Apollo Global Management at RBC Conference: Strategic Growth Insights

On Wednesday, 05 March 2025, Apollo Global Management (NYSE: APO) participated in the RBC Capital Markets Global Financial Institutions Conference 2025. The discussion, led by President Jim Zeltzer, provided a strategic overview of the alternative investment sector, highlighting both opportunities and challenges. The conversation covered the dynamic growth drivers and the evolving regulatory landscape, while also addressing the convergence of public and private markets.

Key Takeaways

• Alternative Investment Growth: Globalization, technology, deregulation, and lower interest rates are driving growth.
• Pension and Regulatory Shifts: A global pension crisis and regulatory changes are increasing demand for alternative investments.
• Public-Private Convergence: Focus on blending public and private markets to enhance transparency and pricing.
• Retail Investor Interest: Growing interest from retail investors in alternative investments necessitates better education and risk differentiation.
• Technological Advancements: AI and technology are expected to significantly impact the industry.

Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers

• Economic Factors: The alternative investment space has expanded over the past 40 years due to globalization, technology, deregulation, and lower interest rates. Post-Great Financial Crisis changes have opened new opportunities for firms like Apollo.
• Pension Crisis: A global pension crisis is pushing demand for alternative investments as traditional avenues struggle to meet retirement needs.
• Regulatory Changes: Shifts in regulations affecting high yield and leveraged loan markets are steering investors towards alternative solutions.

Regulatory Environment

• Evolving Regulations: The regulatory landscape is continuously changing, aiming to balance bank operations without giving undue advantage.
• Wealth Management: Anticipation of increased regulation in managing portfolios with potentially risky loans offering high yields.
• Capital Source: Congress views alternative investment firms as vital capital sources during market stress.

Public vs. Private Markets and Investment Grade Solutions

• Public-Private Convergence: Apollo is focusing on the convergence of public and private markets, particularly in the investment-grade space, to offer transparency and comfort to investors.
• Fixed Income Replacement: Private markets are increasingly seen as augmenting fixed income portfolios, given tight spreads in the investment-grade market.

Scale and Deployment

• Importance of Scale: Scale is crucial for attracting top talent and offering comprehensive solutions in credit markets.
• Deployment Discipline: Both Apollo and Blue Owl emphasize disciplined capital deployment, evaluating numerous deals but only proceeding with a select few.
• Partnership with Banks: Opportunities exist to partner with banks, enhancing rather than competing with them.

Wealth Channel and Retail Investors

• Bullish Outlook: Both firms are optimistic about the wealth channel, with expectations of significant growth. Wealth savings could reach $300 trillion by 2028-2029.
• Penetration Rate: Alternative investments in the wealth channel are expected to grow from 3% to 23%.
• Focus on Safe Investments: Emphasis on offering products with good income and downside protection to attract retail investors.

Future Themes

• Globalization and Technology: Continued globalization of private market solutions and significant technological gains from AI are anticipated.
• Consolidation: Potential industry consolidation is on the horizon.

In conclusion, the conference highlighted Apollo’s strategic insights into the evolving alternative investment landscape. For a deeper dive, refer to the full transcript below.

Full transcript - RBC Capital Markets Global Financial Institutions Conference 2025:

Operator: Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We really appreciate you all helping to contribute to making this our largest and most successful FI Conference to date. Thank you. I’m absolutely thrilled to be joined here up on stage with my friends and leaders in the alternative space, Jim Zeltzer and Doug Ostrover. Jim was recently named President of Apollo Global Management following his prior role as Co President of Apollo Asset Management.

Prior to joining Apollo in 02/2006 to help drive the expansion of the firm’s credit platform, Jim worked at Citigroup and its predecessor firms in a variety of positions, including CIO of Citigroup Alternative Investments. Doug is Chairman of the Board and Co CEO of BlueOwl Capital and CEO and Co CIO of each of the BlueOwl credit advisors. Doug co founded Alra Capital Partners, the predecessor to Blue Owl’s credit platform in 2016. Prior to that, Doug was founder of GSO Capital Partners, that’s Blackstone’s alternative credit platform. Prior to GSO’s founding in 02/2005, Doug worked at CSFB and its predecessor firm DLJ in various leadership roles across its leveraged finance business.

Gentlemen, thank you so much for joining.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: Happy to be here. Yes.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Thank you

Operator: for having us. You guys have been pretty busy, it seems. So to kick things off, love to sort of start at a high level. Love to get your take on how we got here. And by that, I mean, we’ve seen some economic

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: cycles. I walked eight blocks.

