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GLOBAL MARKETS-Global shares hit 3-month highs on economic recovery hopes

Published 03/06/2020, 09:30
Updated 03/06/2020, 09:36
© Reuters.
XAU/USD
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JP225
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CL
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DE10YT=RR
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US30YT=X
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock
markets:
LIVE/

By Elizabeth Howcroft
LONDON, June 3 (Reuters) - World shares hit three-month
highs on Wednesday and the dollar fell for the sixth day running
as easing lockdowns and hopes for more monetary stimulus gave
investors confidence, despite civil unrest in the United States
and rising COVID-19 tolls.
The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks
shares in 49 countries, rose to its highest since March 6,
having gained throughout the Asian session.
The index is down more than 7% year-to-date, amid pandemic
lockdowns that have pushed many economies into contraction.
MSCI's main European Index also held near three-month highs
.MSER and European bourses opened higher, with the STOXX 600
up over 1% and back to levels not seen since March 6 .STOXX .
In China, Japan and South Korea, where COVID-19 is
relatively contained, stock indexes have recovered substantially
to be only about 5-6% below this year's peaks .CSI300 .N225
.KS11 .
There are some signs of recovery in business activity as
governments restart their economies, albeit in the knowledge
that easing lockdowns too early could trigger a second wave of
COVID-19.
A closely-watched survey of service sector activity in China
CNPMIS=ECI recovered to pre-epidemic levels in May.
Broader economic optimism supported risk-sensitive
currencies and pushed down the dollar, which hit a three-month
low against a basket of comparable currencies at around 0730 GMT
=USD .
"In a scenario where there's no meaningful recurrence of the
virus, and progress is made on treatments and vaccines, we
expect the U.S. dollar's weakness to continue," said Mark
Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth
Management.
Oil rose on Wednesday, with Brent above $40 for the first
time since March, as optimism mounted that major producers will
extend output cuts and a recovery from the pandemic will spur
demand for fuel. Brent crude futures for August were up around 1.8% at
$40.27 a barrel, by 0730 GMT LCOc1 . U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained $0.92, or 2.5%, to
$37.73 a barrel, the highest since March 6 CLc1 .
Spot gold fell 0.5% to around $1,717 per ounce XAU= .
U.S. YIELD CURVE
Germany's ten-year government bond yield rose to its highest
since mid-April as the global risk-on mood saw demand for safer
debt decline, slipping back slightly to -0.386% by 0825 GMT.
DE10YT=RR .
The European Central Bank is expected to ramp up stimulative
bond purchases when it meets on Thursday. The euro, which rose above $1.12 for the first time in 11
weeks in early London trading, is on track for a seven-day
winning streak against the dollar - its longest streak since
December 2013 EUR=EBS .
The safe-haven Japanese yen hit a two-month low of 108.85 to
the dollar before bouncing back to around 108.79 per dollar
JPY=EBS .
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened, partly reflecting
the sale of more government debt to finance massive stimulus
efforts.
The 30-year U.S. Treasuries yield rose to as high as 1.532%
US30YT=RR , its highest since mid-March, as expectations of
central bank policy support kept shorter yields in check.
The yield gap between five- and 30-year Treasuries rose to
118 basis points, the highest since early 2017 US5US30=TWEB .
Tens of thousands of people defied U.S. curfews to take to
the streets on Tuesday for an eighth night of protests over the
death of a black man in police custody.
"The disconnect between what the average person sees
happening in the world and what they see happening in the
financial markets is getting wider and wider," Marshall Gittler,
head of investment research at BDSwiss, wrote in a note to
clients.

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