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Janus International Group Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.05, compared to the forecasted $0.02. The company’s revenue reached $230.8 million, exceeding the anticipated $185.19 million. Following the announcement, Janus International’s stock price rose by 10.61% to $8.92, reflecting positive investor sentiment. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company maintains a GREAT financial health score of 3.08, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations by a factor of 2.8x.
Key Takeaways
- Janus International’s Q4 EPS of $0.05 beat the forecast by $0.03.
- Revenue for the quarter was $230.8 million, outperforming expectations.
- The stock price increased by 10.61% in pre-market trading.
- The company launched new products and expanded its distribution network.
- Janus anticipates a shift in market focus toward renovation projects in 2025.
Company Performance
Janus International demonstrated resilience in Q4 2024, despite a 12.5% year-over-year decline in revenue. The company maintained its industry leadership in self-storage solutions, launching innovative products and expanding its distribution network. The acquisition of TMC and the opening of new centers in North Carolina and Canada highlight its strategic growth initiatives.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $230.8 million (12.5% decline YoY)
- EPS: $0.05 (exceeded forecast by $0.03)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $34.6 million (53.4% increase YoY)
- Free Cash Flow: $133.9 million
Earnings vs. Forecast
Janus International’s actual EPS of $0.05 surpassed the forecasted $0.02, marking a significant positive surprise of 150%. The company’s revenue also exceeded expectations by $45.61 million, reflecting strong operational performance despite challenging market conditions.
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Janus International’s stock surged by 10.61%, closing at $8.92. This movement reflects investor confidence in the company’s ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges and capitalize on new opportunities. The stock remains below its 52-week high of $15.53 but significantly above the 52-week low of $6.68. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, trading at a P/E ratio of 12.4x with a strong five-year revenue CAGR of 17%. For deeper insights into Janus International’s valuation and growth potential, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.
Outlook & Guidance
For 2025, Janus International projects revenue between $860 million and $890 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $175 million to $195 million. The company anticipates a slower first half of the year, followed by a stronger second half, driven by increased renovation projects and high single-digit price increases in the storage segment. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin of 42.64%, though InvestingPro data indicates that 4 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period. Subscribers can access 8 additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics to better understand the company’s growth trajectory.
Executive Commentary
CEO Rami Jackson emphasized the company’s leadership in self-storage solutions, stating, "We are the industry leader in self-storage offering purpose-built, diversified, and ever-evolving solutions." He also expressed confidence in the industry’s long-term fundamentals, citing strong occupancy rates as a key driver of demand.
Risks and Challenges
- Macroeconomic pressures, including high interest rates, may impact project timing.
- The self-storage market faces potential saturation, with 60% of facilities over 20 years old.
- Steel pricing and tariffs could affect cost structures.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about Janus International’s project pipeline and customer liquidity challenges. The company confirmed a stable backlog and highlighted growing international business opportunities. Discussions also covered steel pricing and the potential impact of tariffs on costs.
Full transcript - Juniper Industrial Holdings Inc (JBI) Q4 2024:
Conference Operator: Please stand by. Your program is about to begin. Hello, and welcome to the Janus International Fourth Quarter and Full Year twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. Currently, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation.
As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would like to now turn the call over to your host, Ms. Sarah Macioc, Senior Director of Investor Relations for Janus. Thank you. You may begin, Ms.
Maciec.
Sarah Macioc, Senior Director of Investor Relations, Janus International: Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining our earnings conference call. I am joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Rami Jackson and our Chief Financial Officer, Ansem Wong. We hope that you have seen our earnings release issued this morning. We have also posted a presentation in support of this call, which can be found in the Investors section of our website at janiceintl.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that today’s call includes forward looking statements.
Any statements made describing our beliefs, plans, expectations, projections and assumptions are forward looking statements. The company’s actual results may differ from those anticipated by such forward looking statements for a variety of reasons, many of which are beyond our control. Please see our recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which identify the principal risks and uncertainties that could affect our business, prospects and future results. We assume no obligation to update publicly any forward looking statements, and any forward looking statement made by us during this call is based only on information currently available to us and speaks only as of the date when it was made. We will be discussing or providing certain non GAAP financial measures today, including adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted net income and adjusted EPS.
