Nucor earnings beat by $0.08, revenue fell short of estimates
Nokian Renkaat (HE:TYRES) (market cap: €957.94M), a leading tire manufacturer, reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, showing a strong increase in net sales and significant product innovation. The company’s stock fell sharply by 16.03% in the market following the announcement. Despite a 13% rise in Q4 net sales, driven by growth in Central Europe, investors reacted negatively, possibly due to broader market challenges and future guidance concerns. According to InvestingPro data, the company has been quickly burning through cash, though net income is expected to grow this year.
Key Takeaways
- Q4 2024 net sales increased by 13%, with strong contributions from Central Europe.
- Stock price dropped 16.03% following the earnings release.
- New product launches in multiple regions, including a focus on sustainability.
- Strategic manufacturing shifts with a new factory in Romania.
- Market challenges noted in the Nordics and North America.
Company Performance
Nokian Renkaat reported robust performance for the full year 2024, with net sales reaching 1.3 billion euros, marking a 10.5% increase in comparable currencies. The company’s segment EBITDA amounted to 185 million euros, representing 14.4% of sales. The fourth quarter saw net sales grow by 13%, primarily due to strong demand in Central Europe. However, flat performance in the Nordics and North America, coupled with challenging conditions in the original equipment tire segment, tempered overall enthusiasm.
Financial Highlights
- Full Year Net Sales: 1.3 billion euros (+10.5% YoY)
- Q4 Net Sales: 13% increase
- Q4 EBITDA: 67 million euros
- Q4 Operating Profit: 36 million euros
- Proposed Dividend: 0.25 euros per share
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Nokian Renkaat’s stock price fell by 16.03%, closing at 6.68 euros. This decline positions the stock near its 52-week low of 6.68 euros, significantly off its high of 9.63 euros. The market’s negative reaction might reflect concerns about future earnings potential and the company’s strategic adjustments amid challenging market conditions.
Outlook & Guidance
Looking ahead, Nokian Renkaat has set ambitious priorities for 2025, focusing on growth through new product launches and ramping up production at its Romanian factory. With a current debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 and a healthy current ratio of 2.23, the company maintains solid financial flexibility for its expansion plans. The company aims to enhance productivity and cost efficiency, with an expected net sales growth and improvement in segment operating profit percentage. Capital expenditures are estimated at 200 million euros, with a long-term target of achieving a 25% segment operating profit margin.
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Executive Commentary
CEO Paolo Pompey emphasized the company’s strategic direction, stating, "We are a premium style brand in Nordic countries, but we have strong ambitions in terms of growth in both North America as well as in Central Europe." He also highlighted the company’s commitment to sustainability, noting, "Our purpose is to make the world safer by reinventing the tires and the way they are made over and over again."
Risks and Challenges
- Market Saturation in Nordics and North America: Flat performance in these regions could limit growth potential.
- Challenging OE Tire Market Conditions: Could affect sales and profitability.
- Supply Chain Issues: Potential disruptions may impact production and delivery.
- Economic Uncertainty: Global economic fluctuations could influence consumer demand.
- Raw Material Costs: Fluctuating prices may pressure margins.
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about the company’s contract manufacturing strategy, which accounts for approximately 10% of total volume. Questions also focused on Nokian Renkaat’s performance in the winter tire market, where it has made significant market share gains. The company reiterated its focus on efficiency, raw material procurement, and operational excellence as key areas for future development.
Full transcript - Nokian Renkaat Oyj (TYRES) Q4 2024:
Conference Operator: Welcome to the conference call. For the first part of the conference call, the participants will be in listen only mode. During the questions and answer session, participants are able to ask questions by dialing pound key 5 on their telephone keypad.
Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers. Please go ahead.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Good afternoon from Helsinki, and welcome to Nokian Tyres Q4 and full year 2024 results call. My name is Paivi Antola, and I am from Nokian Tyres Investor Relations. And together with me in the call, I have Paolo Pompey, the President and CEO of Nokian Tyres and Nico Haavisto, the CFO. Paolo, this is now your first results call in Nokian Tyres. I would like to only welcome you to Nokian Tyres.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Great. Thank you, Paivi. Thank you all the Nokian employees who are actually giving a warm welcome in the company since I joined at beginning of January. Before I start, really, I would like to really say thank you to my predecessor, first of all, because obviously, Luca Moisso left the company, retired from the company at the end of the 2024. I think he has been excellent in driving the company in extremely difficult time.
And what we have today and what we have to the opportunity to leverage today is a much better platform than what it used to be. So I would like to thank you and Billy for the great contribution. And I’m honored actually to be able to carry on his journey today.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Thank you, Paolo. And it’s now been a bit more than a month that you have been leading the company. It’s a new company for you, but also a new country to live in. How have you adapted to Finland and the Finnish winter weather?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Okay. Yes. Well, I think the weather was extremely kind with me so far. And I would mean ready to get a smooth transition in Finland. Now today, I’m a proud citizen of Helsinki, and I know already very good restaurants that are around the city.
So I think I will have nice time here in Finland, and I’m looking forward actually to carry on the journey here.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: So is there anything that has surprised you so far?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Not really. I mean about it I think I know Nokia (HE:NOKIA) and Tires since 20 years because obviously, coming from the industry, I had the opportunity to look at Nokia and Tires many, many, many years in the past. And I was always impressed by really the great development that we’ve been watching in the last few years. Nucatan has been always a strong leader, in particular, in high performing segments like the winter tires, which is demanding, actually extremely strong performance and has been always a leader in sustainability. But I was also very impressed by the way Nokian Tyres was able actually to manage the reorganization after the crisis in Russia and to build a new successful platform for the future.
So I think this is really what made me extremely enthusiastic to be part of the team today and to be to start to work with the Nokia and tire teams on our future.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: And anything now after 4 weeks, your first impressions of Nokia and tires? You know the company from the past, but in that sense, any surprises or
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: As I said, coming from the industry, I knew the company quite well. And looking from outside, I think I can confirm really the deep and strong focus on performing products in extremely demanding applications and with an extremely demanding weather condition, extremely strong focus on sustainability, which is making this company in some ways unique and looking at the future. So really nothing particularly new. And actually, I found more exciting things to leverage for the future than what I could see from outside.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: If we then look a little bit to the future, the next coming weeks, coming months, what are you focusing on first? What are you what are going to be your first priorities?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: I mean, I think the agenda is quite clear. So the first priority is to accelerate the start up in Romania, which is obviously our new manufacturing platform, which is really the one that will deliver growth in our future journey, complete obviously the development of the North American operations, where actually this year, we just completed the startup phase in some ways, so the expansion phase. And then, of course, we will focus together with the Nokia team on efficiency, productivity, because obviously, we are now a new platform and we need to make sure this platform is more productive and more efficient for the future. Last but not least, consumer focus. I mean, we have now the opportunity really to build together a strong brand, in particular in new markets.
We are already quite strong in the Nordics, but we have huge opportunities in Central Europe as well as in North America, and this is going to be our main challenge and main opportunity for the future.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: So you now have these 30 plus days behind you and always test. There’s a talk about the first 100 days, but when do you think you will be ready or the company will be ready to share more on the strategy and the company’s future direction?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: I think we will be ready very soon, probably March already after 80 days. So obviously, I look forward to plan a quarter that where we can actually explain our way forward a little bit more in details. But again, the transition time with Yucamoiso was giving me the possibility to actually to step in and to be immediately up to speed from day 1. So we will come back to you very soon.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Thank you, Paolo, for these words and this information. And now it’s time to go to the actual presentation and talk a little bit about 2024 and the last quarter of the year. And Paolo, please go ahead.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Great. Thank you, Paivi. And of course, we start with the headline, which is solid growth and driven by Central Europe in 2024. And of course, North America was challenging, delivering its way soft quarter. But and the Romanian factory will be getting ready for time deliveries very, very soon.