Operator: How many blocks did you walk down to?

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: Five. Five. You’ve got your people.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: It’s always one step ahead of me.

Operator: So we’ve seen various economic cycles. We’ve seen changes to regulatory backdrop, changes to market structure. It’d be good to get your take on what were some of the key drivers that helped led to the explosive growth in the alternative space?

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: I’ll let my friend kick it off. Yes, yes.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: Well, I think this is It’s like golf. Exactly. So we’re great friends, but we’re competitors too, but we’re great friends more importantly. We’ve probably opened the business almost forty years and I started out as a high yield trader. And when you think about what has gone on in the the big trends in the last forty years, globalization, technology, deregulation and lower rates, it’s not surprising that after the GFC, the Great Financial Crisis, that the banking system was dramatically changed as you all know in the room.

And lower rates really pushed off the impact of that for many years. But today we’re in a situation in 2025 where the global capital markets have continued to expand. There’s a massive pension crisis around the globe. And I know we find ourselves and Doug can comment, we find ourselves at this really interesting intersection of retirees around the globe in various shapes and sizes, pension fund foundations, global wealth and companies needing capital and the traditional ways of the high yield market, the leveraged loan market, the investment grade market, those are all just going through a tremendous amount of regulatory change as investors on the equity side are demanding higher ROEs for financial services companies. And so there’s just a massive amount of gaps that I didn’t when I came to Apollo nineteen years ago, I didn’t say, Wow, I got to work for this leading alternative asset management firm.

It was a PE firm that had aspirations and through a lot of ingenuity and strategy and focus we’ve got in this place today, which I do think if you are a CFO or you’re running a financial institution, understanding what’s going on in our business and what drives our business. But I think it’s a massive amount of secular trends from what’s going on in the banking system, what’s going on in the pension system, what’s going on with passive in the marketplace and how public markets have evolved. But it’s the combination of all three or four of those that’s led us to where we are today.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: I agree with all that. But let me you mentioned that I started the predecessor firm to Blackstone’s credit business, GSF, two thousand and five. So let me take you back to 02/2004. So myself, two partners, a guy named Tripp Smith and Bennett Goodman, we competed against Jim when he was at Citi, but we were number one. And

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: they were. Yes.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: I wanted to make sure you acknowledge. But anyway, so we were the number one underwriter. And it’s 02/2004 and we started thinking rather than going out and syndicating loans, which we would take down a loan and syndicated, sell to BlackRock, PIMCO, Fidelity, why don’t we go create a business where we raise a large pool of capital and we’ll keep the loan, especially the really juicy ones. And so we left at the end of 02/2004. We went out in 02/2005.

We were so excited. And everyone we met with said, this is the dumbest idea ever. You’re going to compete against RBC and Goldman and JPMorgan and B of A. How are you going to disintermediate the bank? And so we actually we went out and then we had to come stop, change our strategy to include public markets trading and distress because that’s what people understood.

And we took that business, we sold it to Blackstone and we were kind of lucky being at Blackstone because post the GFC, when we had tighter regulation, I think one being at a firm with a good brand helped. But what we saw when we went back out this time, more and more people started to believe in the possibility that pools of capital like we manage could start to disintermediate the banks. And so for us, we saw assets as you did and a few others start to really take off. And today, just to give you an idea, you’d be hard pressed to go to any institutional investor that doesn’t have an allocation to private credit. Then on top of that, so you’re seeing this trend of the institutions allocating more and more.

And then in the last number of years, and you’ve touched on this in wealth, we’re seeing more and more individual investors embrace the idea of the democratization of all. And so you’ve got a number of products, we have a number of products and I’m sure we’ll talk about wealth, but I’m expecting that to grow a lot. And then the final thing I’ll just comment on is that for firms like ours and the strategies that we’ve decided to get behind, they’ve worked. And that’s the thing that sometimes people forget is you go out, you have this vision, private debt, for example, has been an amazing asset class. Both of us had really good returns, virtually no defaults.

People believe now. Again, twenty years ago that wasn’t the case. But the confluence of all of that has led to just a lot of excitement. And I think it’s like anything in business. You go, you build a partnership, you do a good job.

