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Nomura Holdings reported its Q2 2025 earnings, reflecting a decline in net revenue and income before taxes, yet the company’s stock surged 5.94% following the announcement. Despite a decrease in quarterly profits, Nomura’s strategic initiatives in wealth and investment management have shown resilience, leading to positive investor sentiment. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a GOOD overall Financial Health Score of 2.92, with particularly strong momentum and relative value metrics. The stock has delivered impressive returns, with a 43.78% price total return over the past year.
Key Takeaways
- Nomura’s stock increased by 5.94% following earnings release.
- Net income for Q2 was ¥92.1 billion, down 12% quarter-on-quarter.
- Wealth Management and Investment Management divisions showed robust growth.
- The company is addressing phishing scam impacts and enhancing security measures.
- Nomura maintains a strong return on equity, achieving 10.6% this quarter.
Company Performance
Nomura Holdings experienced a challenging quarter with a 2% decline in group-wide net revenue and a 15% drop in income before income taxes. Despite this, the company’s first half of the year showed a 26% increase in income before taxes and an 18% rise in net income, reflecting a strong year-on-year performance. The company’s diversified business model across Wealth Management, Investment Management, Wholesale, and Banking continues to support its competitive position.
Financial Highlights
- Group-wide net revenue: ¥515.5 billion (down 2% quarter-on-quarter)
- Income before income taxes: ¥136.6 billion (down 15%)
- Net income: ¥92.1 billion (down 12%)
- Earnings per share: ¥30.49
- Return on Equity (ROE): 10.6%
Market Reaction
Following the earnings announcement, Nomura’s stock price rose by 5.94% to ¥503.3, up from the last close of ¥475.1. This increase comes despite the reported declines in quarterly revenue and income, suggesting investor confidence in the company’s strategic direction and future growth prospects. The stock remains within its 52-week range of ¥501.8 to ¥509.8.
Outlook & Guidance
Looking ahead, Nomura expects the negative impact of phishing scams to diminish in future quarters as they enhance security measures, such as the recently introduced pass key authentication system. The company remains committed to a 40% dividend payout and a 50% total payout ratio, indicating confidence in its ability to generate stable revenue streams.
Executive Commentary
CFO Hiroyuki Moriyuchi emphasized the company’s commitment to transforming Japan into an asset management powerhouse and highlighted Nomura’s resilience against downside risks. Moriyuchi also discussed the company’s balanced approach to capital management, indicating a focus on sustainable growth and risk management.
Risks and Challenges
- Potential future phishing scams could impact financial performance.
- Increased operational expenses, particularly in compensation and benefits, may pressure margins.
- Global economic uncertainties, including interest rate fluctuations, could affect market conditions.
- Competitive pressures in the asset management and banking sectors remain significant.
Nomura Holdings continues to navigate a complex financial landscape with strategic investments in technology and asset management, aiming to maintain its competitive edge and deliver value to shareholders.
Full transcript - Nomura Holdings Inc CFD (8604) Q2 2026:
Conference Moderator, Nomura Holdings: Good day, everyone, and welcome to today’s Nomura Holdings’ second quarter operating results for fiscal year ending March 2026 conference call. Please be reminded that today’s conference call is being recorded at the request of the hosting company. Should you have any objections, you may disconnect at this point in time. During the presentation, all the telephone lines are placed for listen-only mode. The question and answer session will be held after the presentation. Please note that this telephone conference contains certain forward-looking statements and other projected results, which involve known and unknown risks, delays, uncertainties, and other factors not under the company’s control, which may cause actual results, performance, or achievements of the company to be materially different from the results, performance, or other expectations implied by these projections.
Such factors include economic and market conditions, political events and investor sentiments, liquidity of secondary markets, level and volatility of interest rates, currency exchange rates, security valuations, competitive conditions and size, number and timing of transactions. With that, we’d like to begin the conference. Mr. Hiroyuki Moriyuchi, Chief Financial Officer, please go ahead.
