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FOREX-Yen creeps higher amid caution over Sino-U.S. trade talks

Published 07/10/2019, 05:44
Updated 07/10/2019, 05:50
FOREX-Yen creeps higher amid caution over Sino-U.S. trade talks
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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* China narrowing scope for trade deal - Bloomberg

* Dollar loses momentum despite Friday's upbeat jobs data

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano and Tom Westbrook

TOKYO/SINGAPORE, Oct 7 (Reuters) - The yen gained slightly

and the yuan slipped on Monday as investors nervously awaited

U.S.-China talks this week for signs of whether the two sides

can de-escalate or end their punishing trade war.

Risk appetite soured noticeably after Bloomberg reported

that Chinese officials are signalling they are increasingly

reluctant to agree to a broad deal pursued by U.S. President

Donald Trump. "Nothing is yet in the bag, and optimism on trade has proved

time and again to be misplaced," said Rob Carnell, Asia-Pacific

chief economist at ING.

The Japanese yen JPY= , regarded as a safe haven by virtue

of Japan's status as the world's biggest creditor, edged up 0.1%

to 106.79 per dollar.

The Chinese yuan CNH= , the currency most exposed to

trade-war tensions, fell more than 0.3% to 7.1356 per dollar in

offshore trade. There was no onshore trading as Monday is the

last day of China's long holiday break for its national day.

Other trade-exposed currencies such as the Australian dollar

AUD=D3 and the Korean won KRW= also fell on doubts that much

will be achieved at the trade negotiations.

Deputy-level meetings will be held on Monday and Tuesday,

with top-level talks scheduled for Thursday and Friday, when

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He meets U.S. Trade Representative

Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin in

Washington.

Global markets have been on a roller coaster ride this year

as hopes for a deal have waxed and waned, while weak economic

data in Europe, the United States and China have added to

evidence that the tensions are dragging on global trade and

growth.

The jitters knocked the dollar from a two-year high last

week, and it remained subdued on Monday. Against a basket of

major currencies .DXY it was steady at 98.818 - almost a

percentage point below its week-ago peak.

Signals from both sides in the lead-up to the trade talks

have been mixed.

Trump last month delayed hiking levies on $250 billion worth

of Chinese imports from Oct. 1 to Oct. 15, "as a gesture of good

will," while China has again begun purchasing U.S agricultural

goods.

But administration sources late in September also said the

U.S. was considering imposing restrictions on investing in

Chinese companies.

"The odds remain low for a trade deal," analysts at DBS Bank

in Singapore said in an emailed note.

"Washington wants to get the whole deal done but Beijing is

unwilling to do so without the U.S. rolling back tariffs."

As the dollar has lost momentum, the euro stood at $1.0979

EUR= , up 0.03% in Asia, recovering little by little after

having hit a near 2-1/2-year low of $1.0879 last Tuesday.

Sterling was little changed at $1.2325 GBP=D4 , with

uncertainties over Brexit keeping many investors on the

sideline.

With only a few weeks until UK's scheduled exit from the

European Union on Oct. 31, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson

is seeking significant changes to how the contentious issue of

the Irish border is dealt with. The European Union and Ireland said last week that his

proposals were unlikely to yield a deal.

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