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GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar firms, stocks soar on ECB rate cut expectations

Published 16/08/2019, 17:01
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Dollar firms, stocks soar on ECB rate cut expectations
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(Adds U.S. market open, byline, dateline; previous LONDON)

* Stocks jump on growing expectations of central bank

stimulus

* Dollar gains on U.S. housing data, euro's decline

* German bond yields bounce off lows after budget report

* Oil edges higher on stock market gains

* Growing hopes of stimulus from central banks

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 16 (Reuters) - The dollar strengthened while

U.S. and European stocks surged on Friday amid growing

expectations the European Central Bank will cut interest rates

to stimulate the economy and after China said it plans to boost

disposable income to spur consumption.

Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields rose from three-year lows but

government bond yields in the euro area hovered near record lows

on heightened expectations of aggressive ECB easing soon to

address growing concerns about recession risks.

The dollar hit a two-week high against the euro as

expectations of ECB stimulus weighed on the single currency

while bullish data showing a jump in U.S. homebuilding permits

to a seven-month high also helped lift the greenback.

The euro pared some losses after Der Spiegel reported

Germany's right-left coalition government would be prepared to

ditch its balanced budget rule and take on new debt to counter a

possible recession. German government bond yields rebounded sharply but later

pared some of the gains. The Finance Ministry declined to

comment on Spiegel's report.

The rebound in equity markets buoyed investor sentiment,

though it is hard to say the recent rout has found a floor

despite cheaper prices, said Yousef Abbasi, global market

strategist at INTL-FCStone Financial in New York.

U.S. banks are likely to get cheaper because European banks

are likely to do so if the ECB doesn't put together a credible

off-set plan for further negative rates for banks, he said.

"That's the concern. Despite some equities looking

attractive the macro concern is giving investors a reason to

pause and not so aggressively buy the dip," Abbasi said.

MSCI's gauge of stock performance in 47 countries

.MIWD00000PUS gained 1.21% and its emerging market .MSCIEF

rose 0.73%. In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of

leading regional shares jumped 1.22%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 315.64 points,

or 1.23%, to 25,895.03, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 42.1 points,

or 1.48%, to 2,889.7 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added

133.39 points, or 1.72%, to 7,900.01. The euro earlier slid to $1.1090 EUR= , shy of a two-year

low it set two weeks ago, on reports the ECB's Olli Rehn had

suggested Thursday that a significant easing package was needed

in September.

The dollar index .DXY rose 0.04%, with the euro EUR=

down 0.09% to $1.1096. The Japanese yen JPY= weakened 0.21%

versus the greenback at 106.36 per dollar.

The German bund was set for a fifth straight week of

declines, Italy's 10-year bond yield was poised for its biggest

weekly fall since mid-2018 and Spanish 10-year yields were on

track for their biggest weekly fall since 2016 ES10YT=RR .

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes US10YT=RR fell

14/32 in price to push yields up to 1.5741%. Crude oil prices recovered from two days of declines after

data on Thursday, showing a rise in U.S. retail sales, helped

ease recession concerns. A bearish outlook from OPEC capped

gains. Brent crude LCOc1 rose 42 cents at $58.65 a barrel while

U.S. crude CLc1 traded break-even at $54.47 a barrel.

GRAPHIC-Global assets in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl

GRAPHIC-World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

GRAPHIC-MSCI All Country World Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j

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