.S.-Iran tension easing for now

* Aussie worst performer so far this year

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Jan 9 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen and Swiss franc

retreated on Thursday as the United States and Iran backed away

from the brink of further conflict in the Middle East.

U.S. President Donald Trump responded overnight to an

Iranian attack on U.S. forces with sanctions, not violence. Iran

offered no immediate signal it would retaliate further to a Jan.

3 U.S. strike that killed one of its senior military commanders.

The yen, regarded as a safe haven in times of geopolitical

turmoil because of its deep liquidity as well as Japan's current

account surplus, quickly reversed its gains made after

Wednesday's missile strike.

The dollar traded at 109.08 yen JPY= , jumping back sharply

from a three-month low of 107.65 yen touched on Wednesday.

The Swiss franc, another safe-haven currency, also followed

a similar path.

The dollar rose to 0.9738 franc CHF= from Wednesday's low

of 0.96655 while the euro bounced off to 1.0814 franc EURCHF=R

from 21-month low of 1.07825 set on Wednesday.

Gold, often sought at time of major military conflict as an

ultimate store of value, also dropped to $1,556.10 per ounce

XAU= after hitting a seven-year high of $1,610.9.

"The targets Iran chose to attack do not seem to be of major

importance. Nor there seems to be any casualties on the U.S.

side," said Kazushige Kaida, head of foreign exchange at State

Street.

"So markets have interpreted the attack as mainly for Iran's

domestic audience. U.S. public opinion also does not support a

war with Iran. So for people like us, short-term traders, the

lesson from yesterday was that you can make money by taking

advantage of knee-jerk market reactions from news headlines and

markets could become more risk-tolerant," he said.

Traders' focus is expected to shift back to the global

economy, with expectations that the United States and China will

sign a trade deal next week providing underlying support for

risk assets.

Investors think the deal will clear one of biggest

uncertainties and help boost global growth this year, although

some think that view is too optimistic.

Given various risks -- from rising U.S. corporate debt

levels, already frothy U.S. share valuations to economic and

political uncertainties in Europe -- global growth is more

likely to be steady around 3%, rather than accelerating, said

Nouriel Roubini, CEO of Roubini Macro Associates in New York.

The euro eased to $1.1107 EUR= , flirting with its lowest

prices in almost two weeks, not helped by weak German industrial

orders data.

Industrial orders in the euro zone's biggest economy

unexpectedly fell 1.3% in November due to weak foreign demand.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.6865 AUD=D4 , having hit a

three-week low of $0.6849 on Wednesday.

Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho

Securities, said huge bushfires in Australia appeared to be

weighing the currency "economically and politically."

"Economic data such as car sales and job ads show damage and

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has come under criticism for his

handling and climate policy," Yamamoto said.

The Aussie is the worst performer among G10 currencies so

far this year, having fallen 2.1%.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.