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Earnings call: Chicago Atlantic reports strong Q4 with portfolio growth

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 13/03/2024, 18:12
© Reuters.
REFI
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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) reported a robust fourth quarter for 2023, concluding an exceptional year marked by portfolio growth, improved credit quality, and increased yields. The company delivered a sector-leading total return of approximately 22.3% and expanded its pipeline of potential loans and investments.

The management expressed a positive outlook for the industry, citing potential regulatory changes and strong demand. The earnings call, led by Executive Chairman John Mazarakis and other top executives, detailed the company's financial results and strategic moves, including the extension of a credit facility and a goal to increase leverage to support further growth.

Key Takeaways

  • Chicago Atlantic's Q4 2023 results showed significant portfolio growth and a sector-leading total return of 22.3%.
  • The company's pipeline of potential loans and investments increased from $400 million to approximately $600 million.
  • Regulatory changes at the federal and state levels are anticipated to positively impact the industry and credit quality.
  • The company extended its credit facility maturity to June 2026 and increased the facility size potential from $125 million to $150 million.
  • Net interest income for Q4 increased by 8% sequentially, and total operating expenses before credit loss provisions grew due to higher incentive fees and general expenses.
  • The company aims to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 90% to 100% for 2024, with a special dividend possible in Q4 2024.

Company Outlook

  • Chicago Atlantic is optimistic about the cannabis industry's future, expecting improvements in sentiment and strong demand.
  • The company is poised to benefit from potential legislative changes in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania.
  • Management intends to leverage the company's platform and relationships to capitalize on evolving state laws.

Bearish Highlights

  • There was a slight sequential decline in book value, primarily due to a special dividend declared in Q4.

Bullish Highlights

  • The company reported a solid debt service coverage ratio and low leverage compared to the sector.
  • The balance sheet remains strong, with the company being well-positioned for future growth.

Misses

  • There were no significant misses reported in the earnings call.

Q&A Highlights

  • The management clarified that a transaction within the parent company, Silver Spike, was unrelated to Chicago Atlantic and did not involve the REIT's portfolio.
  • Despite a specific debt refinancing incident, the company does not see signs of increased competition affecting its business model.
  • Chicago Atlantic remains agnostic to changes in how potential clients are handling tax provisions related to 280E, focusing instead on the positive cash flow implications of such changes.

Chicago Atlantic's strong performance in the fourth quarter, bolstered by strategic financial management and a favorable industry outlook, positions the company well for continued success in the coming year. With a solid pipeline and a proactive approach to regulatory changes, Chicago Atlantic aims to maintain its leading role in the cannabis financing space.

InvestingPro Insights

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance's (REFI) strong performance in the fourth quarter of 2023 is further illuminated by several key metrics and InvestingPro Tips. Notably, the company has been committed to returning value to its shareholders, as evidenced by its dividend history.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that REFI has raised its dividend for three consecutive years, indicating a reliable income stream for investors. Additionally, REFI pays a significant dividend to shareholders, with a robust dividend yield of 16.3% as of the last recorded date.

In terms of valuation, REFI is trading at a P/E ratio of 7.68, which is relatively low, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued given its recent performance and future prospects. However, it is also trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which is an important consideration for investors looking at the price they are paying for growth.

InvestingPro Data further reveals a strong financial position for REFI, with revenue growth in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at a remarkable 24.99%. The company's operating income margin during the same period stood at an impressive 68.28%, showcasing efficient management and profitability. Moreover, REFI's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which underscores the company's financial stability and ability to meet its immediate liabilities.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis and additional insights, there are more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/REFI. Using the coupon code PRONEWS24, investors can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking access to a wealth of data and expert analysis to guide their investment decisions.

Full transcript - Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI) Q4 2023:

Operator: Good day, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance conference call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I will now hand the conference over to your speaker, host, Tripp Sullivan. Please go ahead.

Tripp Sullivan: Good morning. Welcome to the Chicago Atlantic Real Estate finance conference call to review the company's results for the fourth quarter of 2023. On the call today would be John Mazarakis, Executive Chairman; Tony Cappell, Co-Chief Executive Officer; Peter Sack, Co-Chief Executive Officer; and Phil Silverman, Chief Financial Officer. Our results were released this morning in our earnings press release. This can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website, along with out supplemental filed with the SEC. A live audio webcast of this call is being made available today. For those who listen to the replay of this webcast, we remind you that the remarks made herein are as of today, March 12, 2024, and will not be updated subsequent to this call. During this call, certain comments and statements we make may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning prescribed by the securities laws, including statements related to the future performance of our portfolio, our pipeline of potential loans and other investments, future dividends, and financing activities. All forward-looking statements represent Chicago Atlantic's judgment as of the date of this conference call and are subject to risks and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. Investors are urged to carefully review various disclosures made by the company, including the risk and other information disclosed in the company's filings with the SEC. We also will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, including, but not limited to, distributable earnings and adjusted distributable earnings. Definitions of these non-GAAP measures and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in our filings with the SEC. I'll now turn the call over to John Mazarakis. Please go ahead.