Please see our release and filings for a reconciliation of these non GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measure. On today’s call, Raimi will provide an overview of our business, Ansem will continue with a discussion of our financial results and introduce our 2025 guidance before Rami shares some closing thoughts and we open up the call for your questions. At this point, I will turn the call over to Rami.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Thank you, Sarah. I’d like to kick off my comments today by thanking the entire Janus team for their hard work and professionalism, which has allowed us to showcase the resilience of our business model against a difficult backdrop. 2024 proved to be a challenging year for the business as macroeconomic concerns sustain high interest rates impacting liquidity caused many of our customers to adjust project timing beginning late in the second quarter. Through it all, we have remained focused on what we can control, which is the safety of our employees and the reliability, quality and service that sets Janus apart with our customers. We had a busy year in 2024 with a number of milestones, new offerings and expansions of the Janus footprint.
On the self storage side, we introduced both the Nokie ION and inside the door magnetic hardwired smart locking system that is next generation of our Nokie smart entry solution and the NS door series, which includes two new roll up door solutions engineered to provide a heightened level of safety and security for self storage facilities. At our Asta division, we introduced two new high performance door systems engineered for durability, security and seamless fast moving operation. We acquired the assets of TMC, a premier provider of terminal maintenance services and solutions for the LTL trucking industry, primarily in the Southeastern United States and it’s already contributing favorably to our results. Additionally, we opened two new distribution centers, one in Mount Airy, North Carolina and one in Ontario, Canada. During 2024, we voluntarily paid down $21,900,000 of our first lien term loan then successfully repriced the term loan to SOFR plus two fifty, an improvement of 50 basis points.
We received upgrades of our credit ratings from both S and P and Moody’s and repurchase 7,100,000.0 shares under our $100,000,000 share repurchase program leaving $21,300,000 of authorization remaining at year end. As outlined on our last call, we have taken proactive steps to better align the business with near term market realities. This includes a structural cost reduction plan that involves streamlining the labor force, rationalizing our real estate holdings and reducing SG and A expenses. The plan is on track. We have already begun seeing the benefits.
We now expect to realize $10,000,000 to $12,000,000 of annual pre tax cost savings. Hans will get into the details of the quarter in a moment. But first, I’d like to make a few high level comments on our full year results. For full year 2024 on a combined basis, self storage was down 9.3% as a 5.4% increase in our new construction sales channel was more than offset by the 26.6% decline in R3. While new construction was particularly strong in the first quarter of twenty twenty four, the delays that began during the second quarter impacted the full year.
R3 continues to be impacted by declines in retail to storage conversion activity as well as delays that have impacted self storage activity. Commercial and other was off 10.3% for the year. Results reflected weakness in demand for carports and sheds partially offset by the acquisition of TMC in May. Noki, our innovative suite of remote access solutions ended the year at 365,000 installed units, an increase of 32% from 2023. The rollout of NOKIA ION in the early fourth quarter was met with enthusiasm from our customers and with its unique and flexible customization capabilities and updated pricing structure, we anticipate continued demand for Nokia (HE:NOKIA) ION in 2025 and beyond.
Despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we maintain a strong balance sheet with leverage in our target range, while also generating outstanding free cash flow conversion to adjusted net income. As a result, we have the balance sheet strength to grow both organically and acquisitively as the market normalizes. As the industry leader in self storage solutions, we are well positioned to capitalize on opportunities as the macro environment improves and create long term value for all of our stakeholders in 2025 and beyond. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Anselm for a further overview of the fourth quarter results along with our initial 2025 guidance. Anselm?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Thanks, Rami, and good morning, everyone. Remi covered our full year results at a high level and I will focus my comments on our fourth quarter performance followed by a discussion of our initial 2025 guidance. In the fourth quarter, consolidated revenue of $230,800,000 was off 12.5% as compared to the prior year quarter with declines across all three sales channels. Our self storage business was down 17.3% for the quarter with new construction down 6.2% as we continue to see the impact from delays that began earlier in the year. R2 is off 31.2% driven by continued declines in retail to storage conversion activity as well as slowdowns in redevelopment and renovation activity.
Our Commercial and Other segment saw 1% decline in the fourth quarter driven by continued weakness in demand for carports and sheds, mostly offset by our TMC acquisition. For the quarter, the impact to organic revenues was driven roughly 10% by price and 90% by volume. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $34,600,000 was up 53.4% compared to the year ago quarter. This represents an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15% compared to 28.2% in the prior year quarter. The decline in profitability is primarily the result of volume decreases.