Hiroyuki Moriyuchi, Chief Financial Officer, Nomura Holdings: Thank you very much. This is Moriyuchi, CFO. I will now give you an overview of our financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026. Please turn to page 2. Group-wide net revenue came in at ¥515.5 billion, down 2% from last quarter. Income before income taxes fell 15% to ¥136.6 billion, while net income was ¥92.1 billion, down 12%. Excluding gains from the sale of real estate recorded in the previous quarter, net revenue was up 10%, and net income was up 40%, reflecting steady growth. Earnings per share for the quarter were ¥30.49, and return on equity was 10.6%, reaching the quantitative target for 2030 of 8 to 10% or more for the sixth consecutive quarter. In addition, income before income taxes in the three international regions rose 63% to ¥44.9 billion, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of profitability.
For all four divisions in total, income before income taxes rose 25% to ¥132.6 billion. In Wealth Management, the balance of recurring revenue assets and recurring revenue saw net inflow for the 14th consecutive quarter reaching an all-time high, and in Investment Management, assets under management also reached an all-time high on the 10th consecutive quarter of net inflows. Revenues and profits rose in both divisions. In Wholesale, the overall trend of growth in both revenue and profits strengthened further, with net revenue in equities reaching a record high in Global Markets, and momentum remained strong in Investment Banking too. The Banking Division, established in April, also performed well. Before we go into details for each business, let us first take a look at the performance in the first half of the fiscal year. Please turn to page 3.
As shown on the bottom left, income before income taxes rose 26% year on year to ¥296.9 billion, net income rose 18% to ¥196.6 billion, and earnings per share came in at ¥64.53. Return on equity rose to 11.3% as medium to long-term initiatives steadily bore fruit. In addition, group revenue rose by 11%, and profits benefited from cost controls and operating leverage, with a cost-coverage ratio of 71%. Please see the bottom right for a breakdown of income before income taxes. Income before income taxes at the four main divisions rose 11% to ¥238.4 billion. Growth in recurring business revenue in Wealth Management and Investment Management helped to stabilize overall performance, and Wholesale continued its self-sustained growth based on the principle of self-funding, enabling income before income taxes to rise substantially, thereby driving overall performance.
Banking got off to a good start and has made progress with preparations for the introduction of a deposit sweep service next fiscal year. In view of this performance, for the period ended September 2025, we expect to pay a dividend of ¥27 per share. This works out at a dividend payout ratio of 40.3%. Please turn to page 4. This time, we have added this slide to our presentation. We calculate stable revenues as the sum of recurring revenue at Wealth Management, business revenue at Investment Management, and revenue at Banking. Steady growth in recurring assets in both Wealth Management and Investment Management, shown on the left, has resulted in strong growth in stable revenues, as shown in the graph on the right, and Banking has been steadily increasing its recurring business, including loans outstanding and trust balance, thereby expanding its foundation for growth.
Now, we will look at the second quarter results for each division. Please turn to page 7. All percentages discussed from now on are based on a quarter-on-quarter comparison. Wealth Management net revenue increased 10% to ¥116.5 billion, and income before income taxes grew 17% to ¥45.5 billion. Income before income taxes was the highest in about 10 years since the quarter ended June 2015. Recurring revenue and the balance of recurring revenue assets both reached record highs, as recurring revenue assets saw a net inflow for the 14th consecutive quarter. As major equity markets rose to fresh highs during the quarter, client activity increased, and flow revenue registered strong growth. Meanwhile, the pre-tax profit margin reached a high level of 39%, buoyed by ongoing cost controls. The recurring revenue cost-coverage ratio for the last four quarters came to 70%, leading to additional stability to the division’s performance.
Please turn to page 8, where you can see an update on total sales by product. Total sales declined around ¥300 billion to ¥6.4 trillion, but this was owing to a tender offer in excess of ¥1 trillion during the previous quarter. As for recurring revenue assets, sales of investment trusts and discretionary investments grew steadily, supported by continued strong demand for long-term investment diversification. Regarding insurance, sales have continued at a high level, reflecting the relatively high U.S. interest rate environment. Next, let’s take a look at the KPIs on page 9. On the top left, you can see that recurring revenue assets saw a net inflow of ¥289.5 billion. As major markets reached new highs, net inflows remained at a high level despite increased selling pressure from portfolio adjustments, as our efforts to expand the recurring business proved successful, taking us to the next stage.