When you come back with the next idea, people are much more receptive. And I think we’ve benefited from that.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: I’d add two things that Doug mentioned and this is really important in this room. We’ve both been around the high yield market for forty years. There were periods of time when the high yield market shut down for months and months at a time. People forget that. And the best time to buy companies as a PE firm or a financial sponsor is when there is no financing.

Prices are lower. And the reality is a high yield bond or a leveraged loan, while the bank may underwrite it, they’re not giving that commitment to that buyer. And so enterprising thoughtful folks that are now leading these companies, we’re able to connect those two. And just like loans did not trade thirty years ago and now loans are very liquid, these are all just evolutions of the marketplace. And to Doug’s point, you have to actually provide a valued service, which clearly is happening.

I don’t think it’s any it’s not any mistake or irony that the area in the globe where the economy is doing so well has really embraced private capital across a lot of different industries. That’s The U. S. And again, if we were not solving a need from investors and solving a need from borrowers, we wouldn’t be in these seats. And that’s clearly that’s just the reality of the economic growth of the equation, but it all gets down to the basics of what was in the high yield market and the leveraged loan market and the traditional definition of private credit, and I’m sure we’ll talk about this, the broader, much broader $40,000,000,000,000 opportunity in private credit.

Operator: So the lots of impact there. So thinking about the word alternative, you had mentioned when you first joined Apollo, Apollo is basically a private equity firm. Obviously today that’s a very small component of the overall AUM. Has the word become sort of too broad? Is it unique enough like it was back

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: years ago? Yes. So when I got there, I would go talk to investors about credit and they asked two questions. It was very binary. Is it time to invest in high yield or is it time to invest in distress?

And they were binary outcomes. And so now I think the nomenclature of alternative I think is going to be, I’m not going to say it’s going to go the way of jump bonds and now high yield, but I think it’s going to be much more private markets. I think that’s going to be the conversation in ensuing years. I think alternatives, which we both talk about, I think it is an anachronistic term because it’s really the most extreme or the highest risk private equity, real estate, venture capital. And I think the alternatives are going to be across the whole spectrum of solutions for companies and investors.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: I personally would like to get rid of the phrase. Jim touched on it. And you mentioned junk bonds and we lived for a long time where everything we did was called junk bonds, now it’s called high yield. The big issue, especially as you go on the wealth channel is when you hear the phrase alternative, it was created around hedge funds back in the ’80s and ’90s that were wildly volatile. And I think you mentioned those.

Today, if you go all the way to the left like a super concentrated hedge fund with lots of vol targeting really super high returns or a VC fund over here. And then all the way over here you have a senior secured loan fund that all of that is considered an alternative. And what I spend a lot of time especially with individuals is think about those. Many of you probably invested in Fidelity or BlackRock or PIMCO high yield fund. I don’t know where exactly it trades today, but if I was guessing 7.5%, That’s unsecured risk with bad covenants.

We’re creating senior secured loans, so we’re senior to that, much better covenants, much better protection at a 10%. And if we use a little leverage, we can get a 12%, maybe higher. So just doesn’t that make intuitive sense to go from unsecured at 7.5 to pick up 400, five hundred basis points senior secured, but it’s called an alternative. And so that gets everybody nervous. But I think we’ve done a good job of explaining to people, yes, you’re giving up some liquidity, but we’re actually offering something that’s a little bit safer.

So I think we have to do a better job of educating people and starting to differentiate where things are on the risk spectrum. So we talked about at

Operator: a high level regulatory has clearly had an impact on the opportunity that, right, is probably driven in a part with some component to growth of your respective businesses in the overall market. Now when you consider just the scale of your businesses, the scale of the sector, the fact that you talked about the democratization of finance and the retail investors coming in. How do you see the regulatory environment? Are there changes to the regulatory environment just to look after the retail investor and start coming back in and more regulation by virtue, just the ultimate scale and the impact on the financial system?

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: Well, I mean, I would the answer is the regulatory backdrop is continuing to evolve and none of us, I don’t believe, are saying there should be no regulations. We just want thoughtful regulations, which I think there are today. And it’s again, I think that the regulatory backdrop has allowed banks, the large banks to thrive. Some would say maybe just to a certain degree with too great an advantage. But we’re highly regulated around the globe between insurance companies, between insurance regulators and other financial service regulators.

