Earnings call transcript: AirSculpt Technologies misses Q3 2025 forecasts

AirSculpt Technologies Inc. reported disappointing third-quarter results for 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) and revenue falling short of expectations. The company posted an EPS of -$0.15, significantly below the forecasted -$0.02, marking a surprise of 650%. Revenue also missed projections, coming in at $35 million against a forecast of $39.8 million, reflecting a 12.06% shortfall. Following the announcement, AirSculpt’s stock dropped 23.93% in premarket trading, reflecting investor concerns over the company’s financial performance.

Key Takeaways

• AirSculpt reported a larger-than-expected loss with an EPS of -$0.15, against a forecast of -$0.02.
• Revenue declined 17.8% year-over-year, missing the forecast by 12.06%.
• The company’s stock fell 23.93% in premarket trading following the earnings announcement.
• AirSculpt is expanding into new service areas to address demand from GLP-1 medication patients.
• The company reduced its 2025 revenue outlook to $153 million, down from $160-$170 million.

Company Performance

AirSculpt Technologies experienced a challenging third quarter with revenue declining 17.8% compared to the same period last year. The company reported a net loss of $9.5 million, with adjusted EBITDA falling to $3 million from $4.7 million in the previous year. The decline in same-store revenue by 22% and a 15.2% drop in total cases contributed to the overall weak performance.

Financial Highlights

• Revenue: $35 million, down 17.8% year-over-year
• Earnings per share: -$0.15, compared to a forecast of -$0.02
• Adjusted EBITDA: $3 million, down from $4.7 million year-over-year
• Net loss: $9.5 million
• Adjusted net loss: $2.4 million or $0.04 per diluted share

Earnings vs. Forecast

AirSculpt’s actual EPS of -$0.15 missed the forecasted -$0.02 by a significant margin, resulting in a 650% negative surprise. This marked a notable deviation from expectations and highlighted the company’s ongoing financial challenges. The revenue shortfall of 12.06% further underscored the difficulties faced by AirSculpt in meeting market expectations.

Market Reaction

Following the earnings release, AirSculpt’s stock price fell sharply by 23.93% in premarket trading. The stock, which had a previous close of $10.49, dropped to $7.98, reflecting investor disappointment with the company’s performance. This decline places the stock closer to its 52-week low of $1.53, indicating significant market concerns.

Outlook & Guidance

AirSculpt revised its 2025 revenue outlook downward to $153 million, from an earlier range of $160-$170 million. The company remains optimistic about improving same-store sales performance in the fourth quarter and anticipates an EBITDA of approximately $16 million for the year. Strategic initiatives include expanding service offerings for GLP-1 medication patients and launching new pilot programs.

Executive Commentary

CEO Yogi Jashnani highlighted the transformative impact of GLP-1 therapies on the aesthetics market, stating, "GLP-1 therapies are reshaping the aesthetics landscape." CFO Dennis Dean noted, "We are seeing improving same-store sales performance," indicating potential positive trends in the upcoming quarters. Jashnani also emphasized the company’s strategic positioning, saying, "Our capabilities, scale, and brand uniquely position us to capture this major opportunity."

Risks and Challenges

• Continued revenue decline and net losses pose significant financial risks.
• Market saturation and competition in the aesthetic treatment industry.
• Economic uncertainties and potential impacts on consumer spending.
• Execution risks related to new service expansions and strategic initiatives.
• Dependence on the growing yet volatile GLP-1 patient market.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts focused on cost control strategies and the potential market opportunity among GLP-1 patients. Discussions also centered on the timing of revenue challenges and the company’s plans for service expansion. Executives addressed these concerns, providing insights into AirSculpt’s strategic direction and operational adjustments.

Full transcript - Airsculpt Technologies Inc (AIRS) Q3 2025:

Conference Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the AirSculpt Technologies third quarter 2025 earnings call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please key star and then zero on your telephone keypad. Please note that this event is being recorded. I will now hand the call over to Alison Malkin of ICR. Please go ahead.

