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Investing.com -- Shares of Verallia (EPA:VRLA) dropped 3% following the company’s release of its financial results and guidance that indicated a cautious outlook for FY25.
The glass packaging manufacturer reported that its FY24 sales and adjusted EBITDA were broadly in line with Bloomberg consensus, with sales slightly missing by approximately 1% and adjusted EBITDA matching expectations.
However, the initial FY25 guidance provided by the company fell short of consensus estimates.
In the fourth quarter of FY24, Verallia saw its sales and adjusted EBITDA come in around 3% below and 2% above expectations, respectively. Looking ahead, the company has painted a picture of an "uncertain environment" for FY25, citing subdued European consumption and rising geopolitical and trade tensions as potential risks.
Despite these challenges, Verallia expects demand in Europe to increase marginally and to remain robust in Latin America.
For FY25, Verallia is aiming for an adjusted EBITDA close to the levels of FY24, with cost control measures and a performance program anticipated to counterbalance the adverse effects of the carryover from 2024 price reductions.
Additionally, the company projects to more than double its free cash flow (FCF) generation to around €200 million. The company’s perspective on volume growth aligns with that of its close peer O-I Glass (NYSE:OI), which forecasts stable volumes throughout FY25.
However, the initial FY25 guidance for adjusted EBITDA provided by Verallia is below the Bloomberg consensus of €884 million by a mid-single-digit percentage, signaling potential adjustments in consensus EBITDA growth expectations for FY25.
Bernstein analysts commented on the situation, stating, "Based on current consensus and company guidance, we would not rule out consensus adjusted EBITDA growth adjusting downwards to the mid-single-digit percentages in FY25."
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