So there is a great degree of regulation. I think in the end of the day it will continue to evolve and there’s lots of questions about how the role of these investments that have been really the purview of institutions for twenty five, thirty years, the ability for that to continue to morph and evolve with the whole concept of Arista and D. C, which is in the future. But I think we I know our view is we’re a large brand, we’re a public company, there’s a higher degree, and we do not believe I believe that this industry has created less systematic risk consolidated banking system. You see what’s going on with the banking system in Europe versus the banking system in U.

S. And Canada. And I think we have a healthier industry overall because of the evolution of it.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Yes. I think deregulation, I get that question a lot. Are we going to see the banks come back in and take market share? I don’t see that happening. We both operate in an environment where it’s kind of interesting.

The banking model actually hasn’t changed in twenty five years, even longer. And by that I mean, I mentioned I was at a firm DLJ. We had no capital. I got to Credit Suisse. I got a $5,000,000,000 line of credit to go make loans.

What did I want to do? Make $5,000,000,000 of loans, turnaround, sell those out as quickly as possible. Back then, the good old days, we can make as much as three points on those. That’s $150,000,000 of profit. And so what I want to do is a velocity of capital gain, do it over and over and over and try to make $1,000,000,000 1 point 5 billion dollars and in some years we did.

And I would bet if you went to your fixed income department and asked them today where you’re making the most money, it’s in that business. Making loans, high yield commitments and selling them out as quickly as possible, sometimes you never find and you’ve laid it off already. So it can be an infinite return on capital. The other thing I just want to mention with regard to regulation, especially in wealth, and our business is a little bit different. Almost everything we do is a 40 Act fund.

So we’re already fully regulated. We’re filing Qs, we’re filing Ks, we have a board, we major changes, we file AKs. Could there be more? Yes. I would say where you’ll probably see regulation really sneak into our marketplace, especially in wealth.

If someone will go out and do a create a portfolio, let’s say it’s loans of really bad loans. They’ll try to get really high yields to attract more capital. They won’t be careful or diligent in their leverage facilities. And it will get a lot of press and create a not systemic risk, but just losses. And then there’ll be a lot of hand waving.

But as Jim said, look, we don’t use a lot of leverage. There’s no systemic risk. And I can tell you that in Congress today, speaking with our lobbyists, everybody likes having a source of capital away from the bank. You were mentioning the banks sometimes leave the market, the high yield market. Well, during COVID, nobody was making loans.

We had $100,000,000,000 loan book. We were open for business. In 2022, when rates went up 500 basis points, nobody was making loans. We were able to come in and make really attractive loans. And that’s where our capital, by the way, in a normal market it’s good.

In a market where there’s turmoil and nobody else lending, it becomes great and has a lot of value. And I think regulators or at least Congress likes having it. I’d add a

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: couple of points as we double down here, double click. When you take a step back, you have the high yield market, you have the leveraged loan market, and the traditional private lending that Doug has just described, the counterparty is a non investment grade company. We all know that in the room. I do find it a bit funny that some executives talk about the bubble in private direct lending, and they’re very active in the public high yield and leveraged loan product where they make two or three points for underwriting, but the same type of counterparty risk, there’s a massive bubble. And for twenty years I’d never heard about the bubble in the high yield or the leveraged loan market, which they dominate.

That’s one point. The second is I’d come take a bigger step back. For our firm, because of how basically when you think about a policy, we have about $800,000,000,000 of assets. Simply speaking, $400,000,000,000 from investors like you think about around the globe, $400,000,000,000 from insurance balance sheets. We’ve taken our cost of capital down dramatically, and hence when I talk about private credit or when we talk about private credit at Apollo, we’re talking as much as about investment grade solutions.

So what we did for Sony or Air France or Vinovia or Intel, and I think that’s a bigger conversation. So when we talk about where the alternatives business is going, where the industry is going with regard to providing solutions to companies and investors, someone on the insurance space, that’s where I think the bigger conversation is. And while we love private direct lending and Apollo and certainly the company that Thugs built, our industry leaders, there’s a broader conversation that people in this room need to understand about where the industry is going. And I just think that’s a broader conversation in light of longer term need for capital when so much of the market structure has gone passive, has gone ETFs. And we can use we can both talk about how much trading capital there used to be in the high yield market on high yield desks ten, twenty years ago when the marketplace was one fifth the sides and now it’s seven times bigger and there’s no more trading capital.