But I want to start moving to Page number 2 with the picture of where we stand today. And I really care about this because I believe that today, as I mentioned in the introduction, we have a stronger platform than before. Today, we are much less vulnerable having in the passenger car business 3 manufacturing facilities that are meeting very well our local for local business model. Of course, we are still in a sort of startup phase. But again, I believe that this platform will give us a possibility to expand our operation and to create a business model that is more agile and closer to our key consumer and customers.
We are a premium style brand in Nordic countries, but we have strong ambitions in terms of growth in both in North America as well as in Central Europe. And we are focused really on high value segments, in particular, in demanding application like winter tires, but also now developing fast on the all season business too. Strong, strong focus on sustainability, probably one of the most leading company in the entire industry focused on sustainability, and we are really proud about this our sustainability plan that is part of our G and A. EUR 1,300,000,000 more or less business in 2024. More than 50% of our business is in car tires, as you can see.
EBITA, including truck tires, is representing 16% of our sales. And Vianor is made in the Nordics, actually 100% in the Nordics and is representing 28% of our total sales. As you can see from this graph also, Nordic is representing 50% more than 50% of our sales, 54% to be precise. But obviously, we have great opportunities of growth, and we are growing fast in Central Europe again and in North America in particular. Moving to Slide number 3.
Well, the 2024 was in some way a challenging year, but of course, it was strong in term of performance when we talk about sales in a challenging market considering that the factory in Urrea is not yet up running for commercial sales. We’ve been delivering new products. We have improved our deliveries and our availability. And of course, we made good progresses with the strategic investments adding capacity. As I said at the beginning, for there, we’re the 1st 0 CO2 emission factories in the world.
And then, of course, we have just completed the investment phase in the North America factory in Dayton. We did a great step forward where we talk about sustainability. In particular, I want to mention the recognition of the platinum metal for our EcoVadis certification, including assets in the range of the 1% of the companies that are able to get to this kind of certification. And now I will invite Nico to move on to Page 4.
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. Thank you, Paolo. So first, on the full year numbers, as Paolo said, solid growth in terms of top line. Last year, the growth was a little bit over 10.5 percent in comparable currencies, I. E, we landed on both comparable cards with SEK 1,300,000,000.
Segment EBITDA, EUR 185,000,000, which represents roughly 14.4% from the sales. And as you know, there is a target of reaching that at the level of 25% during this strategy period. This is still valid as we speak. Segment’s operating profit for the full year, EUR 71,400,000 and of course, that’s driven by the volume and then lower raw material costs in the full year numbers. The Board is proposing a dividend of EUR 0.25 per share to the AGM to be held in May and then paid also full in one installment in May.
On the Page 5, more on the quarter numbers. So there, we see that there was a clear increase in terms of net sales, 13 a little bit over 13%, and this mainly came from the Central Europe, which is in line with our strategy. EBITDA of €67,000,000 and then on the operating profit level of €36,000,000 compared to prior year’s €40 €4,500,000 And there, the decline is due to our lower ASP, which are mainly related to the mix. And then we’ve said that we had higher operating expenses in Q4. On the Page 6, I think I would like to point out a couple of numbers here.
One is, of course, the equity ratio. We are still on a healthy above 50% level, to be exact there, 52.5 percent on equity ratio. And then on the net interest bearing net debt, SEK 6 13,000,000. And at the same time, we invested in our mainly to Romanian, I. E, Oradea factory and then finalizing the Dayton investments, and that amounted total to €350,000,000 On Page 7, we go through the segments.
So Q4, once again, good achievement in terms of top line. It comes mainly from the Central Europe, but of course, disappointing was the mix and then the higher operating expenses there. So we landed in terms of operating profit for the quarter, roughly €14,000,000 and with the percentage 5.7 percent for that quarter alone. If we take a look at the bridges, we see that once again, the volume there on the top part of the graph, the net sales, the volume is there, good increase. But then on the price and mix, of course, there is a negative number.