We also had an additional adjustment to our provision for credit losses and an additional warranty reserve in the quarter. Excluding these two adjustments, the fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was approximately 19%. In the fourth quarter, we produced adjusted net income of $7,700,000 or $0.05 compared to the $35,900,000 or $0.24 in the year ago period. For the full year, we generate cash from operating activities of $154,000,000 including $51,400,000 in the fourth quarter, continuing to demonstrate the robust cash generation profile of the business. For the full year, we generated free cash flow of $133,900,000 This represents a free cash flow conversion of adjusted net income of 163%.
We finished the year with $231,300,000 of total liquidity, including 149,300,000 of cash and includes on the balance sheet. Our total outstanding debt at the year end was $583,200,000 and our net leverage was 2.2 times. The combination of strong liquidity, continued cash generation and balance sheet strength offers us optionality to pursue M and A targets and continue to execute on our $100,000,000 share repurchase program, which has $21,300,000 of remaining authorization. As Rami mentioned earlier, the structural cost reduction plan we announced on the third quarter earnings call is on track and we are already seeing benefits. We now estimate the annual pre tax savings to be in the range of $10,000,000 to $12,000,000 updating from our prior estimate of $8,000,000 to $12,000,000 We booked $1,100,000 in one time charges during the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four associated with the plan and now expect total one time charges in the range of $3,000,000 to $4,000,000 compared to our previous estimate of $2,000,000 to $4,000,000 Now moving to our 2025 guidance.
Full year 2025 revenue is expected to be in the range of $860,000,000 to $890,000,000 compared to $963,800,000 in 2024. We expect the first half of twenty twenty five to be slower than the back half. While growth in new construction has outpaced R3 over the last few years, in 2025 we expect our customers to shift their focus towards R3 projects. As a reminder, the margin profiles for new construction and R3 are similar, so we are agnostic about moves between the two sales channels. We foresee some continued softness in new construction in 2025, particularly in the first half of the year as we work through customers extending project timelines and a tough comp for the first quarter.
The year over year decline in top line revenues reflects the unfavorable impact of previously announced commercial actions. 2025 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $175,000,000 to $195,000,000 compared to $208,500,000 in 2024. At the midpoint, this reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.1%. Consistent with our expectation for revenue, we expect the first half of twenty twenty five to be softer than the back half for EBITDA and EBITDA margin. As I mentioned earlier, fourth quarter EBITDA was affected by some one time items.
We expect margins to improve sequentially in the first quarter. Cash flow remains robust and for 2025, we anticipate being near the higher end of the free cash flow conversion of adjusted net income target range of 75% to 100%. Please refer to the presentation we have posted for details on the key planning assumptions for 2025. Thank you. I will now turn the call over to Raimi for his closing remarks.
Raimi?
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Thank you again Anselm. Despite the challenges of 2024, we introduced several new product lines including Nokie ION and the NS DOOR series and we completed the acquisition of TMC. We also continue to achieve our net leverage and free cash flow conversion to adjusted net income targets and importantly our long term framework remains unchanged. Strong occupancy rates continue to fuel demand and we believe the long term fundamentals for self storage industry are intact. Additionally, we estimate more than 60% of existing self storage facilities are over twenty years old, which creates the potential need for replacement and refurbishment of aging install base.
We are the industry leader in self storage offering purpose built, diversified and ever evolving solutions for our customers. With our balance sheet strength, strong cash flow foundation, we will continue expanding our suite of offerings and capabilities while seeking out and delivering accretive shareholder value enhancing opportunities. I look forward to building positive momentum in 2025 and beyond as we drive long term value creation for all of our stakeholders. Thank you again for joining us. Operator, we can now open the line for Q and A.
Conference Operator: Thank you. At this time, we will open the floor for questions. And our first question will come from Jeff Hammond with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hey, good morning everyone. This is David Tarantino on for Jeff.
