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Pain trade remains to the upside - Mizuho

Published 14/04/2023, 14:26
© Reuters.
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By Investing.com Staff

Mizuho desk analysts say yesterday’s rally caught most off guard and it sounded like many missed the move. The NASDAQ is now up 19.8% year-to-date and The S&P is up 8%. Further, in another sign of animal spirits, crypto ETH is testing fresh 52-week highs and is up another 5% and now up 76% YTD. The analysts think the pain trade "remains to the upside."

Their highlights:

  • "Based on conversations and lots of frustrating calls from every type of investor it feels like the pain trade remains to the upside.
  • Bears are saying this rally makes no sense citing valuations, lackluster earnings, elevated inflation, recession fears, fed expectations, etc.
  • Bulls are saying this is a goldilocks scenario as the job mkt seems stable while inflation is NOT surprising to the upside. CPI was fine, PPI of 2.7% vs 3% was just right and jobless claims were a small beat (239k vs est 230k).
  • The Riskiest assets are also ripping I’e Crypto is testing 52-week highs after the ETH Shapella Upgrade.
  • And the NDX and SPX are both taking out technical resistance to the upside. This is sucking other buyers into the market and could lead to a quant bid."

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