Meanwhile, as shown on the top right, recurring revenue assets totaled ¥26.2 trillion at the end of September, and recurring revenue exceeded ¥50 billion for the first time in our quarterly results, owing to a contribution from investment fees, which are collected on a half-yearly basis in the second quarter. As shown on the bottom right, the number of workplace services rose steadily to exceed 4 million. Next, let’s take a look at Investment Management. Please turn to page 10. Net revenue came to ¥60.8 billion, up 20%. Income before income taxes amounted to ¥30.7 billion, up 43%. Stable business revenue has been growing steadily. In addition to favorable market factors, 10 straight quarters of net inflows resulted in assets under management topping ¥100 trillion, and asset management fees reaching a new high. Investment gain loss came to ¥16.8 billion, rising sharply by 69%.
This reflects not only a large increase in investment gain loss related to American Century Investments, but also profits recorded at private equity investment firm Nomura Capital Partners on the sale of shares held in Orion Breweries, which publicly listed. Let’s now turn to page 11 and examine our asset management business, which is the key source of business revenue for the division. The graph on the upper left shows that assets under management reached ¥101.2 trillion at the end of September. As shown on the bottom left, net inflows amounted to ¥498 billion. Net inflows to the investment trust business totaled around ¥525 billion, and net outflows from the investment advisory and international businesses were around ¥26 billion. Net inflows in the investment trust business were achieved despite share price increases on the major markets, triggering profit-taking sales, pushing up funds kept in reserve in MRFs.
Even excluding MRFs, funds flowed into Japan equity ETFs, private assets, and balanced funds. The investment advisory and international businesses saw net outflows owing to reshuffling of investments by Japanese investors and outflows from Asian equities, which outweighed inflows to U.S. high-yield bonds and UCITS investment funds. As shown in the graph at the bottom right, alternative assets under management rose to a new high of ¥2.9 trillion. This performance is the result of solid net inflows and not solely owing to market factors.
Conference Moderator, Nomura Holdings: Next, Wholesale division. Please go to page 12. Net revenue came to ¥279.2 billion, up 7%, as shown at the bottom left of the slide. Global Markets net revenue was up 6%, and Investment Banking net revenue was up 15%. Meanwhile, stringent cost management resulted in division expenses only rising 3%. As a result, cost-income ratio improved to 81%, and income before income taxes rose 27% to ¥53.1 billion. Please turn to page 13 for an update on each business line. Net revenue in Global Markets business rose 6% to ¥235.7 billion. Fixed income revenue was ¥121.9 billion, in line with the previous quarter. Let’s look at the product breakdown. In macro products, rates revenues were down quarter on quarter. In EMEA, FXEM revenues in AEJ were also down.
In spread products, credit revenue growth in Japan and AEJ was attained by capturing client flows, and securitized products revenue growth was supported in the Americas by the prevailing direction of the interest rate environment. As a result, higher revenue from spread products offset lower revenues from macro products. Equities revenue rose 16% to a new high of ¥113.8 billion. In equity products, revenues grew on higher client activity in Japan and AEJ, supporting a strong performance in the derivative business. In the Americas, business remained favorable if execution services sustained strong revenue from the previous quarter. Please turn to page 14. Investment Banking net revenue rose 15% to ¥43.5 billion. Corporate action in Japan remained consistently strong, and international business also contributed to revenue growth. By product, in advisory, momentum remained strong in Japan, with multiple transactions involving financial sponsors and moves to take companies private.
