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Sky Harbour Group Corp (SKYH) reported a significant increase in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, with a 78% year-over-year growth to $7.3 million. Despite this strong performance, the company's stock price saw a slight decline in aftermarket trading, reflecting investor reactions to the earnings call and future guidance. The company is nearing break-even on cash reform operations, signaling potential financial stability in the near future.
Key Takeaways
- Sky Harbour's revenue increased by 78% year-over-year to $7.3 million.
- Operating expenses decreased slightly quarter-over-quarter.
- The company is approaching break-even on cash reform operations.
- Stock price dipped 0.1% in aftermarket trading following the earnings call.
Company Performance
Sky Harbour demonstrated robust growth in the third quarter of 2025, with consolidated revenues jumping 78% compared to the same period last year. This growth was driven by a 25% increase in revenues from its Sky Harbour Capital subsidiary. The company also managed to decrease its operating expenses slightly, contributing to its improved financial position. Sky Harbour's cash position at the end of the quarter was $48 million, and it is less than $1 million away from achieving break-even on a cash reform operation basis.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue: $7.3 million, up 78% year-over-year
- Cash position: $48 million at quarter's end
- Operating expenses: Slight decrease quarter-over-quarter
Market Reaction
Following the earnings call, Sky Harbour's stock experienced a minor dip of 0.1% in aftermarket trading, closing at $9.74. This movement comes after a slight increase of 1.03% during regular trading hours. The stock remains within its 52-week range, between $9.28 and $14.52, indicating that investors are cautiously optimistic about the company's future prospects, despite the immediate reaction.
Outlook & Guidance
Looking forward, Sky Harbour aims to expand its operations to 23 airports by the end of 2025 and maximize revenue capture in 2026. The company is exploring pre-leasing strategies for new developments and anticipates significant revenue growth in the coming years. The guidance projects EPS for the next quarters and years, with a forecast of $0.32 for Q4 2025 and $0.31 for Q1 2026. Revenue projections also show a positive trajectory, with expected growth in upcoming quarters.
Executive Commentary
CEO Tal Keinan emphasized the unique position of Sky Harbour in the market, stating, "The airport system is Manhattan. You cannot build more airports in this country." This highlights the company's strategic focus on high-value locations with limited competition. Francisco Gonzalez, another executive, noted the company's financial progress, saying, "We are only less than $1 million away from break-even on a cash reform operation basis."
Risks and Challenges
- Supply chain disruptions affecting hangar construction timelines
- Potential market saturation in key locations
- Economic downturn impacting business aviation demand
- Regulatory changes in airport operations
- Competition from emerging players in the aviation infrastructure sector
Q&A
During the earnings call, analysts inquired about Sky Harbour's joint venture partnership strategy for capital formation and its pre-leasing approach for new airport campuses. The company addressed concerns about high-rent markets, particularly in the New York area, and clarified its expectations for debt service coverage. These discussions provide insights into the company's strategic planning and financial management in the face of market challenges.
Sky Harbour's third-quarter performance and future outlook suggest a company on the brink of significant growth, with strategic initiatives poised to capture increasing demand in the business aviation hangar market. However, the slight dip in stock price post-earnings indicates that investors remain cautious, balancing optimism with the potential risks and challenges ahead.
Full transcript - Sky Harbour Group Corp (SKYH) Q3 2025:
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Good evening. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Sky Harbour 2025 third quarter earnings call and webinar. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply submit a question online using the webcast URL posted on our website. Thank you. Francisco Gonzalez, you may begin your conference.
Francisco Gonzalez, Executive (Likely CFO/Finance Lead), Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Thank you, Tiffany, and hello and welcome to the 2025 third quarter investor conference call and webcast for Sky Harbour Group Corporation. We have also invited our board holding investors and our parent subsidiary, Sky Harbour Capital, to join and participate on this call. Before we begin, I've been asked by counsel to note that on today's call, the company will address certain factors that may impact this and next year's earnings. Some of the information that will be discussed today contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management assumptions, which may or may not come true, and you should refer to the language on slides one and two of this presentation, as well as our SEC filings for a description of the factors that may cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements.
All forward-looking statements are made as of today, and we assume no obligation to update any such statements. Now let's get started. The team with us this afternoon, you know from our prior webcast, our CEO and chair of the board, Tal Keinan, our treasurer, Tim Herr, our chief accounting officer, Mike Schmitt, our accounting manager, Tory Petro, and Andreas Frank, our assistant treasurer. We have a few slides we want to review with you before we open it to questions. These were filed with the SEC an hour ago in Form 8K, along with our 10Q, and will also be available on our website later this evening. We also filed our third quarter analytics, Sky Harbour Capital Obligated Group financials with MSRB, EMMA, an hour ago.
