Core CPI, inflation data take center stage in Tuesday’s economic lineup

Published 11/08/2025, 19:02
© Reuters.

As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets, Tuesday, August 12, 2025, brings a series of crucial economic data releases that could sway market dynamics. The spotlight falls on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI figures, which are key indicators of inflation trends in the United States. These reports, along with other significant economic events, are poised to provide valuable insights into the health of the economy and potentially influence monetary policy decisions.

Major Economic Events to Watch

• 8:30 AM ET - Core CPI (YoY): Forecast 3.0%, Previous 2.9%. Measures price changes excluding food and energy.

• 8:30 AM ET - Core CPI (MoM): Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.2%. Indicates monthly changes in core consumer prices.

• 8:30 AM ET - CPI (YoY): Forecast 2.8%, Previous 2.7%. Reflects overall inflation rate including all items.

• 8:30 AM ET - CPI (MoM): Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.3%. Shows month-over-month changes in consumer prices.

Other Important Economic Events to Watch

• 7:00 AM ET - OPEC Monthly Report: Provides outlook and analysis of the global oil market.

• 12:00 PM ET - WASDE Report: USDA forecasts for supply and demand of major agricultural commodities.

• 12:00 PM ET - EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook: Offers near-term perspective on energy markets.

• 2:00 PM ET - Federal Budget Balance: Forecast -$138.8B, Previous $27.0B. Measures difference between government income and expenditure.

• 4:30 PM ET - API Weekly Crude Stock: Previous -4.200M. Indicates US petroleum demand and inventory levels.

Other Economic Events to Watch

• 6:00 AM ET - NFIB Small Business Optimism: Forecast 98.6, Previous 98.6. Indicates health of small businesses in the US.

• 8:30 AM ET - Real Earnings: Previous -0.4%. Measures changes in purchasing power.

• 8:30 AM ET - CPI Index, n.s.a.: Forecast 323.17, Previous 322.56. Non-seasonally adjusted consumer price index.

• 8:30 AM ET - Core CPI Index: Previous 327.60. Measures core consumer prices.

• 8:30 AM ET - CPI, n.s.a: Previous 0.34%. Non-seasonally adjusted consumer price index.

• 8:30 AM ET - CPI Index, s.a: Previous 321.50. Seasonally adjusted consumer price index.

• 8:55 AM ET - Redbook: Previous 6.5%. Indicates year-over-year same-store sales growth.

• 10:00 AM ET - FOMC Member Barkin Speaks: May provide insights on monetary policy.

• 10:30 AM ET - Fed Schmid Speaks: Kansas City Fed President may offer economic outlook.

• 11:00 AM ET - Cleveland CPI: Previous 0.3%. Measures inflation in the Cleveland metropolitan area.

For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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