International business also made a contribution with M&A deals related to renewable energy and digital infrastructure, primarily in EMEA. Advisory continued to rank top in the Japan-related M&A league table for January through September, and ranked 15th in the global M&A league table, demonstrating its global presence. In financing and solutions, revenue rose in DCM on continued solid performance in Japan and multiple international transactions, primarily in EMEA, as well as ALF deals, particularly in the Americas. Now, let’s look at Banking. Please turn to page 15. In Banking, net revenue came to ¥12.9 billion, flat from the previous quarter. Income before income taxes fell 12% to ¥3.2 billion. KPIs such as loans outstanding and investment trust balance remained at a high level, and revenue from lending business and trust agent business held firm.
Meanwhile, higher costs pushed down profits, as an upgrade to the core system completed at Nomura Trust and Banking in May 2025 resulted in the associated depreciation being fully booked this quarter. Preparations for the deposit sweep service scheduled for introduction in fiscal 2026/27 are progressing as planned. Now, I will explain non-interest expenses. Please turn to page 16. Group-wide expenses came to ¥378.8 billion, a 4% increase from the previous quarter. Compensation and benefits totaled ¥195.1 billion, rising 5%, reflecting an increase in performance-linked bonus provisions. Commissions and floor brokerage fees came to ¥47.2 billion, up 5%. The increase was driven by a heavier volume of transactions. Other expenses came to ¥52.8 billion, which includes ¥3.1 billion related to acquisition and integration of the U.S.
asset management business of Macquarie Group, as well as the expense of paying compensation for losses arising from fraudulent trades in clients’ accounts due to phishing scams. I will comment in more detail on how the phishing scams affected our profits this past quarter at the end of today’s presentation. Lastly, we take a look at the financial position, page 17. In the table on the bottom left, you can see that Tier 1 capital at the end of September came to approximately ¥3.6 trillion, up roughly ¥170 billion since the end of June, while risk-weighted assets came to ¥23.5 trillion, up roughly ¥660 billion. The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio at the end of September, accordingly, came to 12.9%. This is within our target range of 11% to 14%.
Our CET1 ratio finished the quarter down from the 13.2% marked at the end of June, but this decrease reflected the accumulation of positions commensurate with revenue opportunities, as well as the increase in the value of risk-weighted assets due to market factors. As we explained three months ago, the calculation method for regulatory capital ratios will change once the acquisition of Macquarie Group’s U.S. asset management business has been completed, and we currently expect this to depress the CET1 ratio by about 0.7 percentage points. This concludes our overview of the second quarter results. We would like to provide more detail on the issue of fraudulent trading in client assets resulting from phishing scams. In response to instances of fraudulent trading, we have raised the security level in stages, and the number and scale of damages have come down greatly from the April peak.
At this point, we have been in direct contact with nearly all clients that have been affected by the attacks, and we are working through the process of paying compensation to them. There were times during the second quarter when the related damages increased again, but at present, the situation has settled down, owing to various steps undertaken to address the issue. In the second quarter, the negative impact on the profit came to ¥4.8 billion, although the number of damages fell sharply. Fluctuation in share prices led to high costs in some cases to restore clients’ assets to their original condition. In this regard, we are working to avoid market volatility risks to the greatest extent possible. On October 18, we introduced a pass key authentication system that is recognized as an effective means of thwarting phishing attempts, and we are strengthening measures to eliminate such damages.
Looking ahead, we expect that the impact of phishing scams will be much smaller than it has been up through the second quarter, judging from the current state of damages. Our swift action to implement high-quality security countermeasures does more than just limit the damages suffered by our clients, it enhances the security and convenience of the financial services we provide. Our plan is to be proactive in assembling effective account security measures in our role as an industry leader and thereby reinforce our brand as the most trusted partner for our clients. I would like to close with some final remarks. During the quarter just finished, stock indices in Japan and other major economies rose steeply amid lessened uncertainty over the trajectory of U.S. interest rates and widespread interest in AI-related stocks and other high-tech stocks.