More to the segment’s operating profit, so that was affected by both in the price and mix, but also the material costs for the Q4 were giving us a headwind. Then I move to VCT, passenger car tires, quarterly changes and there you see, I’m looking at the center of the graph there, if I look at the price and mix. So in Q3, we were at the level of minus 11%, now at minus 8%, and this is a trend that we need to change going forward. The currencies didn’t play any big role in last year’s numbers. Moving to the heavy tires, I think this is something that we can be really proud of.
So in a weak market throughout the year, but also especially even with the similar volumes than last year. Q4, we managed to do operating profit of 14%. And especially there, the OE market was weak, but we managed to have sales, good sales, profitable sales in the aftermarket. So I think this is something that we are really proud of. Then finally, last segment, Tiaanor, their sales performance was good if looking at the Q4.
Operating profit was less than last year. That’s a margin thing. And this is something we said all along last year that we need to improve the profitability there, and we’ve taken actions during the year. But that will take some time to materialize in the full numbers. But as such, the Q4 was solid for Vianor.
Then I’ve moved to the guidance. So we gave guidance for this year, I. E, 25%. So we say that our net sales are expected to grow and the segment’s operating profit as of percentage of net sales to improve compared to 24%. And then you see the assumptions that we are basing our guidance there as well.
And with this, I hand over to Paul.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Thank you, Nico. We are now in Page 13. Of course, let’s look at now in some way of the future. I mean, we have a premium brand with that is delivering superior performance in extreme condition. And we are obviously working very hard delivering continuously innovation in our own products.
And we will have new products coming out this year that we will be proud to announce later on in our journey. Of course, 2024, we’ve been able to actually deliver many new products, as I said, in particular, I want to mention our Season Pru 1 that is an all season tire for the Central European market that has been developing our sales, as you can see from the figures illustrated by Nico, quite well so far, gaining a lot of new opportunities. Then of course, we have for the North American market, the no weather tire, the Nokian Tire Remedy WRG5, which has also been released recently. And then of course, also the heavy tire industry, the Nokian Tile, Soil King has been always a good add on to our project range for servicing high power tractors in the industry. But what I really care about is really about the Slide number 15 that is illustrating our manufacturing footprint, the way that we are shaping our manufacturing footprint for the future because this will give us the possibility to be extremely close to our consumer and and customers and at the same time to leverage a manufacturing footprint that is giving us the possibility to be more agile and to respond to market demand, considering the geopolitical situation that is affecting that is actually affecting the world at the moment that we can see that really having such a diversified manufacturing footprint will give us the possibility to be less vulnerable to market situations.
So we will add 25% of our production output by 2027 that will be delivered by our American factory in Dayton. We will add 35% of our output that is going to be released by our factory in Nokia, who has been actually reinforced in thermal capacity in the last couple of years. And then, of course, Orede and Romania will absorb 40% of our total production capacity, giving us the possibility to service real time really the Central European and Southern European market too. We will keep using our partners to support Nokian Tyres in the future wherever we have gaps or wherever we need to really leverage also the support of additional capacity when it’s needed. So this setup will really give us the possibility to manage more efficiently our future growth.
I mentioned the manufacturing. I mean, of course, today, we are employing 300 employees on-site, and we should be able to start deliveries pretty soon. Obviously, we will make an announcement as soon as we will start deliveries in the next few months. Also very important, Slide 17, we are obviously moving forward in our journey when we talk about sustainability, we are just mentioning few example of our strong effort in achieving our own targets, long term targets. First of all, I mentioned at the beginning, the platinum medal with EcoVadis, that is really something we are proud of, putting Nukiantars in the top 1% companies that were assessed by EcoVadis.