So you have these big structural changes which lead to our view of where this business is going in the future. And really it’s been a business really been dominated in North America. If there’s ever any changes over in Europe because of what Draghi is putting forth or what Germany put forth yesterday, there’s a collectively the industry is under invested and the banks are still for the most part following an older model, which I believe will evolve big time. So you

Operator: touched on scale. You guys both hosted investor days within the last several months and talked about multi year plans to double AUM.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: And talk to us about the benefit that you’re seeing from the scale that you guys enjoy. I’ll start. Scale is earned. There’s a reason why in 02/2008, ’2 thousand and ’9 when GE couldn’t roll over its CP business, the American of the Congress and the Senate learned about the impact of the credit markets and how valuable they are. And it’s not that we don’t like PE, we love the PE business, but raising for us a $25,000,000,000 fund investing over five years, we can’t invest anymore diligently and judiciously, where the world of credit, as we all know, is the lifeblood of any economy.

And so it’s the reason why we’ve chosen this. At the same time, investors for twenty five years, did they actually allocated less and less and less and less to credit and fixed income for twenty five years. And now with the re rise in rates, now investors are now racing it again. So we have investors looking for solutions and we have companies looking for solutions. And so scale is earned, scale allows you to attract the best human capital, which has been the big change since I’ve been in the business.

When I started, the best and the brightest were at the top investment banks. I think today the best and the brightest are in our business on the buy side. And so I think scale allows you a lot of advantages, but it’s no surprise it’s in the business of credit.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Yes, I’ll just add. Look, when I started Blue Owl ten years ago and I can say this for all the businesses we’re in, but let me start with lending. If I were to show you the lending market, to me it looks like a pyramid. And at the bottom of that pyramid, there were a lot of people who could make loans of, let’s call it, $20,000,000 30 million dollars and you had a $50,000,000.70000000 dollars 1 hundred million dollars if you’re going to get to the top, $200,000,000 4 hundred million dollars today it’s $1,000,000,000 There’s just a handful of players. And so as I thought about what we wanted to build, I wanted to go one, to where the area where there was less competition.

And that was at the top of the pyramid and that meant making bigger loans. I also wanted to be in a place where we thought we could best protect the downside. And so this is just a personal view. When you’re lending to bigger companies, they have more levers to pull where if they get in trouble they can sell an asset, they can get a revolver, they can do whatever it takes to preserve capital. And in the lending business in general my rule is it’s not how much you make when things work.

The real test is how do you do when there’s a problem? And in general, if we can get investors worst case back $0.8 on the dollar on a loan and we’ve gotten two or three years of coupon that means our investors have gotten back par. We can deliver par on bad situation, then the fund will be a huge success. And so what we’ve tried to do, whether it’s in real estate, we have something GP Stakes, data centers, What we really want to do is in all the markets we play in, try to be in this position where we can be at the top of that pyramid. And as we were saying earlier, there are times where markets are really efficient and scale.

It buys you a little but not that much. But just with the volatility we’ve seen in the last couple of weeks, somebody needs a $1,000,000,000 2 billion dollars commitment. There’s just a handful of firms you can go to. And that’s what we want to take advantage. And for those advantage of it.

And for those who are in banking or underwriting, I think all of you know it’s the identical amount of work to make a $50,000,000 commitment versus a $500,000,000 commitment or same underwriting. So there’s just incredible economies at scale.

Operator: How about the other side of the equation for scale, the challenge that scale brings? You’ve got an incredible amount of capital that you’ve got coming into each of your respective firms. The feels like the real challenge is not it’s never really been about these days about getting the capital in, it’s about deploying the capital and good investment. Do you feel is the pressure out there to deploy the capital? How do you remain disciplined?

And then you guys remaining disciplined, do you worry about the folks out there that might not have all the infrastructure in place to do the same?

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Well, I’ll kick that one off. First of all, we have a loan book, I think it’s $130,000,000,000 and we tell people that and everybody’s like, oh my God, you have to invest $130,000,000,000 It’s invested. So what are we investing every year? It’s new capital that’s coming in and it depends on the structure. Some of it we have to get working more quickly.

Others we have five years to get it to work. And then the stuff that gets refinanced out. So just to give you an idea, look, we have a massive team. And I’ll just again comment on our biggest business, which is the lending piece. It’s all about having a very big deal funnel.

And if you can run the business very lean and depend on others to generate deal flow or you can go out and generate it all yourself. Apollo has really big funnel. I think in corporate credit, we have one of the biggest. But to give you an idea, we are doing less than 5% of the deals that come in house. Doesn’t mean they’re bad deals, but for one reason or another they don’t meet the criteria that we need.