Alison Malkin, Investor Relations, ICR: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss AirSculpt Technologies’ results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. Joining me on the call today are Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, and Dennis Dean, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that this conference call may include forward-looking statements. These statements may include our future expectations regarding financial results and guidance, market opportunities, and our growth. Risks and uncertainties that may impact these statements and could cause actual future results to differ materially from currently projected results are described in this morning’s press release and the reports we will file with the SEC, all of which can be found on our website at investors.airsculpt.com. We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements or information except as required by law. During our call today, we will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures.

We use non-GAAP measures in some of our financial discussions as we believe they more accurately represent the true operational performance and underlying results of our business. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in our earnings release as filed this morning and in our most recent 10-Q, which will also be available on our website. For today’s call, Yogi will begin with an overview of our third quarter and share an update on our strategic priorities. Then Dennis will review our financial results in more detail and provide our outlook. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Yogi.

Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Thank you, Alison, and good morning, everyone. During the quarter, we made strong progress on our key initiatives that focused on new growth opportunities, margin improvement, and debt reduction. While third-quarter revenue was lower than anticipated, this is reflective of timing instead of trajectory of our business. Most significantly, we are setting the stage to realize a broader market opportunity to provide body-contouring solutions that address the unwanted side effects related to GLP-1 use. This represents a long-term growth engine for AirSculpt. Our capabilities, scale, and brand uniquely position us to capture this major opportunity in aesthetic surgery, which we are calling the GLP-1 transformation. To that end, we have expanded and refined our strategy to focus on three key areas: introducing new services to capture the GLP-1 opportunity, enhancing our sales and marketing strategy, and financial discipline in the areas of margin improvement and capital allocation.

First, we are introducing new services to capture our GLP-1 market opportunity, which is broader and more durable than I initially expected. We see our skin tightening pilot programs as part of a long-term opportunity that is highly complementary with our core body-contouring business. GLP-1 medications have fundamentally reshaped how consumers approach weight loss and wellness, and we are seeing this change is beginning to create demand for aesthetic procedures that align to our existing brand and capabilities. In the long term, we believe these procedures can account for a significant portion of AirSculpt’s revenue and drive meaningful growth. For context, global GLP-1 prescriptions have grown at roughly 38% annually between 2022 and 2024, with total sales expected to reach $100 billion by 2030, according to a study from McKinsey & Company.

GLP-1 therapies are reshaping the aesthetics landscape, with 63% of GLP-1 patients seeking aesthetic treatments post-use, representing new consumers to the market. Equally encouraging is that nearly two-thirds of patients that have lost 11-30% of their body weight have multiple concerns with GLP-1 medication side effects, driving growth in patient needs for skin tightening and overall reshaping after significant weight loss. At AirSculpt, we have begun to serve this patient base as our protocols, scale, and brand trust give us a meaningful head start to further capitalize on this opportunity. While it’s still early, in our pilots, we are seeing higher conversion rates amongst GLP-1 patients. The first step toward realizing this potential was our successful pilot of skin tightening that began in Q2 and has recently been expanded to multiple centers.

While we saw a lift in tightening services in the third quarter, we found that many clients coming in for this procedure have loose skin beyond what skin tightening can address. As a result, we have begun to add new procedures to address loose skin when skin tightening alone is not sufficient, thus expanding our total addressable market. This represents a natural extension for us as the scale player in this space. Looking ahead, we will continue to invest to capture this meaningful opportunity. Our second area of focus is enhancing our sales and marketing strategy. In Q3, we adapted our marketing spend to align with the moderation in our revenue trend and prioritized initiatives that drive higher conversion. As we move forward, our marketing approach will balance near-term lead generation with longer-term brand building with a more diversified media mix, including targeted influencer campaigns and television advertising.

This is designed to strengthen lead quality, improve conversion, and deepen our focus on the affluent consumer base. With our sales team, we are implementing new training modules and tools as we remain focused on improving conversion. Finally, we have also improved financing options for our patients. Our third area of focus is maintaining strong financial discipline both in our margins and capital allocation. Year to date, we have generated more than $3 million in annualized cost savings net of investments in new growth initiatives. We expect to continue unlocking incremental value from our current operations, which we anticipate will expand our operating margin going forward. Turning to capital allocation, we have repaid nearly $18 million of our debt year to date. Debt repayment continues to be the primary focus of our capital allocation strategy in the near term.