Those conditions helped us record another quarter of strong earnings as we expanded our stable source of revenue and successfully monetized robust client flows. EPS in the second quarter came to ¥30.49, and ROE came to 10.6%. For six quarters in a row, we have attained the quantitative target for 2030 announced last year of consistently achieving ROE of 8 to 10% or more. In addition, ROE for the first half of the fiscal year was 11.3%. As mentioned at the beginning of this presentation, we have seen solid growth in our key sources of stable revenue, including recurring revenue in Wealth Management, business revenue in Investment Management, and net revenue in Banking. This has added further to the stability of our company-wide performance. Wholesale, as well, is steadily achieving independently sustainable growth under the self-funding approach.
Revenues and profits in the division have both been increasing in the continuation of last year’s trend. In overseas business, which has long presented a challenge, has gained ground in making a steady profit contribution. Let me briefly touch on the situation in October. In Wealth Management, net revenue thus far in October is well above the levels observed in the second quarter. We have seen continuous medium to long-term growth in investment trusts, discretionary investment, and other such products and services premised on the idea of long-term diversified investment, and this trend has continued in October. The flow from savings to investment has become well-established, and we have a tangible sense that the client base for investment in marketable securities has broadened steadily.
We intend to continue playing our part to transform Japan into an asset management powerhouse by building relationships of trust with our clients and providing them with asset management services tailored to their needs. In Wholesale, GM business equity products have continued performing well. In Investment Banking, we expect the current high frequency of corporate actions to continue in October. Thus far, the net revenue in Wholesale continues to be solid. Going forward, we aim to raise our profit baseline by taking on risks appropriate to market conditions, and we ask for your continued support. We have a question and answer session now. If you have a question, press #7. If you want to cancel a question, press #7.
Please enter your question now. How do you want to work with the first question?
Hiroyuki Moriyuchi, Chief Financial Officer, Nomura Holdings: The first question?
Yes, please.
BofA Securities, Natsumu Tsujino. Tsujino-san, please go ahead.
Thank you. This is Tsujino. Two questions. First is regarding the personnel expenses. As explained, in Q1, you had the U.K., and according to the accounting rules, every year, the expenses tend to be high. You started at a low level, and this time, compared to Q1, the yen has weakened slightly, so the costs are a bit higher. Even so, if you look at it on a Q-on-Q basis, the personnel or compensation and benefits has increased too much, I think. Considering the Wholesale revenue, and even compared to that, I think comp and benefits has increased too much, is my impression. Could you add more color on that, please, is my first point. My other point is, and this was the case in the past too, the CET1 ratio is within target range, and after the Macquarie acquisition, it’ll go down a little bit.
It was 12.5% or so, and you said you were not exactly fully comfortable with that. Now the market is strong, and the positions tend to increase. For this year, regarding the buybacks this year, is there going to be any change compared to the past? Maybe you can’t disclose that, but any color on that too, please.
Thank you, Tsujino-san. This is Moriyuchi. Regarding your first question about comp and benefits, yes, the points you raised are all correct. Let me add some color to that. Within the compensation and benefits, there’s the bonus increase linked to our earnings. That is a big factor. On top of that, there was some retirement bonus increase in Wholesale, for example. That does tend to happen as part of our business. In this quarter, the retirement payments were a little larger than usual. That’s my answer to your first question. For the second question, regarding the CET1 ratio target, 12.9% is going to go down to 12.9%, but how do we think about the buybacks this year? As for buybacks and for shareholder return in general, we have committed to the market of 40% dividend or above, and total payout ratio of 50% or above.
We plan to stick to that as we consider shareholder return. We had the Macquarie closing, and the CET1 ratio is going to decline further from here. Within Wholesale at the moment, we are seeing some high-quality deals and opportunities, and those are increasing. From an investment perspective and financial discipline perspective and shareholder return, we will keep those three factors in mind. It’s quite hard to balance those three, but we will make sure to stick to our commitments. Thank you. Hope that answers your question. Yes, thank you very much.