John Mazarakis: Thanks, Tripp. Good morning, everyone. To allow time for more robust discussions in the Q&A, we plan on keeping our prepared comments shorter than usual today. This was a good quarter for us that wrapped up an exceptional year. We grew our portfolio in a measured fashion while improving credit quality, increasing our weighted average portfolio yield and delivering a sector-leading total return of approximately 22.3%, all while keeping leverage well below sector averages. We're incrementally positive with our outlook on the industry and our operators, they benefit from the improving sentiment and strong demand. I think we're all aware of what's going on at the federal level with HHS's recommendation on cannabis rescheduling. We're equally focused on the positive credit quality impact that would result from the elimination of 280E associated without rescheduling. The elimination of this tax burden will be a huge win for the industry as a whole, leading to significantly improved cash flow generation among our borrowers. At the state level, we're excited about the forthcoming rollout of the adult use sales in Ohio expected in 2024 and other potential voter referendum changes in Florida and recreational sales in Pennsylvania in the medium term. We're well positioned in these states and continue to leverage Chicago Atlantic's platform and relationships to be at the forefront of capitalizing on the evolving state legislative landscape. The demand for credit in this capital constrained industry should only accelerate as a result. The maturity wall we have previously discussed is also beginning to materialize. Our pipeline of actionable deals across the platform has increased from $400 million in mid-2023 to approximately $600 million today. As a leading and most consistent platform committed to the cannabis industry, Chicago Atlantic remains positioned to be the first call for borrowers and financial institutions alike who want to deploy capital in this space, providing our investors with attractive returns and protecting principle drives every decision we make at Chicago Atlantic. With improving sentiment in the space and better access to capital to fund growth in the portfolio, we hope for another good year. I will now turn it over to Peter.

Peter Sack: Thank you, John. Good morning. On December 31, our loan portfolio had total loan commitments of $379 million across 27 portfolio companies with a weighted average yield to maturity of 19.4% compared with 19.3% on September 30. Our weighted average loan to enterprise value was 44.1% compared with 42.5% on September 30. We had another strong quarter of originations with $25 million of principal fundings, of which approximately $9 million and $16 million was funded to new borrowers and existing borrowers, respectively. Our gross originations total was partially offset by $14 million of principal repayments, $11 million of which was related to unscheduled early repayment. Our portfolio is 81% floating rate based off the prime rate, which is consistent with last quarter. We have only six fixed rate loans in the portfolio with a weighted average yield on these fixed rate loans of 16%. The balance sheet remains well-positioned with low leverage of 24% of book equity at year end compared with 22% a year ago. Our debt service coverage ratio on a consolidated basis for the year was approximately 8:1 compared with the requirement of 1.35:1. We continue to lead the industry in developing relationships with banking institutions seeking exposure to the sector. Last month, we amended our credit facility to extend the maturity from December 2024 to June 2026, and we amended the accordion feature to permit the facility to grow from $125 million to up to $150 million. As of December 31, we had $66 million outstanding on the revolving credit facility, and we've subsequently drawn down another $28 million. That leaves us with a total of approximately $10 million in operational liquidity, net of estimated liabilities. With an ultimate goal of approaching leverage equal to 100% to 200% of book equity, we remain underlevered. We stated a short-term goal of getting to 50% of book equity, which would equate to significant portfolio growth and keep us well under the leverage held by many other mortgage REITs. We continue to actively pursue expansion of our banking syndicate this year to continue to increase the size of the line and fund additional growth in the portfolio. I'll now turn it over to Phil.