Then of course, in a new greenhouse gas reduction targets, we have contributed and we have agreed about our own long term targets with the science based target initiative that are obviously contributing to reduce the global warming by 1.5%. And last but not least, I mean, we keep our journey in building products that are obviously increasing the percentage of renewable as well as recyclable material to 50% by 2030. And this year, we will have good news about the new recent product that we are going to launch in the Central European market that are actually almost meeting this requirement. And of course, we are cooperating with partners. In this case, I want to mention the partnership with UPM using a renewable lining based material that is obviously giving us the opportunity to replace fossil based carbon black.
And at the same time, the partnership that we have activated with Resilof that we are able actually to use material from Bilsbach that are replacing also in this case fossil based materials. Moving to Slide 18, I would like to mention something that we just announced this morning that we are also changing our operating model, adapting the company to the next step of growth and operational excellence. The new organization that we are launching at the moment will give us the possibility to keep our leading position in the Nordics, but at the same time to increase the focus on strategic markets like Central Europe as well as in North America. Also, having the member of the management team as part of these regions in the management team will drive the agenda of the management team to a higher focus on generating consumer demand long term. And of course, the new organization is set also to now to start to leverage the synergies that are coming from our new manufacturing footprint and also the synergies that are coming from operational excellence in everything we do day by day.
Moving to Slide 19, just a graphic illustration of the new organization as it look like at the moment. So we are basically splitting the passenger car tire business area in 3 divisions, so Nordex (ETR:NDXG), North America and Central Europe. That will be actually part of the organization reporting directly to me. And then, of course, we will keep Evitair and Vianor as also independent sales organization. At the same time, we will have global function.
And I would like to highlight the 2 main changes in this organization chart. 1 is the creation of a global manufacturing function that will take care about all our manufacturing facilities, making sure that we are able to allocate resources and generate synergies from our manufacturing footprint of today. The second one is the reinforcement of the marketing and communication function that will be one key function for developing our brand value proposition in the market, in particular, as I say, the new market like Central Europe and North America, and we’ll operate, obviously, across the company, supporting the company to increase the value of our brand. Also, I would like to take this opportunity to thank you PAIVI because as you can see from this slide, we are splitting the Investor Relations function with the marketing communication function. And PAIVI obviously will lead the company and that will probably will be your last call.
So presenting the organization, our ability to thank you in behalf of the company for such a long service and for your support actually in these last 7 years. That has been extremely valuable. And obviously, we wish you all the best for the continuation of the journey. Obviously, we will integrate the Investor Relations in the finance function, as you can see from this organization. And then of course, as I said before, the marketing communication function will be reinforced at global level.
So moving to Slide 20, key priorities for 2025. It’s really about driving growth that is coming from new products. So we have a very nice agenda in front of us, thinking about new products and, of course, products that are really driven by the necessary to generate value for the consumer. Great opportunity to ramp up the factory in Romania in the next few months, and this will give us, as I said several times in this call, the possibility to leverage finally a manufacturing footprint that is fully integrated and agile at the same time. And then, of course, it’s time really to focus on more productivity and more cost efficiency as a result of all the investments that we made in the last few years in the company.
I’m closing on Slide 21, that is obviously reminding everyone our purpose, that is to make the world safer by reinventing the tires and the way they are made over and over again. And as a newcomer in the company, I can confirm this is really part of the spirit of our team to think about how we can do things differently, how we can innovate more and how we can be successfully addressing the future needs of our consumers and customers.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Thank you, Paolo. Thank you, Nico. And now we would be ready for the questions from the audience, please.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Akshat Cakkar from JPMorgan.
Akshat Cakkar, Analyst, JPMorgan: Akshat from JPMorgan. Welcome, Paolo. I have three questions, please. The first one on your dividend policy. I just want to clarify that the proposal of $0.25 per share is the final consideration for 2025 or like in the last few years, you could consider a second dividend payment later in the year?
