Powell’s speech, Nvidia’s chips, Meta deal - what’s moving markets
* Oil up over $2 a barrel as U.S. attack kills Iranian
commander
* Scramble for safety boosts yen, Swiss franc, Bunds, gold
* European shares and U.S. futures down 0.5%
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Jan 3 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose over $2 a barrel
and gold and other safe-haven assets jumped on Friday, as the
U.S. killing of a top Iranian commander in an air strike in Iraq
ratcheted up tensions between the two powers.
Traders were clearly spooked. The death of Iranian
Major-General Qassem Soleimani, head of the elite Quds Force,
prompted Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to vow
revenge.
Europe's stock markets fell 0.5% in early trading as hopes
for a lengthy New Year rally vanished. Safe havens gained, with
Japan's yen JPY= rising half a percent to the dollar to a
two-month high and the Swiss franc hitting its highest against
the euro since September. EURCHF= /FRX
The Middle East-focused oil markets saw the most dramatic
moves. Brent crude futures jumped nearly $3 to $69.16 a barrel
-- also the highest since September -- before easing back to
$68.42. O/R
"We are only into the third day of the new year, and a big
fat dollop of geopolitical uncertainty has landed on investors'
desks," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia
Pacific at broker OANDA.
"I am struggling to see how an Iranian riposte will not
occur," he said. "Oil installations and tankers were my first
thoughts."
Soleimani's Quds Force and its paramilitary proxies, ranging
from Lebanon's Hezbollah to the PMF in Iraq, have ample means to
mount a multi-pronged response.
In September, U.S. officials blamed Iran for a missile and
drone attack on oil installations of Saudi Aramco (SE:2222), the Saudi
state energy giant and world's largest oil exporter. The Trump
administration did not respond, beyond heated rhetoric and
threats.
SCRAMBLE TO SAFETY
German Bunds and U.S. Treasuries -- the world's benchmark
government bonds -- caught a bid, too. Ten-year German yields,
which move inversely to prices, fell further away from
seven-month highs touched earlier in the week. U.S. 10-year
yields fell 5 basis points to a three-week low.
The focus on geopolitics meant markets paid little attention
to stronger-than-expected data from France, where inflation rose
1.6% year-on-year in December, beating analyst expectations for
a 1.4% rise.
"Markets still remain quite thin after the holidays, but
even in a regular session we would have seen a similar
reaction," said Christian Lenk, a rates strategist at DZ Bank in
Frankfurt. "The repercussions from the air strike are not
clearly forecastable and tensions remain high in the region."
The air strikes in Iraq also killed top Iraqi militia
commander Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis. They came after U.S. Defense
Secretary Mark Esper said on Thursday there were indications
Iran or forces it backed might be planning additional attacks,
after Iranian-backed demonstrators stormed the U.S. embassy in
Baghdad. Gold, a traditional refuge for risk-averse investors, rose
1% to a four-month high of $1,543.66. For the week, it has
gained about 2%, heading for a fourth consecutive weekly
increase. GOL/
"After the recent escalations in geopolitical issues, we see
a resistance level near the $1,575 level for the next week,"
said Jigar Trivedi, a commodities analyst at Anand Rathi Shares
& Stock Brokers in Mumbai.