It might be an industry, for example. We don’t have anything against energy, for example, but we don’t want to do anything, any loans that are based on a commodity. So oil, commodity chemical, just doesn’t fit us. It could be there could be the industry, it could be covenants, it could be pricing, But we do a little under 5% of what we see. And so we’re evaluating, I think, about 1,600, 17 hundred deals a year.

And just based on what comes in and what gets refinanced, it hasn’t been an issue. I also think that no offense against the press and not to sound like Donald Trump.

Operator: This is

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: not a political statement. But you were commenting on the credit private credit bubble and nobody talks about the high yield market. By the way, if there’s a private credit bubble, you know what there is? There’s a PE bubble because they’re junior to us. Us.

They get wiped out. And so I would tell you just circling back to your question, not losing a lot of sleep about deployment. There are always going to be people who make bad investments. As a bunch of money come into the market without a doubt. But this is not like something we haven’t seen over the last twenty years.

I mean, if I just took you back when I launched the firm in 2015, ’20 ’16 rates went to basically zero and everybody wanted to get some incremental spread. So there was huge inflows. And I remember I went we were just launching. I went to see the CIO of a big state plan and this is ten years ago. And he showed me, he’s like why would I invest with you?

Because all these incumbents we’ve invested with. And he said and he might have been exaggerating a little but not by a lot. He said I got 100 books on my desk of people trying to get in the market. So my point is it’s a competitive marketplace, no different than your business. And what we’ve seen is the good firms have been able to attract capital and attract the best deal.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: I’ll add a couple of things to this. I always say it’s like watch where the activity is. I don’t think it’s if you look at the Apollo or Blue Owl Capital or any of our peers, none of us have a public high yield fund. We’re all pretty commercial folks. If we thought it was a good idea and we could raise capital, we’d have done it.

I think that tells you something. But I’d also I’d contrast our two firms to some degree and Blue Owl is an amazing firm. We have a much broader capital base in terms of the liabilities that we bring in because of our insurance business. We’re trying to make our liabilities on the insurance side are approximately 5%. We’re trying to make 7% on that capital.

So we’re not trying to make 12% or 10% or 12%, which is wonderful for the other side of our business. And so for us, we have built this origination machine. We have 16 platforms, 4,000 people that every day they go out and they’re trying to do senior secured safe spread, make 7.5%, eight % on aircraft loans, on solar loans, on commercial real estate debt, on inventory finance. And so for us, I do believe that we have the scale of the origination which is going to differentiate because if anything, we’ve both been through four or five cycles. You don’t want to be making $10,000,000 to $20,000,000 loans to companies that can evaporate.

We’ve made that proactive. We thought it was a good business, we would be in it, trust me. But it’s not. And there will be an economic cycle and there will be a washout and those who have created great robust consistent persistent yield and really are answering those questions. But for us, this whole world of private markets and private credit, again, we love the direct origination business and there’s a handful of folks that are at the top of that pyramid, but there’s a whole host of other businesses that we believe in partnership with the banks, whether it’s senior junior, whether it’s a longer tenure, whether it’s a strip of each, we have found many asset classes where this idea that we’re in this battle with the banks, we actually find it just the opposite.

We’re doing more with the larger banks, this bank included, this institution included across the breadth of our franchise because people forget when you have a BDC or a senior loan fund and you bring in a dollar of equity, you probably need a dollar of debt. And there’s only so much where you can go with that in the IG market. And so the partnership we have with many institutions is really critical to that. So I think we’re both believers in massive open architecture, this idea that you would never at Apollo lend to KKR or Carlisle or Blackstone. We have $50,000,000,000 out of those folks.

And we have a ton of money out to your company. Not enough. Okay. Not enough. Okay.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: So this is why Now that I know you’re open for business. Exactly.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: But I just think that’s Then you charge too much. That’s just the way of the world is. This idea of there were investment banks and there’s PE firms and the two shall not meet, like that’s just not the reality of how the business has evolved.

Operator: You guys are important partners to us, so I echo the sentiment. Let’s pivot a little bit and talk about the public and private markets, the line between the two markets. Is there a distinct line today? Why don’t I turn it over to you, Joe?

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: So we’ve been very public about this and I don’t want to differentiate. When we talk about the public private convergence, we’re really talking about the world of investment grade. When we go out and make a loan or I’m sure Doug will say as well, we go out and make a loan to a private sponsor we’re doing it for certainty and scale and pricing and we’re serving a need. There’s not a need to have those loans be tradable. I do believe over time, I was at Goldman Sachs in 1990 when we had the idea of trading loans and people thought it was a crazy idea.