That’s the first question. The second question is on the passenger car margin in Q4. You mentioned that you have seen higher operating expenses impacting the business in Q4. Is it possible to quantify the share of one off costs or one off charges that impacted the quarter specifically, please? And the last question is on your expectations for total CapEx, net of subsidies, as well as free cash flow for the business in 2025, please?
Thank you so much.
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. Starting with the dividend. So our dividend policy as such has not changed. The Board, of course, considered thoroughly the dividend, what they are proposing to ATM and the proposal is the €0.25 and that is the proposal. So there is no additional dividend proposed for the 2025, I.
E, the €0.25 is the proposal. And then if the AGM decides, so it will be paid in May. So one installment, EUR 0.25, EUR 0.25.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. Maybe I can reply about the operating expenses. As you can clearly see, we are now rebuilding our organization after the exit of Russia. Obviously, from Russia, we had to adjust our operating model. But now it’s really time to invest on our future.
So the majority of those operating expenses are related to our activities necessary to rebuild the organization, in particular, in Central Europe at this stage. And CapEx?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. And the CapEx, so CapEx, we are estimating roughly €200,000,000 in this year, and then that would conclude our investment phase end of ’twenty five. On the free cash flow, I don’t want to comment at this point, but the CapEx is the €200,000,000 round.
Akshat Cakkar, Analyst, JPMorgan: Thank you for that.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Artem Beletsky from SEB. Please go ahead. The next question comes from Thomas Besson from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.
Thomas Besson, Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux: Thank you. Hi, it’s Douglas. I have a few questions as well, please. Could you maybe help us understand the impact of contract manufacturing on your operating profits in 2024 and maybe as well in 2023. I think most people on that call thought that your margins would actually move up from a low point in 2022 and progress and they are actually going backwards.
So I’d like to try to understand that better and maybe this is linked with a higher proportion of contract manufacturing. Do you mind sharing this kind of information with us, please? That’s the first question. Second question, could you please talk about the amount of adjustments you expect in 2025? I mean, you have a high amount of a very big gap between your operating profits, which for me is the right measure to look at and what you could call your segment operating profits.
Should we expect the gap between both metrics to close or to have a similar gap, please? And then last question, I’d like to understand or maybe you can share more information on this. Did you see a deterioration of your wind total margins in 2024? Because basically the market was very supportive, to say the least, in Europe in Q4. And it comes, therefore, as a decent surprise to see you report a negative operating profit in passenger cars.
Thank you.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Thank you for the questions. I will start with the first question about the contract manufacturing. Contract manufacturing are supporting in particular segments that are, of course, related to summer tire in particular. So obviously, when we think about margins, we should not expect the contract manufacturing really to change our picture. As you mentioned correctly in the last question, winter tariff is really what is driving obviously our profitability for the future.
So contract manufacturing is supporting, is helping. And of course, the margins are quite good. But of course, let’s remember that they have an impact on the mix at the same time. So the product mix is obviously affected by contract manufacturing sales. About the adjustment, Nico?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes, if I understood correctly, the question was about the counter exclusions, and we had roughly €70,000,000 last year. So the expectation, of course, that we are closing the gap. So it’s less than, hopefully, much less than €70,000,000 But at the same time, it, of course, depends on the speed of the ramp up we are doing in Oradea. At the moment, we are thinking those are the kind of the exclusions that we will make to our 25 numbers.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: And I will take the last question about winter tires. You are absolutely correct. The winter tire was great and it was great for us too. Actually, we were able to grow and gain market share in that. But please, let’s always remember that this year, finally, we were able to get back also to the old season and summer tire segments.
So again, from the mix point of view, we see an average price going down. But of course, because of the old season and the summer tire segment were growing faster, being relative new again in our product range than the winter tire segment. But I think the tire segment was strong, was good, and we were able actually to gain significantly market share.
Thomas Besson, Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux: Thank you.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Artem Beletsky from SEB. Please go ahead.