As the operator stated, you may submit written questions during the webcast using the Q4 platform, and we'll address them shortly after our prepared remarks. Let's get started. In the third quarter, on a consolidated basis, assets under construction and completed construction continue to increase, reaching over $300 million on the back of construction activity at the recently completed campuses at Phoenix, Dallas, and Denver. Please note this graph is soon to accelerate its upward trajectory as we break ground in Bradley International, Salt Lake City, Addison Phase Two, and other campuses. Consolidated revenues experience an increase of 78% year over year and 11% sequentially, reaching $7.3 million for the quarter, reflecting the acquisition of Camarillo campus last December and higher revenues from existing and new campuses.
Operating expenses in Q3 actually dropped slightly, as some of the one-time non-recurring startup expenses and new campuses that we experienced in Q2 did not carry to the last quarter. SG&A had a one-time non-cash expense in the quarter related to the recognition of vesting of our former COO's equity award compensation. We are working hard to keep SG&A stable, and as indicated in prior public discussions, we look for this line item not to exceed $20 million on a cash basis when it reaches its peak. This line item has many non-cash elements, which Mike, our Chief Accounting Officer, will review shortly. Most importantly, on the lower right-hand quadrant, we are only less than $1 million away from break-even on a cash reform operation basis and expect to reach that goal next month on a run rate basis, as discussed in prior calls and part of our formal guidance.
Next slide, please. This is a summary of the financial results of our wholly-owned subsidiary, Sky Harbour Capital, and its operating subsidiaries that form the Obligated Group. This basically incorporates the results of our Houston, Miami, and Nashville campuses, along with the newly opened campuses in Phoenix, Dallas, and Denver. Revenues in Q3 increased 25% year over year and 8% sequentially. We expect a continued increase in Q4 and the first quarter of next year, as these new campuses continue to be leased, and phase two at Opa-Locka, Miami, expected to open around early April of next year. Operating expenses decreased moderately, as discussed before, as I just discussed, while the operating leverage is shown in the strong cash flow generation coming from operating activities, as you can see in the lower right-hand quadrant. Let's turn now to our Chief Accounting Officer, Michael Schmitt, for a breakdown of adjusted EBITDA.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Thank you, Francisco. Adjusted EBITDA is a measurement tool utilized by management to evaluate our operating and financial performance. Should note that it is supplemental in nature and is not calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. We have provided a reconciliation from our GAAP and ATLAS results to the three months ended September 30, 2025. Amongst the most significant items that are components of our reconciliation to adjusted EBITDA are the non-cash portion of our ground lease expense, as we discussed in prior quarters. Most of, virtually all of our new ground lease signs do not actually require us to make cash payments until we receive certificate of occupancy. Nonetheless, under U.S. GAAP, we are required to recognize straight-line expense. We show in this chart the effect of adding back that non-cash expense to adjusted EBITDA.
Another significant component this particular quarter was share-based compensation, which totaled approximately $2 million, inclusive of certain non-recurring charges previously addressed by Francisco. With that, I will pass it over to Tal.
Tal Keinan, CEO and Chair of the Board, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: All right. Thanks, Mike. Just a quick look at site acquisition. I think this is pretty self-explanatory. It is the same chart that we put up every week. We have 19 airports on the chart today. That is airports that are either in operation or development. We gave guidance that we will have 23 by the end of this year, and we plan on hitting that guidance. Next slide. Okay. Our latest airport is Long Beach, California. As we have discussed in our previous calls, Los Angeles is a critical market for us, both a very robust and solid base of business aviation and also high growth. Long Beach itself is a real emerging technology hub, particularly in the aerospace and defense sectors, and we have identified our first residents already there.
A very significant airport for us, and I do not think it exhausts or it comes anywhere near exhausting our opportunity in the Los Angeles market. Next slide, please. Okay. This is a bit of an eye chart, but based on questions from the previous earnings calls, we thought we would provide this level of detail here, and I hope it is helpful to everybody. I am just going to go through line by line so people understand exactly what we are looking at. Actually, before we say that, all of the green airports are stabilized campuses. The blue ones are in initial lease, so the campuses that were recently completed construction or are about to complete construction. The yellow is our initial pre-leasing pilot that we discussed on the last earnings call. Going line by line, revenue run rate is exactly what it looks like.