The next person asking the question is SMBC Nikko Securities, Mr. Muraki. Muraki-san, please. I’m Muraki from SMBC Nikko. I have two questions. First question is about markets department’s revenue. Now, in macro, revenue seems weak, and credit and equity derivatives, oh, sorry, securitized products and equity derivatives seem strong. The way revenue is generated, and page 17, the credit risk RWA increase has followed or is continuing. Where are you taking the risk, and what kind of revenue is being generated? Recently, you said there are quality deals, but what kind of risk-taking is expected in the third quarter? Could you explain? That’s my first question. Market revenue and risk-taking. My second question is as follows. The First Brands case, so such incidents, from such incidents, did you have some impact or any lesson that you have taken?
Regarding private credit, oftentimes, there are many inquiries we receive about private credit by looking at your balance sheet. Trading book loan is ¥1.9 trillion, and other than that, excluding Nomura Trust and Banking, loan is about ¥1.2 trillion. In Americas securitization department or private credit-related business, what is the size of the business in this overall number? Could you give me some sense? Thank you. Thank you very much for your questions. For your first question regarding credit risk, where we are taking and how we are taking credit risks. In the first quarter and second quarter, as you say, SPPC and equity derivatives were very strong. Also, usually, in credit trading business, credit trading business contributed to revenue solidly. What is the outlook for the third quarter, as you said, related to SPPC? There are interesting deals in the pipeline.
On the other hand, it’s related to your second question, but in our credit business, including First Brands, whether we see abnormality in credit market, we receive such questions often. Regarding SPPC, internally, we have been having various discussions, and high profitability deals are lined up. On the other hand, in our balance sheet, a concentration risk on SPPC is something we have to be mindful of. More than ever before, we have to be selective in deciding which deal to do. In our total portfolio, SPPC portion is not going to be grown rapidly from where it is now. Regarding your second question about First Brands-related impact, as well as lessons we have learned, and also the scale or magnitude, firstly, regarding this specific case, the impact on our business or P&L was very small from this specific case.
To a certain extent, we had some exposure, but it’s negligible in size. Also, this name in question did not cause direct cost, and is there a broader implication related to this? As you say, regarding firm-wide stress testing, periodically and non-periodically, we conduct a stress test to see the changing pattern of tail risk. Indeed, looking at our existing portfolio, whether the risks have grown bigger a lot or not, the risk is not growing rapidly because in SPPC business, a private credit business portion in size is very small. The SPPC business has mortgage structure, lending, and infrastructure business. Those represent a big portion. Regarding private credit, private credit-related business is right now, in the sense of the balance sheet or our P&L, the impact from that is not big, even though I cannot give you a specific number. That’s all. Thank you very much.
If possible, I am deviating from the earnings result, but I’d like to ask you about your perspective. Related to First Brands, so risks related to First Brands, which you mentioned, what kind of risks are you paying attention to? For example, simply, but is it a simple credit risk or non-bank intermediary-related risks or double collaterals? We’re involved in some companies’ transactions, but is there a risk of fraudulent transactions that you may be involved in? Specifically, what kind of risks are you being attentive to? Thank you very much. It’s not that because this incident happened, but regarding individual cases, credit, we need to perform due diligence closely to look at the creditworthiness of each case. Regarding the fraudulent case or scam, all we can do is to conduct a thorough due diligence to screen for the fraudulent trading.
Regarding the non-bank intermediaries, unlike commercial banks, we are a firm that’s focused on the trading. What we take is inventory as a counterparty. How should I put it? Non-bank credit risks themselves are not taken greatly by us. The risk which I mentioned is in the sense that regarding individual transactions, we pay close attention to credit. For example, for the specific individual cases, when we receive sizable deals to conduct, we are not a major firm. Our balance sheet size is limited. To what extent do we allocate balance sheet to one transaction? What is the level of concentration risk? Those are the items or matters that we closely evaluate as we make a decision, and that’s what we will have to keep doing. Fully understood. Thank you very much for the explanation.