Beyond that, we will continue to invest in growth initiatives, including new procedures. In Q3, we made the decision to close our center in London. As part of a strategic review of all our centers, we saw this was the only unprofitable center and would have required significant investment to turn around. Instead, we have chosen to focus our resources on delivering growth to our North America locations where we continue to see considerable opportunity. We are updating our annual outlook and expect 2025 revenue of approximately $153 million as compared to our previous guidance in the range of $160 million-$170 million. We expect 2025 EBITDA of approximately $16 million, the bottom end of our guidance of $16 million-$18 million. For the fourth quarter, we are seeing improving same-store sales performance compared to our year-to-date trend.

Additionally, our implied fourth-quarter EBITDA guidance highlights stronger margins both sequentially and year over year. Turning to personnel news, this morning we announced Michael Arthur will be joining AirSculpt as Chief Financial Officer starting January 2026. He assumes the CFO position from Dennis Dean, who will retire, as we had previously announced, following a transition period. Michael is a seasoned executive who brings public market experience and has led financial organizations through growth, complexity, and change. I am confident he will add meaningful strength to our leadership team. Over the next few weeks, Dennis will work closely with Michael to ensure a seamless transition, and I’m looking forward to working with him as we position AirSculpt to realize its true growth potential. Secondly, on Wednesday, we filed an 8-K announcing that Dr. Aaron Rollins has resigned from the board citing personal reasons.

He confirmed this was not due to any disagreements between him and the company, its management, or the board on any matter related to the company’s operations, policies, or practices. We thank Aaron for all his contributions to AirSculpt and wish him all the best. In summary, we have expanded and refined our strategy to focus on three key areas: introducing new services to capture the GLP-1 opportunity, enhancing our sales and marketing strategy, and financial discipline in the area of margin improvement and capital allocation. While near-term revenue reflects a period of transition, our growing suite of procedures, balanced marketing strategy, and disciplined execution give us the confidence in our long-term trajectory. I will now pass it over to Dennis.

Dennis Dean, Chief Financial Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Thank you, Yogi, and good morning, everyone. As I’d mentioned in my remarks last quarter, I’d like to thank the team at AirSculpt for the opportunity to lead this organization as Chief Financial Officer for the past four years. It has been an exciting journey, and I’m certain that Michael is the right choice for CFO. I am committed to ensuring a smooth transition of my responsibilities and look forward to watching AirSculpt reach greater heights after I exit the business. Now turning to our financial performance. As mentioned, revenue for the quarter was $35 million, a 17.8% decline versus the prior year quarter, with same-store revenue down approximately 22%. Cases declined 15.2% to 2,780, with same-store cases down approximately 20%.

An average revenue per case for the quarter was $12,587, a decline of approximately 3% from the prior year quarter, but above the midpoint of our historical range of $12,000-$13,000. The percentage of patients using financing to pay for procedures was 52%, which is comparable to what we experienced in the second quarter. As a reminder, we receive full payment of all procedures upfront, and we have no recourse related to patients who finance their procedures with third-party vendors. Cost of services decreased by $2.9 million compared to the prior year period, and as a percentage of revenue, increased to 42.5% versus 41.8%. Selling, general, and administrative expenses decreased $6 million in the quarter compared to the same period in fiscal 2024, which reflects the impact of our cost management activities and reductions in our equity-based compensation.

Our customer acquisition cost for the quarter was approximately $3,100 per case as compared to $2,900 in the prior year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $3 million compared to $4.7 million for the fiscal 2024 second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 8.7% compared to 11% in the prior year quarter. The declines in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin are the result of our revenue declines. Net loss for the quarter was $9.5 million, and adjusted net loss for the quarter of $2.4 million, or $0.04 per diluted share. Our net loss included two non-cash charges recorded during the quarter. The first relates to our Salesforce technology project.

When we initially started the Salesforce project in Q4 of 2022, we planned for it to cover everything from marketing and sales to operations and clinical processes, but we realized that the strength of the platform lies in marketing and sales, so that is where we are focusing our energy. As a result, we recorded a non-cash impairment charge of $4.6 million during the quarter related to those components we do not expect to be used. For operations and clinical needs, we are pursuing alternative solutions that are better tailored to those workflows and for our business. We continue to be pleased with the portions of this project that we have implemented related to marketing activities and expect to complete the rest of the Salesforce implementation related to the sales function in the first quarter of 2026.

