EU and US could reach trade deal this weekend - Reuters
Investing.com -- Following recent declines, the S&P 500 is still holding above key longer-term support at the 4,800 level, as well as Sunday night’s overnight low, Wolfe Research technical analysts said.
They pointed to several indicators showing the market is in oversold territory, including the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (MA), the number of 52-week lows, and signals the relative strength index (RSI).
Sentiment remains “extremely bearish,” Wolfe’s Rob Ginsberg notes. The brokerage conducted a poll in its Office Hours webcast Sunday, where 86% of respondents said they expect the market to fall by another 5%.
"All in, this set up leads us to believe that we could see a strong countertrend rally [to] ~5400-5500,” analysts said, before facing strong resistance and confronting the deteriorating monthly Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD).
The S&P 500 tumbled on Tuesday, closing below 5,000 points for the first time in nearly a year after giving up early gains amid fading hopes for a last-minute shift in U.S. trade policy.
Investors had initially pushed the index up more than 4% in morning trading, hoping for a possible delay or softening of President Donald Trump's tariff measures ahead of a looming midnight deadline.
Those hopes were dashed in the afternoon after White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that the president intends for the tariffs to proceed as planned, despite outreach from nearly 70 countries seeking to negotiate relief.
Since Trump's announcement of sweeping global tariffs late last Wednesday, the S&P 500 has shed $5.83 trillion in market value, marking its steepest four-day loss in dollar terms since the index was established in the 1950s.
The more than 12% drop over that stretch also ranks as the sharpest four-day percentage decline since the COVID-19 pandemic, according to LSEG data.