I do think over time five, ten years that may happen. But the reality is today if you are a private company, if you’re SpaceX, if you’re Stripe, you don’t need to go public. There are enough pools of capital that can fund you debt, equity, inventory, finance, whatever it may be to solve your needs. And so what we have found is we use our own balance sheet for scale solutions, $3,000,000,000 5 billion dollars 10 billion dollars solutions. And when we do so, we have found in the investment grade arena that investors are saying how do I get comfortable with the transparency and pricing?

How do I tell my investment teams that I’m picking up 200 versus the Barclays Ag? And so what we have found is providing a marketplace that will in time increase the participation. I saw it in the jump bond market that turned to high yield. I saw it in the leveraged loan market that became the syndicated loan market. And so for portions of private credit, the bigger ocean, the investment grade ocean, we believe that convergence is happening.

And instead of buying the Intel Holdco bond at 5% with no covenants and then get eviscerated, we’ll lend them $11,000,000,000 make 7.75% and we’re the first lien on the Irish fab of which there’s two in the world. And so in that marketplace of that origination, we think there’s a tremendous opportunity. And again, whether it’s what investors are asking us for us today, what folks like the banks who finance those assets are saying, boy, if there was some transparency, we would loan more money against it. And so for us, we see what’s going on in ETFs in the loan space. AAA CLO paper was not considered a liquid asset class.

There were seven banks in the world who bought it, six of which were in a block in Tokyo. Now that’s a 21,000,000,000 ETF in the last two years. So I think that just brings in lots of questions about what’s going to be liquid. So yes, we’re a believer. We’re creating products.

We’re creating a marketplace for the investment grade solution area of that.

Operator: So Doug, you and your partners have gone on record saying you have no intention on building a marketplace. In fact, I wrote the quote, then our version of private credit is indeed private. Is that are you hearing that from your investors? Like do you think that’s going to be a key differentiator of Blue Owl going forward?

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Well, first of all, I was hoping Jim would do it in the below investment grade space. We didn’t have to do anything. We could trade on his system. But no, listen, we started our business with this idea, we’re going to go, we’re going to raise a pool of capital, we’re going to build a portfolio and we’re going to lift it. We’re going to allow you to have daily liquidity.

And at the time that was a product that was mostly in wealth channel. There had been virtually no big institutional pool. I went to the institutions and I said, I think this makes sense for you. And they all said the same thing. What if you trade below NAV?

I said, well, if we trade below NAV, you’re super sophisticated. You’ll come in, you’ll evaluate the loan. And if you think this is cheap trading below intrinsic value, why would you go allocate to a pure private fund just by the public? And what happened was there was a lot of volatility, especially as rates were moving, and people didn’t like the volatility. And in fact, there was a time where we traded down to, I don’t know, low 80s of NAV.

Today we’re above NAV, but then low 80s. And big institutions were like, I can’t take the volatility I’m selling. And I call CIOs. It’s counterintuitive, this behavior. And they said, no, my board doesn’t like the ball.

So to answer your question, it was a pretty valuable lesson. We’re still in that space. We love that space. But we realize that people like part of what they like about this asset class is it always trades in and around that. So we’re going to let Jim and Mark Rowan go and test the waters and then we’ll figure it out.

Operator: And for you Jim, is that more you’re hearing that from through the origination lens or is it

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: No, it’s really the we talk a lot about the idea of fixed income replacement and it really is this idea that private markets will augment a fixed income portfolio. And the IG market right now is incredibly tight, 85 basis points over. And as Doug mentioned earlier, it’s not really great, it’s not secured risk, it’s unsecured risk. And so investors are saying for us to put some of that fixed income capital against these opportunities, we need a bit more transparency. And so we think that’s going to be a growth engine and I can’t directly talk about it, but I do think on a lot of ETFs, if you look at you can look up what’s the underlying collateral.

And I think people are surprised when they see what we’ve done recently, it’s been an activity of really more the investment grade purview. So I think for us investors are asking for it. They have a different view of the volatility. And I think that they’re trying to broaden out the idea of fixed income replacement in the investment grade.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Yes, it makes sense in IG. It’s just different. Yes.