That is the annual total revenue run rate from each campus as of now. Rentable square feet is the amount of square footage of hangar and hangar support space that we have built or are going to build in the yellow case on each of these campuses. People have asked in the past about what are their actual rentable square footage. How do we get to above 100% occupancy in these spaces? We'll get to that in a minute, but it's just important that everyone understands in BNA, that's Nashville International Airport, we have 149,000 built sq ft that can be rented. The next line is private square footage. The private square footage is the square footage of hangar that is leased on an exclusive or private basis. And you'll see that there are certain airports where that is the dominant form of lease.
Sugar Land, for example, the first one, 100% of the hangars are fully private. There are no semi-private spaces at Sugar Land. Let's take San Jose, where the vast majority of our space is actually leased on a semi-private basis. I think a good way to look at that semi-private line, the fourth line, is the square footage of hangar at that airport that is not privately leased. Okay? That is available for common use or what we call semi-private. That's the square footage of hangar available for semi-private use on that airport. The fifth line is the actual square footage of aircraft in semi-private spaces. Now, remember, we do not care so much about the square footage of aircraft in private spaces because you are paying for every square foot in that space, regardless of the square footage of airplanes that is actually in that space.
Semi-private space is leased on the basis of aircraft square footage. What we are seeing here is the actual aircraft square footage that is sitting in semi-private space. To answer one of the questions from, I think, the previous quarterly earnings call, if you look at, for example, SJC, that is San Jose, Norman Y. Mineta, you will see that we have about 50,000 sq ft of airplane sitting in about 41,500 sq ft of hangar. That is an example of getting to more than 100% occupancy. As people who are following us know, we have transitioned from the old Sky Harbour 16, which was the prototype hangar and had 12,000 sq ft of rentable hangar space, to the new prototype, which is going up in all of the current campuses, the Sky Harbour 37, which has 37,000 sq ft of rentable hangar space.
The dividend you get from that is especially pronounced on a semi-private basis. Right? Without getting too crowded, you can get close to 70,000 sq ft of airplane into that 37,000 sq ft of hangar. I think if people could look on the website to understand the geometry of exactly how that works, but we want to give you some empirical data points of what that's looking like. The next line, line number six, is revenue per sq ft. The way that works is very simple. We just take the total revenue, the top line, divided by the rentable sq ft. The second line, that gives you your effective revenue per sq ft.
The last line, which I think is an important nuance, I think it's very important to understand, particularly in light of our current leasing strategy, shows you what the high and lows are on contracted revenue per square foot, okay, or contracted revenue per leased square foot. The reason that's important is if you look a little bit closer, you'll see that there is a correlation between the recency of a signed lease. The later the lease was signed, the higher the revenue per rentable square foot, and also a correlation between the duration of the lease and the revenue per rentable square foot. Longer duration leases have higher revenues per square foot, different from what you're going to find in most real estate. That has to do with, I think, our tenant community's appreciation of the expected inflation on airports.
We charge a higher rentable square foot on longer-term leases. That feeds into our current leasing strategy before we move to pre-leasing. What you can see on the blue columns, the airports that are in initial lease up right now, in that what we're trying to do on those airports is actually get as quickly as possible to 100% occupancy and do that in general on the basis of short-term leases, call it 12-month leases, with the idea of establishing kind of a more permanent occupancy at our target rents. At the beginning, it's about speed, getting to 100%. That puts us in a very different position with regard to leverage in negotiating new leases, and then go back and correct to market.
Now, that said, in each of those blue airports, we do have one or two residents who are on longer-term leases that are paying full rent. What you can see on the green side is you get the relatively high disparities between the highest and the lowest leases. Again, the highest tend to be the ones that are signed latest and/or the leases that have the longest tenor. Just a couple of things to point out before we move on is just to preempt any questions. Sugar Land, that campus was gradually taken over by its anchor tenant. We started with seven hangars. The anchor tenant had two of those seven.
Every time one of the hangars came due, that anchor tenant took over that lease, which brings us to the state of affairs today where there is only one resident in the entire campus, so they're paying the same rent across the board. The last thing I'll point out to people is the higher the ratio of semi-private to private space, the bigger the disparity you'll see between the highest and the lowest revenue per sq ft. That is a nod to our evolving strategy of increasing our emphasis on semi-private space versus private space. In general, under most conditions, that's actually a better business for us. The last thing I'll say is the yellow bar is just our initial pre-leasing. That pilot has moved on to a it's been successful, and we've turned that into a permanent.
That is the permanent leasing program going forward. With that, let me turn it over to Tim.
