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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar powers to 29-month high, bonds turn choppy

Published 01/10/2019, 13:38
Updated 01/10/2019, 13:40
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar powers to 29-month high, bonds turn choppy
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* Dollar index hits highest level since May 2017

* Nikkei up 0.6%, ex-Japan Asia up 0.23%

* China markets begin one-week holiday closure

* European shares struggle, Wall Street futures higher

* World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed to a 29-month

high on Tuesday as a blizzard of soft global data left the U.S.

economy as the only one still looking reasonably healthy.

European stocks .EU and the euro FRX/ both suffered

shaky mornings, after euro zone manufacturing data showed the

sharpest contraction in almost seven years. Australia's dollar AUD=D4 tumbled after its central bank

cut interest rates in its trade war-hit economy for the third

time this year. That dragged the neighbouring New Zealand dollar

NZD=D4 to a four-year low.

Emerging markets were also in the firing line. The South

African, Turkish, Russian, Indian and Mexican currencies fell

0.3% to 0.8% as the dollar charged to May 2017 highs. .DXY .N

EMRG/FRX

"On we go with the dollar," said Societe Generale strategist

Kit Juckes. "It is the pick of the major economies, and I don't

think anything is going to change (for the dollar) until the

economy slows.

"And if you are sensitive to global trade and sensitive to

manufacturing, you are having a very tough time at the moment,

there is no doubt about it."

The dollar's advance did slow before U.S. trading and

manufacturing data, but economic surprise indices published by

Citigroup .CESIUSD .CESIEUR underscored just why it was

looking so good.

The U.S. version is currency at its highest in nearly two

years, while Europe's has fallen to a 2019 low.

BUMPY BOND MARKETS

Wall Street, which is up almost 20% this year, looked set

for another positive start .N , but bond markets were grumbling

again.

A weak auction of Japanese government debt after news the

Bank of Japan will scale back some of its bond buying this month

underscored the lack of enthusiasm for the negative

interest rates that more and more countries seem to be heading

That fed across to higher bond yields in major markets, with

10-year German, French and Spanish and U.S Treasury yields all

up 2 to 4 basis points. GVD/EUR

British government bonds also sold off as Prime Minister

Boris Johnson pitched new proposals for an amended Brexit

agreement that would remove the contested insurance policy for

the Irish border. "We had reached extreme lows (for bond yields) in August,

but now the central banks have delivered the easing markets were

expecting I think we needed this correction," said Pooja Kumra,

a European rates strategist at TD Securities.

HOT CHIPS

In Asia, the world's largest contract chipmaker, TSMC

2330.TW of Taiwan, jumped 2.9% to a record high.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.23%. Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 0.6%

despite a six-year low in big business confidence. Australia's

benchmark .AXJO rose 0.8%, some of that after the central

bank's rate cut.

White House trade adviser Peter Navarro dismissed reports on

Monday that President Donald Trump's administration was

considering delisting Chinese companies from U.S. stock

exchanges as "fake news" China and the United States are due to resume trade talks

next week in Washington.

"Whether it was a fake news or not, it is becoming harder to

know exactly what the U.S. administration will be doing," said

Takashi Hiroki, chief strategist at Monex Securities.

The World Trade Organization cut its forecast for growth in

global trade this year by more than half on Tuesday and said

further rounds of tariffs and retaliation, a slowing economy and

a disorderly Brexit could squeeze it even more.

Back in the currency market, the euro reached $1.09 after

trading as low as $1.0877 EUR= , near a two-and-a-half-year

The yen spent most of the day around 108.25 yen to the

dollar JPY= , not far from last month's low of 108.48.

Gold also fell to a two-month low as the stronger dollar

took its toll on metals markets. It was last trading at $1,468

per ounce XAU= .

Oil prices rebounded after data showed production at the

world's largest oil producers fell in the third quarter. It also

came after an 8% drop over the past few months.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 rose 0.6% to

$54.39 per barrel after falling 3.3% on Monday. Brent LCOc1

was up 0.8% at $59.70 a barrel.

"Any rallies, though, are likely to be met with plenty of

sellers as a slowing global economy and the recovery of Saudi

production outweigh any Middle East risk factors for now," said

Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at

OANDA in Singapore.

Economic surprise indexes https://tmsnrt.rs/2nlpaij

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