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Hey, David. Hey, David.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Maybe just to start in self storage, could you walk us through your thoughts more specifically on the key changes in the pipeline of projects and kind of break that out between new construction and R3 and how that informs your thoughts on 2025?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Sure. Great question. I think if you look at it, what we’re seeing is as expected and guided is that the new construction is while still there slowing a little and we’re starting to see R3 starting to pick up a little, which is kind of what we normally expect when we see that change in terms of slowdown of new construction. So that’s what we’re slowly seeing right now. It’s not new construction is still pretty healthy in terms of what’s in there, but that’s what we’re slowly starting to see now.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: And maybe just to kind of clear that up, would you expect incremental weakness on the new construction side relative to what we’re seeing in 4Q or more of a kind of steady state?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: No, that’s we would see still some slowness in the new construction that’s kind of built into our 2025 guide. And then again, our expectations, we would see R3 starting to grow.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Yes. Keep in mind that self storage is local and we continue to see bright spots in certain markets. And then in addition to that, our go to market strategy is focused around the more capitalized customer segments, which bodes well for the current climate.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay. That’s helpful. And then maybe could you walk us through the key puts and takes in the margin line, particularly, give us an update on your expectations for price? And maybe on that, how some color on kind of how tariffs are factored into the outlook?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Sure. So price, I think, is still the same assumption that we’ve had where on the storage piece of our business will be high single digits in terms of storage piece, in terms of price year over year. In terms of tariffs, as you guys know, the way we buy our steel, we usually have a six month lag in terms of when we put the order in to when we get the steel. So if you think about this year, a big chunk of the year is already at prices of steel that were call it end of last year, beginning of this year in terms of price point. In terms of tariffs, look, I think the steel producers are most likely going to raise their prices.
We don’t see steel going down, we see steel going up. But ultimately, the demand the steel price is going to be impacted by the overall demand of steel. So it’ll be wait and see in terms of seeing what really happens to that in terms of the actual street price when it actually happens.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Yes. I think just to add to that, I think the question is how will the domestic mills price their products? Will it be based on true supply and demand? Or will they accelerate the pricing based on the protectionism around the tariffs? So, but what we do believe is still will not be going down.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay, great. Thanks guys.
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: Thank you.
Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question will come from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Thank you. Good morning, Ramey. Good morning, Antal. Good afternoon. Maybe appreciate the comments around the cadence for H1 and H2 certainly makes sense.
Just maybe more granularity, how should we think about kind of revenue and EBITDA for Q1 relative to what we saw in Q4 overall? I think you said margins up a little bit, but just holistically, how should we kind of think about that as the number?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Yes. What we kind of guided is the jump up point. If you think about if you adjust for the one timers in Q4, you hit about a 19% kind of margin rate. The way we view it is that Q1 will be that as the jump up point in sequentially increasing throughout the year as the costs benefits come through as well as just volume increases.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Got it. And any comments from kind of a top line where we’re using Q4 as a jump off point?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Yes. It’ll be probably the way we look at it, I think, obviously, there was the pent up demand that we talked about with the delays and that’s starting to come through. I think if you look at it into Q1, it will probably be going back to our normal seasonality. I just want to remember reminder when there’s weather. And if you look at the weather, I mean, so far this quarter, you probably see a lot of conditions that don’t allow for construction as nicely.
So there’ll probably be that normal impact that we have some seasonality
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: will be a bit lower. Got it. Helpful. And then I guess just maybe one more and I’ll jump back to queue. But if you maybe just kind of delineate between if you look at the midpoint of the revenue guide, how we think about kind of self storage versus new construction on a year over year basis?
Sounds like new construction starting to flatten out. Do we actually see that get back to growth in the back half of the year? And then obviously you gave good color on R3 versus new construction. So that’s helpful.
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Yes. The way you should think about it, Dan, is that obviously first of all, the price commercial actions that we did will impact the absolute dollar amount. So you would see You would
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: see
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: probably what we’re thinking about is new construction still slowly declining a little as R3 throughout the year grows again. And then but again impacted by price, so keep that in mind. And then commercial, which the other component of is that our thoughts are that that’s kind of get gotten to a bottom. We got a lot of good growth we’re seeing in the rolling steel side of the house. We have the new Mount Airy locations that’s helping that grow there.
So our expectation is that we’ll start seeing commercial getting back to growth as well.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Very helpful. I’ll jump back with any follow ups. Thanks.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Thanks, Dan.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Thank
Conference Operator: you. Our next question comes from John Lovallo with UBS.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Good morning, guys. Thank you for taking my questions as well. Maybe just dovetailing off the last question there in terms of Q1 with the 19% jump off point and some seasonality. I mean, how are things actually shaking out so far through the quarter? I mean, are you feeling like you’re on track pretty consistently with those expectations?