Tim Herr, Treasurer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Thanks, Tal. At the obligated group, we completed a modification of our construction program by removing the second phase of Centennial Airport and adding in the second phase at Addison Airport. Addison has an earlier expected completion date at a lower expected construction cost. With its higher expected revenues, the modification will be positively accretive to our bondholders as we approach the final completion of all of the projects in the obligated group. Next slide. We also finalized a $200 million tax-exempt drawdown facility announced with J.P. Morgan in September. This five-year facility will provide debt funding for our next projects in the development pipeline. We expect to draw on the facility over the next two years, as you can see on the chart on the left, followed by an eventual takeout with longer-term tax-exempt bonds once the projects are completed.
We recently announced that we have locked in our cost of financing at 4.73%, that's 473, through a floating first fixed swap. Now, let me turn it over to Francisco for discussions on future capital formation.
Francisco Gonzalez, Executive (Likely CFO/Finance Lead), Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Thank you, Tim. We closed the quarter with $48 million in cash on U.S. Treasuries, which are now enhanced with the $200 million committed J.P. Morgan facility that Tim discussed. We have been served well historically to continue to be a fortress of liquidity and be funded 18-24 months ahead of our needs. Given the accelerating growth ahead of us, we continue to explore various private and public alternatives in terms of the right type and cost of growth capital. Until we decide to start paying a dividend, we will reinvest our positive operating cash flow next year into additional hangar campuses. We have also not used our ATM program or issued any equity, given that we consider it too low of a share price. Instead, we are exploring the possibility of issuing yet additional private activity bonds outside the obligated group and outside the J.P. Morgan facility.
Specifically, the five-year part of the curve looks attractive for an interim issuance while we construct our next portfolio of six to seven campuses. That will provide us with adequate time to come to a long-term bond issuance once our obligated group program achieves investment grade. We also announced today that we enter into a binding LOI with Ultra High Net Worth Family Office that is expected to acquire a 75% participation in a new Sky Harbour 34 hangar at Phase 2 in Opa-Locka for $30.75 million in cash. The transaction is expected to close on or about April 1st of next year, subject to certain conditions. If completed, we expect to use the proceeds first to fund any remaining capital needs to construct Phase 2 at Addison and then repay certain past payments previously advanced by our holding company to the obligated group.
The balance will pass through the obligated group's waterfall and be subject to the resistive payments test of the surplus account. This type of asset monetization is a prudent way to generate capital to fund our future growth if and only if the valuations support it and if the alternatives are less attractive to us from a dilution and cost of capital perspective. We continue to explore a few more potential hangar sales from people who simply do not like to rent and prefer to own their own hangar. With this, let me turn it back to Tal for two or three highlights and forthcoming initiatives in the four pillars of our business.
Tim Herr, Treasurer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: All right. Thanks, Francisco. We're breaking it down the same way we always do. Site acquisition, 19 airport ground leases. We're on track to deliver 23 airports by the end of the year. We have begun pursuing same field expansion opportunities, and I'm going to expand on that on the next slide. As we've mentioned before, much of the focus, at least, has shifted to really targeting tier-one airports rather than just a lot of airports. Development. Our manufacturing subsidiary Stratus is now pumping out steel in full gear, meeting all of our development needs. The construction program under our construction subsidiary, Ascend, is also in full gear. We're on an accelerated track to meet our 2026 construction schedule, which, as people have probably noticed, is a real step function in construction volume. Specifically, Miami Opa-Locka Phase 2 is on schedule.
We have broken ground in Connecticut, Bradley, Connecticut. We've nearly completed site demolition at Dallas Addison Phase 2. It's going to be probably the tightest schedule spread between Phase 1 and Phase 2 on an airport. Dallas is a very good market for us. We've begun site work in Salt Lake City, and we have 10 airports in development now. Again, hopefully, that expands by four by the end of the year. We've also instituted a comprehensive quality assurance program. It's kind of a nose-to-tail program starting at the design phase through manufacturing, through construction. As people on the call have heard, this is an industry that's fraught with construction snafus. One of the benefits of specialization and pumping out exactly the same prototype hangar across the country is it introduces quality assurance tools that are not really available elsewhere in the industry.
Leasing, stabilized campuses continue to grow revenues at a really robust pace post-stabilization. Right? Again, this, I think, we'd like to take credit to a certain extent in the quality of the offering and the fact that Sky Harbour has really kind of become an established brand in the business aviation community. If people have a choice, they will come to Sky Harbour in general. Part of it is just inflation, right, where we're aware of that. Again, that's the central part of our thesis. I call the inflation kind of our macro tailwinds, and the quality of the offering is the thrust on the aircraft. That's how we look at that. We see no reason for that growth to abate. The airports that are in round one lease up, that's Deer Valley in Phoenix, Addison, Dallas, and Centennial in November.
