NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

FOREX-Virus containment hopes support Asian currencies; kiwi soars

Published 12/02/2020, 05:25
Updated 12/02/2020, 05:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Virus containment hopes support Asian currencies; kiwi soars
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/NOK
-
USD/THB
-
USD/CNY
-

* Asian currencies firm, but moves slight

* Strong U.S. dollar holds AUD from further gains

* Kiwi jumps after RBNZ drops easing bias

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Trade-exposed Asian currencies

edged ahead on Wednesday, buoyed by optimism that the spread of

coronavirus had slowed, while the kiwi leapt after the central

bank dropped its easing bias.

Across mainland China there were 2,015 new confirmed

infections as of Tuesday, the lowest daily rise since Jan. 30.

China's senior medical adviser also said the outbreak might be

over by April. That news had currency markets stabilising after a steep

selldown of China-exposed assets. The U.S. dollar, which had

soaked up safe-haven flows as worries about the virus coincided

with strong economic data, handed back some gains. EMRG/FRX

The Australian dollar, sensitive to China's fortunes because

of Australia's commodity-driven export profile, firmed 0.3% to

$0.6728 AUD=D3 . China's yuan CNY= was modestly stronger and

the safe-haven Japanese yen JPY= was a little softer. CNY/

"Two things are giving cause for optimism," said Vishnu

Varathan, head of economics at Mizuho Bank in Singapore. "The

rate of infections is slowing and the number of recoveries is

going up faster than deaths," he said. "Markets have pulled back

from the verge of the cliff...they've avoided a free fall."

But levels have stabilised rather than recovered, pointing

to plenty of caution remaining. MKTS/GLOB

More than 1,100 people have died from the epidemic in China,

about 2% of people infected. The economy has also been upended,

with factory closures hitting supply chains from car makers to

tech firms.

Oil prices, a barometer of global energy demand and so of

growth, remain nearly a fifth lower than they were before the

outbreak. O/R

The currencies of oil exporters such as Canada and Norway

have been hammered, with the krone NOK= shedding 5% this year

and the loonie CAD=D3 hitting a four-month low on Monday.

Despite rising on Wednesday, the tourism-sensitive Thai baht

THB= is down 4% for the year as is the Australian dollar,

which briefly touched a decade-low this week.

Recession fears in Europe also dragged the euro EUR= to a

four-month low overnight, though it has since recovered by about

0.2% to $1.0916. The pound GBP= sat at its highest in a week

after fourth-quarter growth beat sluggish forecasts.

"The main impact of coronavirus for Europe is growth," said

Steve Englander, head of global G10 FX research at Standard

Chartered.

"The euro area started the year with low growth and an ECB

largely out of policy options...(a) bad scenario could see an

extension of recent moves and EUR/USD may head towards the

$1.04/05 lows of the European debt crisis."

Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 jumped 0.8% to

$0.6462, its sharpest rise in two months, after the central bank

removed the chance of a rate cut from its forward projections.

It forecast a short hit from the coronavirus and predicted

national growth would pick up in the second half. "The easing bias is gone and we're back to neutral," said

Westpac FX analyst Imre Speizer. "It's the clearest indication

that the easing cycle is probably over," he said, unless a deep

hit from the coronavirus prompts a change of heart.

(Editing by Richard Pullin and Jacqueline Wong)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.