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* S&P futures dip, reverse earlier gain
* Investors want decisive result and path to stimulus
(Updates with market moves after the bell)
By Noel Randewich
Nov 3 (Reuters) - U.S. stock market futures dipped late on
Tuesday as early voting projections emerged in a rancorous U.S.
presidential election, with investors hoping to avoid a
prolonged process that would delay a potential fiscal stimulus
to help an economy reeling from the coronavirus pandemic.
S&P emini futures EScv1 were last down 0.1%, partly
reversing a rally during the official trading session in which
the S&P 500 delivered its strongest one-day gain in almost a
month.
S&P emini futures had jumped over 1% late in the day, but
changed direction as projections showed President Donald Trump
and Democratic rival Joe Biden neck-and-neck in Florida, one of
the critical battleground states, with other hotly contested
states, including Georgia and Ohio, up in the air. On betting website Smarkets, odds of a Trump victory
improved dramatically in recent minutes but still showed Biden
as the expected winner.
Biden's lead over Trump in national opinion polls has raised
expectations of a decisive outcome and a post-election stimulus
package that would make good on Biden's promises of
infrastructure spending. Some analysts said the market's strong gains also reflected
a rebound from a selloff last week, the biggest weekly
percentage decline for the S&P 500 in over seven months.
"It seems as though the polls have narrowed, which makes it
a little bit more difficult for Biden, but the market reacting
the way it is now tells me the market thinks we are going to get
a resolution fairly quickly," said Randy Frederick, vice
president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in
Austin, Texas.
"If for some reason we don't have any kind of a clear
picture, if there is an unwillingness to concede on the part of
the loser and this ends up having to go to the courts, we are in
for some choppy, volatile markets for awhile," Frederick said.
On election night 2016, U.S. stock index futures plunged as
Trump pulled off an upset victory against Democrat Hillary
Clinton. However, the next day marked the start of the so-called
"Trump rally" that saw the S&P 500 jump 5% in a month, fueled by
promises of massive tax cuts and financial deregulation.
In Tuesday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial
Average .DJI rose 2.06% to end at 27,480.03 points, while the
S&P 500 .SPX gained 1.78% to 3,369.02.
The Nasdaq Composite .IXIC climbed 1.85% to 11,160.57.
The CBOE Volatility index .VIX , Wall Street's fear gauge,
touched a one-week low after hitting a 4-1/2-month high last
week.
Democrats, who already control the U.S. House of
Representatives, are also favored to emerge from 14 hotly
contested U.S. Senate races with full control of Congress,
although final results from at least five of those contests may
not be available for days, or months in some cases. <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
"Biden" shares vs "Trump" shares https://tmsnrt.rs/3881PWc
Markets under different presidents during history https://tmsnrt.rs/3p35jj4
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