Santander shares jump after strong Q4 profit beat and positive 2025 outlook

Published 05/02/2025, 10:28
© Reuters

Investing.com -- Shares of Santander (BME:SAN) jumped more than 7% on Wednesday after the bank reported stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings. 

The bank’s net profit for the quarter reached €3.27 billion, marking an 11% year-on-year increase and surpassing consensus estimates by 13%. 

This was largely driven by revenue growth, which hit €16 billion—5% above analyst expectations. 

“Results are strong, with both better capital and earnings outlook, which should drive the stock higher today. We reiterate our ‘overweight’ on the stock,” said analysts at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) in a note.

The key drivers were an increase in net interest income (NII), which was 6% ahead of consensus, as well as higher fees and strong trading performance, up 17% compared to expectations.

Santander’s fully-loaded Common Equity Tier 1 ratio rose to 12.76%, slightly exceeding expectations of 12.5%. 

The bank’s tangible net asset value (TNAV) per share also came in stronger, growing by 4% quarter-on-quarter to €5.24, well above the consensus estimate of €5.1. 

The bank projects revenue of approximately €62 billion, surpassing the €61.6 billion expected by analysts.

 Additionally, the forecast for fee growth in the mid-to-high single digits is well ahead of the 2.5% expected by consensus. 

Capital ratios are also set to remain strong, with the CET1 ratio forecasted to hit 13%, while return on tangible equity is expected to reach 17%, in the upper range of the bank’s business plan targets.

The bank has committed to a €10 billion share buyback program for 2025-2026, significantly outpacing analysts’ expectations of around €6 billion. 

This distribution, alongside a 50% dividend payout, reflects Santander’s focus on returning capital to shareholders and further buoyed investor confidence. 

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