Gold prices steady amid Fed rate cut hopes; Trump-Putin talks awaited
Investing.com - UBS expects the U.S. dollar to weaken in the medium term, with the EUR/USD pair potentially reaching 1.20, despite near-term support for the greenback amid uncertainty about a September Federal Reserve rate cut.
The coming week offers a lighter economic calendar, providing what UBS describes as a "summer breather" for market participants. Market attention will primarily focus on the upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, where discussions about growth prospects in light of tariff concerns will be closely monitored.
Flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data released earlier in the week will provide important insights into broader economic sentiment ahead of the ECB meeting. These indicators will help market participants gauge economic conditions as central banks continue to navigate their monetary policy paths.
Japanese elections scheduled for Sunday will also command market attention, as UBS notes the outcome could trigger movement in the USD/JPY currency pair. Specifically, the investment bank highlights that the currently ruling party potentially losing its majority could impact the yen’s valuation.
While UBS acknowledges the dollar currently enjoys some support with uncertainty surrounding a potential September Fed rate cut, the bank maintains its view that the medium-term trajectory points toward dollar weakness, particularly against the euro.
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