We also recorded a loss of approximately $2.3 million related to the closure of our facility in London. This charge primarily relates to an impairment to the long-term assets we have recorded at the center. Additionally, we recorded approximately $1 million to selling, general, and administrative expense during the quarter related to accelerating the amortization of the right-of-use asset at this facility. This increase in lease expense had no impact to cash. During the quarter, we generated $400,000 of revenue at the London Center, and our adjusted EBITDA was a negative $150,000. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, we recorded revenue at our London Center of $1.4 million, and our adjusted EBITDA was a negative $600,000. Turning to our balance sheet, as of September 30, 2025, cash was $5.4 million, and gross debt outstanding was $57.9 million, and our $5 million revolver remains undrawn.

Our leverage ratio, as calculated according to our credit agreement, was 3.04 times on September 30, 2025, and we are in compliance with all covenants under the terms of our credit agreement. As a reminder, during the second quarter, we repaid $16 million of debt, including $5 million on our revolver and a $10 million prepayment as a result of using proceeds from our capital raise and cash from operations. These activities reflect our ongoing commitment to strengthening the balance sheet, which allows us to move forward with an improved capital structure and enhanced flexibility. Cash flow from operations for the quarter was a use of cash of $225,000 compared to an increase of cash of $1.8 million in the third quarter of 2024.

Turning to our outlook, for 2025, we are updating our revenue outlook to approximately $153 million versus our previous revenue guidance in the range of $160-$170 million. We are reiterating the low end of our adjusted EBITDA guidance of approximately $16 million within our range of $16-$18 million. For the fourth quarter, our revenue guidance implies a smaller year-over-year decline, and we are seeing improving same-store sales performance compared to our year-to-date trend. At the same time, our implied Q4 EBITDA guidance highlights stronger margins both sequentially and year-over-year. I will now turn the call over to the operator to begin the question-and-answer portion of the call.

Conference Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now be conducting the question-and-answer session. Please note that participants making use of speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. We also ask that you limit yourselves to one question and a follow-up. You are then welcome to rejoin the question queue for further questions. If you’d like to ask a question, please key in star and then one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may key in star and then two to leave the question queue. Our first question comes from Josh Raskin of Nephron Research. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning. This is actually Mark Olan for Josh. I appreciate you taking the question. Cost controls actually looked pretty strong relative to our estimates for the quarter. I was just wondering if you could go a little deeper on the cost-cutting measures you have taken by line, whether it be G&A or cost of service. Looking forward, how should we think about the sustainability of the savings you’re generating? Should we expect those to continue into the fourth quarter and into next year as well? Thanks.

Dennis Dean, Chief Financial Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Hey, Marco. It’s Dennis Dean. Thanks for the question. Yeah, a lot of our cost controls, as we have kind of communicated over the past couple of quarters, has focused primarily in the SG&A realm. There are some things that we’ve done within the cost of services, but primarily it’s been in our SG&A and our support that we’ve had at regional positions and things of that nature. That’s been primarily the focus on it. We’re continuing to heavily focus on that. Clearly, as we kind of guided our number into the fourth quarter, even though we were experiencing some of the revenue softness, the cost controls are really kind of helping bridge some of that gap for us. We’re really pleased with that. We keep uncovering things as we kind of push on various vendors and those sorts of things and are identifying additional opportunities.

We expect to continue on this approach, being diligent, but most of that was in the SG&A line.

Great. Thanks. That’s helpful. If I could just squeeze one more in. It was good to hear about the progress you’re seeing with the standalone skin tightening service. Could you just go into a little more detail on what you’re seeing there in terms of uptake and how you envision the pace at which that’s expanded across the rest of the centers? Also, if you could just go a little deeper on what new services you’re looking to add to address that GLP-1 population. Thanks.

Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Hey, Marco. This is Yogi. Thanks for the question. As it relates to skin tightening, our thesis is proving out in that we have seen there’s demand for solutions that address loose skin. Now, what we’re also seeing is that the pool of qualified candidates for standalone skin tightening was smaller than we anticipated, mainly because the loose skin was beyond what skin tightening could address. While that meant Q3 revenue was muted, we see this as a broader and more enduring opportunity for a suite of procedures to further address additional loose skin. That comes in the form of skin excisions or skin removals, for example, and many of those can be done in our clinics under local. It fits within our model pretty perfectly. We have started to pilot some of that already. Skin tightening has been expanded to multiple centers.

