FOREX-Tumbling bond yields, coronavirus halt dollar advance

Published 05/03/2020, 06:17
Updated 05/03/2020, 06:18
© Reuters. FOREX-Tumbling bond yields, coronavirus halt dollar advance
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* Dollar steadies slide, but struggles to advance

* Yen inches higher on virus fears

* Aussie, kiwi halt recent rises

* Track the coronavirus on Eikon here https://apac1.apps.cp.extranet.thomsonreuters.biz/cms/?navid=919104201

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, March 5 (Reuters) - The dollar struggled to make

headway on Thursday, as very low U.S. yields and the prospect of

even more monetary easing held back gains, while virus fears

supported the safe-haven yen.

Strong data showing U.S. services activity at a one-year

high and hiring growth had pushed the greenback 0.3% higher on

the euro overnight. But with benchmark U.S. 10-year yields US10YT=RR just a

tad above 1% and futures markets pricing another 50 basis points

of Federal Reserve cuts by July 0#FF: , the greenback failed to

forge ahead in Asia, leaving the euro EUR= steady at $1.1136.

"The ongoing decline in U.S. yields and the rise in

volatility is continuing to cause a position squeeze," said Ray

Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.

"Assuming that the Fed is going to enact several more rate

cuts in the next month or two - including out of the 17-18 March

meeting, then for the short term at least there is some further

weakness in the U.S. dollar to play out."

An emergency 50 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed on

Tuesday had sent the dollar backwards against most Asian

currencies and down to a five-month low of 106.84 yen.

MKTS/GLOB

The strong performance of former Vice President Joe Biden in

the Democratic nomination campaign had pulled the dollar firmer

than that overnight, with an increase in risk appetite drawing

investors away from the safety of the Japanese currency.

Biden is considered less likely to raise taxes and impose

new regulations on business than rival Bernie Sanders.

But deep concern about the widening economic fallout from

the coronavirus outbreak had the yen rising 0.2% through

Thursday and last trading at 107.33 per dollar JPY= .

Mainland China reported a rise in new infections on

Thursday, deaths are mounting deaths globally, Italy has closed

its schools and California has declared a state of emergency as

cases there increase. The International Monetary Fund now expects world growth

will drop to its slowest since the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

All of which, combined with the expectation of more monetary

easing to offset the damage, snuffed a rally in the Australian

and New Zealand dollars. AUD/

The Aussie AUD=D3 , which has climbed nearly 3% from an

11-year low hit last week, eased to $0.6619. The kiwi NZD=D3 ,

which has climbed almost 2% from a Monday trough, sat at

$0.6297.

"The talk of the town now is what does quantitative easing

look like in Australia, when is it likely to be deployed and how

much of that is priced in," said Chris Weston, head of research

at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.

Central bank action also weighed on the Canadian dollar,

which slipped lower after the Bank of Canada delivered its

biggest interest rate cut in more than 10 years. The loonie CAD=D3 last traded at 1.3396 per dollar.

The British pound held overnight gains after the incoming

Bank of England governor said he would wait for more clarity

about the virus before moving interest rates, rather than

rushing to an emergency cut. The pound last bought $1.2873 GBP= and traded at 86.51

pence per euro EURGBP= .

Major currencies vs dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/39l3Hc2

AFX vs USD https://tmsnrt.rs/38qPV6k

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