Phillip Silverman: Thanks, Peter. Net interest income for the fourth quarter increased 8% sequentially to $14.8 million. Gross interest income increased as a result of $1.8 million in prepayment fees earned on the $11 million of repayments as compared to $1.3 million of such fees earned during the third quarter. Additionally, we deployed approximately $25 million in new loan principal at a weighted average yield to maturity of 18.6%. For the year, net interest income increased 22%. The increase was driven by the 100-basis point increase in the prime rate throughout 2023, impacting approximately 80% of our portfolio that bears variable rate as well as the impact of new deployments resulting from the year-over-year portfolio growth. Additionally, total prepayment fees recognized to interest income were $3.5 million during 2023 compared to $1.2 million during 2022. Total operating expenses before the provision for credit losses increased to approximately $1.9 million from the third quarter, primarily from the increase in incentive fees of $1.6 million as well as $0.3 million of incremental general administrative and professional fee expenses. I'd like to highlight that the larger quarterly incentive fee paid in Q4 2023 will contribute in a similar way to the rolling 12 months incentive fee calculation throughout fiscal year 2024. For fiscal year 2023, total operating expenses before the provision for credit losses and stock-based compensation increased $4 million, primarily due to the $2.2 million increase in net management and incentive fees aligned with the increase in distributable earnings year over year and an increase in general administrative expenses. Professional fees remained consistent at approximately $2.2 million. Our CECL reserve as of December 31, 2023, is approximately $5 million compared with $5.2 million and $3.9 million as of September 30, 2023, and December 31, 2022, respectively. The reserve determination for the quarter considered reversals attributable to the principal repayments received during the fourth quarter, which included the full repayment of prior loan numbers 10 and 22, and was offset by new reserves on fourth quarter originations. Credit quality of the portfolio remained stable, with 88% of the portfolio risk-rated 3 or better as of December 31 and September 30. On a relative size basis, our reserve for credit losses represents 1.4% of outstanding principal as of December 31. Approximately 70% of the portfolio, based on outstanding principal, is fully secured by real estate collateral. 27% is partially secured with the remaining 3% having no real estate collateral. Our portfolio on a weighted average basis had real estate collateral coverage of 1.5 times. Adjusted distributable earnings per weighted average diluted share was $0.53 for Q4 and $2.26 for the year ended December 31, 2023, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.6%. In January, we distributed a Q4 regular dividend of $0.47 per share, plus a special dividend of $0.29 per share. Total dividend distributions in 2023 amounts to $2.17 per share, which is approximately 94.3% of adjusted distributable earnings per weighted average share. Our book value as of December 31 was $14.94 per common share compared to $15.17 as of September 30. The sequential decline in book value is primarily attributable to the $0.29 per share special dividend declared in Q4. Lastly, I'd like to highlight the guidance we shared for 2024. Similar to last year, we are expecting to maintain a dividend payout ratio based on distributable earnings per share of 90% to 100% for the full year. If our taxable income requires additional distributions in excess of the regular quarterly dividend to meet our taxable income requirements, we would expect to meet that requirement with a special dividend in Q4 2024. Operator, we're now ready to take questions.

Q - Pablo Zuanic: The first question relates to a transaction that was announced within your parent company under Silver Spike. I'm just trying to understand whether -- I understand that's a separate portfolio, cannabis loan-related portfolio, totally different from your company, but did you have a right of first refusal or did you have an opportunity to look at those loans where you wanted to buy them before the transaction was announced? If you can comment on that, please? Thank you.

John Mazarakis: Pablo, this is an unrelated transaction to the REIT, so we will just keep it at that. Thank you for your question.

Pablo Zuanic: Okay. If I can ask a follow-up then. In terms of -- obviously, you you have deployed more capital now. In the first quarter, you've made additional use of the credit facility. So that speaks well about the outlook -- the growth outlook. But when we look at that debt refinancing from MariMed, we . I'm just trying to understand from your point of view, aside of the demand side of things, right? Yes, the outlook is improving. Companies have probably expansion plans in Pennsylvania and Ohio, so the demand for your product is stronger, but are you facing more competition in terms of debt capital out there from other banks such as Bank Needham or for Citizens Bank as others have mentioned? Thank you.

John Mazarakis: We actually consider this an isolated incident. We have not seen any signs of compression. Our pipeline, as we mentioned, has increased significantly, and we look forward to a 2024 good year.

Pablo Zuanic: Okay. And if I can, one last question. This morning, I said on their conference call they talked about receiving -- planning to receive tax refunds on 280E that would start providing a normal tax rate going forward, not applying 280E under provisions for taxes, very similar to what Truliv has done. So companies, your potential clients in general are taking what I would call a more proactive or more aggressive stance in terms of providing for 280E. How does that call or impact the way you evaluate these credits or you are totally agnostic to whether you're doing. Thank you.

John Mazarakis: We're agnostic and we defer to the accounting firms that service our clients. We evaluate the process by which they service our clients and we are a third party. So overall that is a very positive development, and we look forward to those cash flows increasing.

Operator: [Operator Instructions]. I am showing we have a question from Mark Smith from Lake Street.

Mark Smith: I'm curious, any thoughts, very heavily on variable rate loans, any thought on perhaps adding more fixed rate loans or your feelings on the market today?

John Mazarakis: Mark, after the announcement of the CPI today, I think we're pretty safe in floating rates. So I don't expect rates to come down even with the adjusted guidance from the Fed. So we will continue to operate in a floating rate environment with solid floors that has been our strategy, and it has paid dividends so far.

Mark Smith: Perfect. And then the next question, just broadly. Would love more insight into your outlook for the industry, what you're seeing out there as far as pricing today and barring no changes in, I guess, your outlook, especially barring no changes in regulatory environment.

John Mazarakis: We're continuing to see leverage in the 2x EBITDA level or below. We won't look at anything above that. Obviously, the equities have increased in value and that has triple down into the private markets. We are very pleased with what we see in the cannabis space, and we're also very happy that the recession has delayed and maybe even everyone's talking about a soft landing now. All these are positive developments, and we're sitting in all-time highs across all the indexes. So that's -- it's a positive environment.

Operator: [Operator Instructions]. Ladies and gentlemen, I see no further questions in the queue at this time. And that does conclude our conference for today. We thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.

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