Or are you expecting a stronger kind of March to kind of catch up?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: No, we’re on track to what the guide we have right now. So that’s I think everything’s moving along as expected that we see right now.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Okay. And then in terms of the buybacks, it seems like the pace may have slowed a bit. I think it looks like maybe $9,000,000 in the fourth quarter versus something like $45,000,000 in the third quarter despite the stock being lower? And any reason why you may have backed off a bit there?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: It’s just that we were just balancing other uses of cash. Obviously, we still want to do M and A and there’s some timing in what we’re looking at there that we just make sure that we had cash for that if it did happen. And then also just relooking at kind of some of the year end CapEx that we needed for some of our equipment, but that’s all it was there. Just a balanced kind of uses of cash.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: Got it. And last one from my end. Have you guys noticed any changes in the competitive dynamics across your markets? Any of your competitors or capacity emerging over the past, call it, six months or maybe even twelve months? Yes,
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: good question. There’s certainly some smaller competitors that are more impacted by the current situation. Like I mentioned earlier, our go to market strategy is more around the capitalized customer segment. And theirs is the opposite basically the mom and pops that are on the sideline right now. So I think we’re in
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: a good
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: position to gain a lot of market share in 2025.
John Lovallo, Analyst, UBS: All right. Thanks very much guys.
David Tarantino, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Thank you. Thank you.
Conference Operator: Our next question comes from Phil Nee with Jefferies.
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: Hey guys, congrats on a strong quarter. Thanks Phil. Last few quarters you talked about projects being paused on rates. Rates remain still pretty elevated. So just curious to get your update here.
What are you seeing from perhaps that customer group? How are backlogs shaping up bidding activity and certainly on the conversion to orders as well?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Great question, Phil. And I think what we talked about is, yes, interest rates are still high and the big thing we’re trying to articulate was this the liquidity impact to our customers. So customers that are still well capitalized, they might not be able to do so many concurrent projects at the same time. So we just saw the movement finally of some of those projects that were being held up because they had finished a project and able to now add another project to it. So I think that’s kind of what we started to see in Q4.
Rates are obviously still high. So I don’t necessarily see that them being able to also add even more projects concurrently than what they can do.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Yes. In terms of the backlog, just happy to report that the backlog and the pipeline remains stable. And in addition to that, we’re seeing actual growth in both of those metrics in our international business.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Okay, super.
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: I guess a question for Hanson. If I heard you correctly, your expectation is still for call it high single digit price declines for the storage side of things. So if we kind of parse that out and just look at volumes, I think your volumes were down almost 20% in 3Q, we’re down like mid teens in fourth quarter. So when we think about the volume cadence through the year, is it expected to be still pretty negative this first half and then some sort of recovery in the back half? Is that how we should think about it?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Yes, that’s what we’re seeing right now. We just want to we’re still cautious. It’s still not the greatest conditions out there. So we’re trying to be cautious about what we see. And again, just a reminder, we really took a deep dive, look at all the projects in the pipeline right now in terms of timing and how they will flow.
And what we’re seeing is project timing is stretching a little more. So that’s why we would expect to see some declines still in that first half and maybe a little going into Q3.
Daniel Moore, Analyst, CJS Securities: Okay. That’s helpful color.
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: And one last one for me. R3 was still pretty weak during the quarter. You kind of alluded to perhaps that team growth. I know we talked about I believe there’s an opportunity for a large customer on the rebranding and conversion side of things for a large read customer. Can you give us a little more color on how that’s progressing?
How that could contribute this year? And then where are conversions? Have you started seeing that bottom? And when we look at the 25%, does that turn positive or it’s still kind of pretty soft here?
Ansem Wong, Chief Financial Officer, Janus International: Yes. Conversions are we don’t it’s bottom pretty much. We’re not seeing a big increase. There could be some in the back half, but at this point, we’re not seeing that. R3 work rebranding, I think there’s going to be more opportunities not just for that one REIT because I think the environment is more open to more acquisitions from all the customers.
So I think that’s where we’ll see more three rebranding work.
Phil Nee, Analyst, Jefferies: Okay. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Conference Operator: There are no additional questioners at this time. I’d like to now turn it back to our presenters for any closing remarks.
Rami Jackson, Chief Executive Officer, Janus International: Okay. Thank you everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your support of Janus International and look forward to updating you on our progress. Have a great day.
Conference Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This does conclude today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.
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