Netel cuts 2025 guidance amid market challenges, shares plunge 30%

Published 01/10/2025, 09:16
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Netel has reduced its 2025 guidance due to lower expected volumes and deteriorating market conditions, primarily affecting its Infra and Telecom divisions. The company’s shares fell 30% on Wednesday following the announcement.

The new 2025 revenue guidance is set at SEK3 billion, representing approximately 9% year-over-year decline, a significant shift from the previous target of 3-5% annual organic growth. This revised revenue projection is 11% below the 2025 consensus estimates.

Netel’s first-half revenue performance already showed signs of trouble with a 3% year-over-year decrease, with the Infra division down 22%. The company had previously emphasized significant revenue phasing to the second half of the year when it reaffirmed its 2025 guidance earlier.

For adjusted EBITA margin, Netel now expects a range of 1.5-2.0% for 2025, substantially lower than the previous guidance of 5-7%. This implies an absolute adjusted EBITA of approximately SEK50 million at the mid-point, which is 70% below the 2025 consensus estimate of SEK180 million.

The company reported a first-half margin of 4.1% and indicated that excluding three poorly performing subsidiaries, the remaining business is expected to show a margin of 4-5% in 2025.

To address these challenges, Netel has announced efficiency measures focused on improving profitability, which may impact revenue growth rates. These initiatives include a strategic review of UK operations, where first-half 2025 sales dropped approximately 30%, a new organizational structure, profit-focused agreements in Power and Infra divisions, and cost-saving measures within central functions expected to yield SEK25 million, with full effect anticipated in 2026.

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