Nextracker upgraded by Barclays, Jefferies analysts

Published 29/01/2025, 19:54
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Nextracker Inc. was upgraded by both Barclays (LON:BARC) and Jefferies on Wednesday, as analysts expressed renewed confidence in the company’s execution, margin profile, and growth potential.

Jefferies upgraded Nextracker to Buy, raising its price target to $56, citing strong margins and record bookings. 

The firm had previously been concerned about a slowing U.S. market and potential margin compression from international expansion. 

However, they said Nextracker’s ability to maintain a ~36% gross margin, despite increasing international exposure, eased those worries. 

“We raise our EBITDA estimates by ~32% for FY26/’27, largely driven by margin upside,” Jefferies noted. 

The firm also highlighted a record backlog, now "significantly above" $4.5 billion, with strong demand in both U.S. and international markets. 

Additionally, Jefferies pointed to a potential share buyback program once spin-off restrictions from Flex (NASDAQ:FLEX) end in 2025, estimating $1.2 billion in cash on hand by then.

Barclays also upgraded Nextracker, moving it to Overweight from Equal Weight, raising its price target to $60 from $47. 

The firm expects the company to hit or exceed the upper end of all FY25 guidance metrics and sees Nextracker trading at a discount to ARRY, despite stronger execution. 

Barclays now estimates FY26 revenue of $3.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $704 million, both above consensus. The firm also emphasized Nextracker’s backlog of ~$5 billion, with 87% expected to convert to revenue over the next eight quarters.

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