Freeport-McMoran: Citi hikes PT, sees near-term upside on possible copper tariffs

Published 08/07/2025, 06:40

Investing.com-- Citi analysts added Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold (NYSE:FCX) to their 90-day “catalyst watch” list, saying the stock could rise in the near term if the U.S. government announces new tariffs on imported copper.

Citi analysts said Freeport would likely benefit the most among copper producers because of its strong U.S. operations. A decision on the tariffs is expected before November, analysts noted.

The brokerage raised its price target for the stock to $48 from $44, maintaining a "neutral" rating.

In a separate research note, Citi said Freeport’s earnings could improve in the second quarter, helped by strong copper prices and good performance at its U.S. mines.

The bank now expects Freeport to report $3.1 billion in adjusted EBITDA, up from $2.7 billion in the first quarter. Citi also raised its full-year EBITDA forecast by 3% to $11.4 billion. 

Citi believes copper prices may dip in the short term as the U.S. sells off some of its supplies but expects prices to rise again next year.

The bank sees copper topping $10,000 per ton in 2026, driven by strong long-term demand.

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