Artem Beletsky, Analyst, SEB: Yes, good afternoon and thank you for taking my questions. Let’s try again. So I would like to ask on prospects for this year and maybe some parameters what you’re looking at. So when it comes to volume development, what is your target in terms of Romanian production this year and whether you can increase volumes elsewhere? And then also looking at pricemix versus raw material development.
So the number was clearly negative in Q4. So do you have any view on how it looks like for this year? Then the second question is relating to Romanian factory ramp up. So do you have any number in mind at this stage? What one off costs could be this year relating to it?
And the last one is just looking at your balance sheet situation. So net debt to segment EBITDA, I think, was more than 3 times at the year end. I guess this year, EBITDA should be growing and drives the metric down. But do you see any big opportunities when it comes to working capital and inventories, for example?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Thank you for your question. Let me start with the Romanian factory. Obviously, we don’t disclose precisely the number because of confidential reason, but the Romania will start to contribute significantly to our global manufacturing volume, so already this year. Then of course, we are waiting at the moment for the final commercial permit, and then we can start also delivering tariffs into the market. About the prices versus raw material, of course, we are always protecting profitable growth.
And of course, we are always making sure that we compensate inflation in our pricing model. So this is what I can tell you, obviously, without anticipating, obviously, details so that we cannot disclose for obvious reasons. And about EBITDA, Martin?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. So the question related to net debt EBITDA, so the target is on a longer term to be between 1 and 2x net debt to EBITDA. And this company will, as we’ve said several times, will have a debt on the balance sheet going forward as well. The thinking, of course, is that the ratio is not similar that it was at last year’s end, I. E, as you said, that increasing, of course, the EBITDA.
And in terms of networking capital, that is something that we are looking at constantly that what are the things there we can do, both in terms of the inventories. We said there in the guidance as well that we have good level of inventories, so we can support the market from the inventories. And the receivables were at the level of €270,000,000 at the year end. Then at the same time, if and when we are growing the business, what we can do there in terms of the real numbers, we’ll need to see. But I cannot say that definitely, we will have certain type of net working capital.
But of course, it’s something that we will constantly monitor, and we need to start to produce actual cash flow. So that is a clear target for the company.
Artem Beletsky, Analyst, SEB: Okay, great. Thank you.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Mika Ihamaki from DNB Markets. Please go ahead.
Mika Ihamaki, Analyst, DNB Markets: Hi. This is Niko from DNB, and welcome also, Paolo. Question, you mentioned in the last quarter that you see relatively good momentum in Nordics, good momentum in Canada despite warm weather perhaps elsewhere in North America, yet sales remained flat in both regions in comparable terms. So can you really explain what was this in line? What do you expected?
And what caused the sort of flat performance?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. I think it’s fair that I take this question. So I think the Nordics performed as we were expecting, both in terms of the volumes and the kind of ASPs, as Paolo said, as well. But and Canada, I think somewhat, but I think it’s the North America in general that was a disappointment, as we say in the release. But there are things that we are doing to be better going forward there, but that was a disappointment.
Mika Ihamaki, Analyst, DNB Markets: And perhaps if you can just list what are really the key drivers for your ’twenty five guidance expecting margins to improve? What should we think?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: So like there was in Paolo’s slides as well that we need to be better in terms of the efficiency what we do at the factories and now under one kind of director as well going forward. And also that means that raw material prices, we need to be better in our purchases and in the procurement as such. So I think it’s all of that and nothing else. Okay. That’s all from my side.
Thank you.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Samu Wilhomsen from Nordea Markets. Please go ahead.
Samu Wilhomsen, Analyst, Nordea Markets: Thank you for taking my question and welcome also, Paolo. Happy to see you on board. Maybe just a brief question, you already provided some details regarding the changes in the product mix and the key drivers behind that, contract manufacturing. But are you able to disclose us any details that what was the share of Q4? We know that you did close the figure for the full year, but are you able to give details in Q4?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: We don’t disclose precisely how much is the percentage of the contract manufacturing, but obviously, to give a guidance in I mean, we can be around 10% of our total volume. That is more or less the guidance at this stage.