The next question is from Mr. Watanabe of Daiwa Securities. Watanabe-san, please go ahead. Thank you. This is Watanabe from Daiwa Securities. Two questions, please. First is regarding the October revenue environment. In Wholesale, equity and Investment Banking is strong, which I understand. For FIG, what are the trends you see in FIG? Compared to Q2, if you look at the Wholesale division revenue, is it above or higher or lower, please? Number two is the tax burden, page five. If we look at it year on year, the pre-tax income is increasing, but the net profit is down. International pre-tax income size is larger, but the tax rate is going up. Why is that, please? Two questions. Thank you, Watanabe-san. This is Moriyuchi. Regarding your first question, the fixed income trends. For Japan, fixed income is quite strong.
In the first half, for the ultra-long-term domain, it was quite difficult, including position-taking. Even in that domain, we are seeing a normalization, and the market is very active, and the revenues are catching up in accordance with that, is my impression for fixed income in Japan. As for international, I think we’re seeing a similar trend, similar to first half. From here on, depending on the rate environment going forward, there could be upside. As part of the overall portfolio, when fixed income improves, that tends to normalize the other businesses. As we bundle the overall business, we are seeing an increase in stable revenues, and that level is gradually improving, is my impression. That’s my first answer. Your second question regarding the tax burden or the tax cost going up slightly. Sorry, it’s hard to go into the details. There’s a lot of technical issues here.
What I can say now, I won’t go into the technical details. Thank you. Thanks very much. Just to check on the first point, in October, Wholesale division revenue compared to Q2, is it above? Is it higher? Overall, it is strong, but I would say it’s about the same level. It’s still only been three or four weeks, so we’ll see where things go. It’s still a bit early to say. Just for the first three weeks, I would say it’s about the same level. Thank you. Understood.
The next question comes from JPMorgan Securities, Sato-san. Sato-san, please. Thank you. I am Sato from JPMorgan Securities. I have two questions. First question, sorry for dwelling on this, but Wholesale equities, or especially equity product business, so the revenue has reached the record high level. Firstly, in the short term, in the first quarter, America’s derivative did well, if I recall. This time, looking at the material, Japan AEJ had a significant increase in revenue. Anyways, derivative seems to be the strong area. If it is fine with you, over the several quarters in each region, what has been the trend of movement of each business line over the last several quarters? Is such trend sustainable over the next several quarters in the future? Can you give me some sense? My second question is about risk asset. The target range is set at 11% to 14%.
In this situation, now, after the closing of Macquarie acquisition, it will come to around 12%. The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio, if it’s ¥3 trillion, if a core equity, then if it’s 11%, then it’s going to be ¥27 trillion. For the time being, is that going to be the allowable ceiling of risks you can take? Can I have that sense? I’d like to ask you to elaborate on the capacity of risk-taking. Sato-san, thank you for your questions. Firstly, your first question, equities. What was the equities performance in each region, and what is the extent of sustainability moving forward? This time, for the U.S., I might not have the material might not have mentioned it, but in the first quarter, the Americas has been the driver of revenue, and the strength continues in Americas, though that’s not specifically mentioned.
On the other hand, for Asia and Japan, compared to the first quarter on a Q1Q basis, now, second quarter results came in stronger. Overall, equities in AEJ, Japan, and U.S.A., the performance was very strong. To what extent, for how long can we retain this strength? If equities continue to be this strong, sometimes down the road, there will be a point of normalization. That’s what we are discussing internally. As you are aware, not only in Japan, but in the U.S.A. and Asia, we have geographical diversification. Within equities, we have various products. In the last several years, we have worked to diversify and broaden the product range within equities. In that sense, we are more tolerant or resistant against downside risk. In any case, equities have become stronger. Moving forward, we expect certain normalization.
In such situations, resource could be fixed income resource, which we had intentionally reduced, could go up for macro and other fixed income. I encourage you to take a look at the entirety of the portfolio. Regarding your second question, target range from 11% to 14% after Macquarie closing, the ratio is around 12%. What is the future capacity of risk-taking? That’s what you asked about. It is a good point you made. Firstly, regarding Wholesale, stringently, they are sticking to the self-funding concept as they grow their business. Self-sustaining growth is being driven. In the third and fourth quarters, if Wholesale continues to perform as strongly, then based upon the revenue and profit generated by Wholesale and based upon the capital accumulated to be accumulated, RWA headroom or capacity will be increased.