Operator: The I want to hit a couple other themes here. We talked about this the democratization of finance and there’s obviously expected to be continue to be some real shifts going between institutional and retail. Be curious how you each see that playing out over the next five, ten years? And also as you market to that retail investor, what are they looking for? How do you differentiate your product to get their attention?

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Well, look, I think we’re both really bullish on the wealth channel. So if I took you back to when I was leaving Blackstone, I was trying to figure out what could we do with this new firm that could be different than the biggest firms in the market. Believe it or not, just ten years ago, all the big firms were outsourcing distribution. There was something called the advisorsub advisor model, where the advisor would go out, raise the money and then firms like Blackstone, KKR, Carlyle would manage the money. And there was a lot of tension and it didn’t work that well.

And I was a big believer in wealth. So we decided to build it ten years ago and bring everything in house and the market has moved that way. So why are people so excited about those? Well, one, it’s expected that there will be $300,000,000,000,000 of savings, wealth savings by 2028, ’20 ’20 ’9, dollars ’3 hundred trillion. The penetration of all at that point is expected to be in and around 3%.

The institutional market is over 25%. So just indulge me for a second and assume this wealth channel over time with more and more products coming in the market to go from 3% just to make the math simple, it grows by 20 points to 23% on a $300,000,000,000,000 market. That’s $60,000,000,000,000 that could flow into our marketplace. And so we obviously all see that. We have different estimates of what will come in, the size of the market.

But there’s a belief as we continue to offer good products, products that work. What we’re trying to bring to the market is not where I was describing that left side of all, but more the right side. And that is good current income, downside protected with a chance some of the products for meaningful capital gain. And we’ve been able to attract just to give you an idea, we’re about $275,000,000,000 of assets, close to 40% of our capital comes from wealth, 60% institutional. Last year it was fifty-fifty and I think it will stay like that for some time.

So I think it’s a big opportunity. I think we’re in the really early innings and working with firms like yours and others. And with education, I don’t know if we get to that 23%, twenty five % penetration, but I think it’s possible. Jim, in terms of

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: The only thing I’d add is I think it’s on top of what Doug articulately put forth. I think there’s not 100 winners here. I think there’s a handful of winners. I think scale, brand, education, feet on the street, breadth of product, partnership, The mode is being created today. There’s a war for talent.

There’s a war for beachfront property. There’s a war for shelf space. And so I think as you come back in five years from now, there will be a few select firms I believe both of us will be part of that that have cemented their role in that distribution system.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: Yes. I read a stat yesterday that six firms have 65% of the market. And we’re fortunate to be in those, both of us. And I agree with you. I don’t see that changing in a meaningful way.

Operator: We got to see that.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: So I want to be

Operator: mindful of time here just to wrap up. Five years you guys are invited to come back. My sense is you may tell me it’s your successors at that point. But when we sit down five years from now, what are some of the key themes that you expect us to be talking about? Like consolidation one of

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: them? I think it’s more of this public private convergence. I think there will be a much broader commentary about private market solutions across equity and fixed income. I think it will be more global. There will be more partnerships.

There’s going to be some consolidation. Doug’s been more active in that space than we have. That’s a bit more challenging. But certainly I think it’s going to be evolution and I think that this is a massive secular trend. We’re very fortunate.

We sit at this very interesting intersection where there’s demand on both sides of our equation. So but I think it’s a further evolution of that.

Doug Ostrover, Chairman of the Board and Co CEO, BlueOwl Capital: So I think both of us will still be around. We’re both bad golfers, so we need an excuse. We know we play, yes. So I but if you were to ask me, I think wealth is going to exceed expectations. I think in the near term, we have a tendency to overestimate the impact of AI.

And looking at a number of years we underestimated. So I think there’ll be a tremendous technological gain. If you look at the CapEx of Microsoft, Google, Facebook and others, I think it’s $400,000,000,000 this year on AI. I won’t get into things like robots, drones, but I think we’re going to see big changes in productivity. And then also along with that, I think cyber attacks are going to be up dramatically.

And we have a big software lending business and cybersecurity is something we’re really focused on. And then the other thing that’s just really obvious to me, if we’re back in five years, many of you are going to say, why didn’t I buy Blue Owl and Apollo stock? So anyway, thanks for having me.

Jim Zeltzer, President, Apollo Global Management: I was always told to bring a present when you get invited somewhere. So I have hats for both of you. Make IG liquid again. All right. So I want to give it to both of you to the Apollo support.

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