Samu Wilhomsen, Analyst, Nordea Markets: But in addition to contract manufacturing overall sales of winter tires, both contract and euro manufacturing in Q4?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: When we talk about winter tire, we’re mainly manufacturing in our own manufacturing facilities in Nokia, when we talk about premium winter tire.
Samu Wilhomsen, Analyst, Nordea Markets: Okay.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Jonas Hajjar from OP. Please go ahead.
Jonas Hajjar, Analyst, OP Financial Group: Hi. It’s Jonas Hajjar from OP Financial Group. Thanks for taking my question. Firstly, just to clarify the ramp up costs. You had still some ramp up related costs in the U.
S. Can you clarify what these were in Q4? And are you expecting these to end going forward? This will be the first one. And then the second one related to the margin in during the Romanian ramp up phase, so in 20252026.
I recall you previously said or expected that the segment’s EBIT margin should be in the high single digits. So can you please comment on or any updated views on this one, please?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: Yes. On the U. S. Ramp up costs, so I think there was some type of a misleading kind of communication during the year, I. E, when we said that we finished the kind of the finalized U.
S. But there, we meant at that point, and I have been trying correct as well that we did finalize the finished goods fair house there during the summer, but we were still in the ramp up phase in terms of production throughout the last year. Of course, hoping as much as you guys are there on the other end of the line that we will not have any ramp up type cost in the U. S. So that everything has been installed and then we are running that full speed as we are doing at this moment.
Then when it comes to the margins, I think that is still what we are targeting, but one needs to refer to our guidance there. But of course, we are not deviating anywhere from the kind of the longer strategic horizon where we said what the margins will be.
Jonas Hajjar, Analyst, OP Financial Group: All right. Thank you.
Conference Operator: The next question comes from Thomas Besson from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.
Thomas Besson, Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux: Thank you. I have two follow-up questions, please. First, can you please comment on the evolution in 2025 of your P and L and cash net interest and net tax expenses, please? That’s the first follow-up question. And the second, you talk about the local to local strategy looking out with the ramp up of Romania helping in that direction.
In 2025, what share of your towers are moving from Europe to North America or maybe in 2025 2024, sorry, what was the share of tar sold in North America that came from other regions, please?
Nico Haavisto, CFO, Nokian Tyres: So the first question was the interest expense. So there we are roughly somewhere around EUR 35,000,000 in terms of interest. And then on the taxes, I think we are going not on a cash flow base, but kind of on a P and L base, we are going towards the 20% tax rate in this company. We have, as you see in the balance sheet, some different tax assets that we can, of course, release to cash against that tax cost. So the actual cash out will be less than 20% from the profits.
But I don’t want to comment an exact number there in terms of gas taxes.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Thomas, could you repeat the second question, please?
Thomas Besson, Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux: Of course, Piyush. The second question was what proportion, how many units or what was exactly the volumes sold in North America that came from Europe in 2024? Or what do you expect to be in 2025?
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: We don’t disclose precisely. I can tell you that obviously the winter tire that we supply from our own factories in Nokia are going to North America. And then of course, North America then is self sufficient when we talk about the other part of the range. But all the winter tires are today supplied by our factory in Nokia in Finland.
Thomas Besson, Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux: Thank you very much. Can I ask you if it’s possible to add your presentation on your website? Thank you.
Conference Operator: There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: If there are no additional questions, it’s time to finish the call. And the presentation should be on the website already, so you can find that there under investors. But let’s finish this call. Thank you all for participating. Thank you, Paolo, for this first call.
And thank you, Nico. Have a good day.
Paolo Pompey, President and CEO, Nokian Tyres: Thank you very much. Bye. Thank you.
Mika Ihamaki, Analyst, DNB Markets: Bye bye.
Paivi Antola, Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres: Thanks. Bye.
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