On the other hand, for areas other than Wholesale, we have the question of whether we find the need for capital in the near-term future. If there are opportunities for M&A or inorganic growth, then in a step-change manner, resource may be grown. In any case, it’s going to be immediately after Macquarie transaction. When it comes to finance, we would like to stay on the safe side, and we would like to be conservative to a certain extent. We want to take a look at the balance. I hope I answered your question. Thank you very much for the clear explanation.
The next question is from Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities, Nagasaka-san. Nagasaka-san, please go ahead.
Thank you. This is Nagasaka.
Two questions. On slide 14, Investment Banking. In the second half and next year, how do you think about the pipeline towards the future? In Q2, Japan was strong. International also recovered. According to your explanation, corporate actions will remain strong. What about advisory, finance, solutions? Could you add some comments by product, please? That is my first point. My second question is regarding the ROE. In Q2, 10.6% ROE on a full-year basis, and there were some one-off items, but even so, 10.6%. What is the base ROE which you can achieve? I think the base ROE has gone up quite a bit. Your 2030 target of 8 to 10% plus, and I guess your expected profit level to achieve that is going up. Are you going to reconsider the target profit level at this stage? Any thoughts on the upside-downside as CFO, please? Thank you for your question.
This is Moriyuchi. Regarding your first question about the pipeline by product. First of all, for advisory in Japan, there are some cross-border opportunities and large opportunities, and quite a lot of opportunities are building up in the pipeline. For international, it depends on the region, but we have announced many deals. In the second half, there are some deals which we haven’t announced, which is building up as well. For advisory, the pipeline is building up quite nicely. Meanwhile, for ECM, the fee pool is normalizing and shrinking somewhat. There are some normalizations of the cross-shareholdings opportunities, but even for the reduction of cross-shareholdings, that seems to be picking up slightly. In the second half, usually, it is the second half that corporate actions tend to be concentrated versus the first half in this product. We will make sure to pitch and win these opportunities.
For DCM, the business remains strong. For the second half, as rates are expected to go up, we are expecting a certain level of deal flow. Advisory, very strong. DCM, we expect a similar level to continue. For ECM, compared to a typical year, it is a bit weak, but we expect some recovery would be the summary. Your second question regarding ROE. In Q1, Q2, and based on the results, we are already booking more than 10% ROE. Are we not going to raise the level, is your question? Yes, as you pointed out, if we look at the current earnings, our base earnings power is gradually improving. This is a result of portfolio reforms as well as the operational reforms at each business division. Those are leading to results.
In terms of ROE, we get a lot of inquiries about whether we are going to reconsider and revise it. We are discussing a little bit internally, but the point here is which part of the cycle we are in right now, that’s something we need to be mindful of. Regardless of the economic cycle, we want the products in Wholesale to offset each other so that we can maintain the overall revenue level. That’s the kind of portfolio we are aiming for. If we are going to enter a slowdown, it’s something we need to consider. Even in that case, we want to maintain at least the 8%, which is the lower end of the range of 8 to 10%. We are currently building up the earnings capability. That’s what we should be focusing on at the moment. Hope that answers your question. Yes, thank you. Understand.
Conference Moderator, Nomura Holdings: If you have a question, press sharp seven. If you have a question, press sharp seven. As there is no more question, we’d like to conclude the question and answer session. Now, we’d like to make closing address by Nomura Holdings Inc.
Thank you. This is Hiroyuki Moriyuchi again. Thank you very much for attending the call despite your tight schedule. We were able to show you the good results. We still have third quarter and fourth quarter remaining. We will stay focused so that we can deliver results. To do so, the management members will keep making efforts. Thank you very much for your continued support. Thank you.
Thank you for taking your time. That concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect your lines.
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