Skin excision is in pilot right now. And even without marketing it, we are starting to see good demand for that. We will continue to expand on that. Just as a quick reminder, for all of these procedures, it takes three to six months for patients to see full results. While we are starting off on these, it will take us a few months to get the before and afters and then turn those around into marketing and expand it from there.

Thanks. Very helpful.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, just a further reminder, if you’d like to ask a question, you’re welcome to key in star and then one. Our next question comes from Sam Eber of BTIG. Please go ahead.

Sam Eber, Analyst, BTIG: Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions here. Maybe I can start on a Q3 question, and then I definitely want to come back to the GLP-1 opportunity. Yogi, you talked about a timing issue this quarter. We’d love, I guess, your thoughts on exactly maybe what happened here. I know last quarter, leads and consultations were stepping up a bit, so we’d just love to better understand the timing issue in Q3.

Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Yep. Sam, thank you for the question. For Q3, we continue to operate in a challenging consumer environment, especially for considered purchases. That has not changed since Q2. While we saw leads and consults continue to remain strong, they were strong in Q2, and they continue to remain strong in Q3, we continue to see that consumers are hesitant to go from, "I’m interested. I want to talk to you guys. I want to get a quote to purchasing." However, we are seeing Q4 same-store sales trends are better than year-to-date. As we are transforming the business, we realize there is a bigger opportunity with GLP-1 users than we initially thought. We initially thought skin tightening would be able to address a broader sliver, but we are seeing that the demand is bigger and the needs are broader, which we can address.

We are already starting to see that GLP-1 users are converting better than non-GLP-1 users. The strategic play is with introducing the new procedures, adapting our marketing and sales to capitalize on that. In summary, while short-term revenue is lower than expected, we are excited about the broader GLP opportunity in front of us.

Sam Eber, Analyst, BTIG: Okay. That makes sense. Very helpful, Yogi. All right. Maybe coming to the GLP-1 opportunity, I would love to, I guess, better understand surge in interest in the skin excision opportunity within AirSculpt Centers, right? Their ability to capture maybe some of the economics for these procedures among these patients. And then maybe as a follow-up to that, how you’re thinking about any shifts in marketing or brand awareness for AirSculpt to go after this opportunity. Does that need to change at all as you kind of go after this new subsegment of patients?

Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Yep. Sam, I’ll address both parts of your questions. As it relates to surgeon interest and expertise, I think you were asking about both, if I understood your question correctly. Yep. Both are actually a pretty strong positive for us. I had to, at a couple of points, slow things down and make sure that we are doing a pilot in fewer locations than where I had surgeon interest. A surgeon base is definitely interested in doing skin excisions, and that is evident in our pilot as well. Surgeons are more than capable. We have an elite network of over 80 surgeons, plastic and cosmetic, who provide excellent care. Many of them have the abilities and have been doing this, whether it is in their private practice or in their past lives as well. No concerns from that perspective.

Now, there will be—to your other question—there will be changes in marketing and sales. It is much more about making sure that we get the messaging right to people who are GLP-1 users or who have loose skin. That is where we are testing into what is the right messaging, what is the right targeting, and what is the right place in the cycle of GLP-1 use that people are looking for loose skin as a problem. Remember, we have been talking about loose skin. Also, fat removal is another big idea here because with GLP-1, there is uneven weight loss and uneven volume loss. We continue to see people coming in for removing those stubborn fat deposits that GLP-1 was unable to address as well.

Sam Eber, Analyst, BTIG: Really helpful. Thanks for taking the questions.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now hand back to Yogi Jashnani for closing remarks.

Yogi Jashnani, Chief Executive Officer, AirSculpt Technologies: Thank you again for joining us. I also want to thank the AirSculpt team and our network of over 80 surgeons that provide excellent care and results to our patients. Together, we are powering the next chapter in AirSculpt’s growth. We look forward to sharing our progress when we report Q4 results and wish you a happy and healthy holiday season.

Conference Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today’s event. Thank you for attending, and you may now disconnect your line.

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