Like I said before, the objective is to first get to 100% occupancy with compromises on revenue per square foot as long as our lease terms are short. In term two, really establish our market rents on these fields. We were, again, already seeing that. Even on those four airports, we're already seeing that the longer-term leases are above our target rents. We expect that to work nicely. Like we said, going forward, pre-leasing will be the strategy. Starting with Bradley, Connecticut, all airports will be subject to that pre-leasing strategy. On the operation side, we've got nine fields in operation today. We've got two phase 2s in preparation. That is Miami and Dallas.
One of the things I think the more astute observers will notice is there's actually a very modest change in OPEX when you open a second phase on a campus. While your revenues might double on that campus, your OPEX change is actually quite small. We will hopefully be realizing those efficiencies on a lot of airports going forward. Please stay tuned for that. That industry recognition, it's one of these things that is a little bit difficult to judge objectively, but I think it's a pretty emphatic across-the-board recognition, not just in our own resident community, but in people who are coming in to reserve spots in places like Dulles International or Bradley or Miami Phase 2. We do have a very satisfied with the ops training program, which we continue to improve, which has a lot of features that you don't see elsewhere in the industry.
Actually, I think we have two pictures, actually, on this slide. I will call everybody's attention to that. What you see on the right side of the slide is a training rig that we actually manufacture ourselves, which allows our line crew to do both initial and recurrent training in operating and towing operating tow equipment and moving aircraft, not on an actual aircraft, okay, which means there is no risk of damage to a tenant's property. We do virtually all of our training now on this rig. One of the side benefits of that is you could train much more often. Again, if you are towing a $50 million airplane, you can be very, very judicious about the amount of time you spend on it. We do not do that anymore.
Maybe others in the industry do, but that's one example of what we think is kind of an innovative new approach to providing just top, top-level service. We've also instituted what we call the Sky Standard Property Management Program. It's not just about the service. It's also about the upkeep of these facilities, which have to be six stars. I think our residents have come to expect that. We've invested quite heavily in managing that centrally and getting really the best property management program in aviation across the country. Next slide. Looking ahead on site acquisition, again, we've said it. We believe we're on course to meet our guidance for 2025. That's 23 airports by the end of the year. 2026, the focus will be on, number one, max revenue capture that is the tier one, the best airports in the country is our primary focus.
Secondarily is same field expansion. Again, what we're finding is in the airports that we're already operating, we know the players both on the airport sponsor side and in the resident community have real intimate knowledge of how that market works and how it's evolving. There are just great benefits in expanding. I would say if you could double the ground lease at an existing airport, it's probably worth a lot more than establishing a new ground lease on a brand new airport, all other things held equal. On top of that, as I alluded to in the phasing discussion, there are real operational efficiencies. Right? If you double the size of your campus, you do not need to double the size of your team or double your equipment list on that campus.
Moving on to development, we feel ready for all the reasons I enumerated on the last slide. We feel ready for the surge in 2026. It's almost an order of magnitude change in the scope and volume of our manufacturing and construction. There is going to be another one in 2027, another phase shift or step up in development volume in 2027. We are getting ready for that. Leasing, we have grown the leasing team threefold as the volume of leasable space has gone up. That team, all of the growth in that team has been veterans. As some of the people who track us closely know, we've had really great success in recruiting military veterans to our team. A lot of benefits to a team that's so heavily weighted toward veterans. That has been a big advantage. Order of operations, let's start with the short term.
We're bringing those blue campuses from one of the previous slides to 100% occupancy. That is mission number one. Mission number two is bring those campuses to market rents, meaning cycle those short-term leases to longer-term leases at higher rents. That is when we call those campuses fully stabilized. Then circle back to our legacy campuses to focus on revenue enhancement. Again, we've had perhaps too small a leasing team. It took us a little longer than I would have liked to get to the size of the leasing team that we have today. Now that we have it, though, it is going back, really culling those waiting lists in Miami and in Nashville and the various other locations and looking for the best residents to bring in. It is not just a matter of maximizing revenue. It is a matter of bringing the best residents in the industry into Sky Harbour.
Longer term, as we've discussed, we're migrating, starting with Bradley, Connecticut, to a pre-leasing model where we go out and lease these campuses up well in advance. Remember, we have ground leases, we have, sorry, tenant leases already in Bradley, which is 12 months out, and Dulles, which is 18 months out for delivery. Just take a moment to also just note with gratitude that people are affording us the credibility to put down cash deposits and enter binding leases on products that we're only going to be delivering a year and a half from now. That really is, at least for me, a milestone event in the evolution of this company. Lastly, operations, we have a very active resident feedback loop.
A lot of our residents' principals speak to me directly, which we value a ton, both for better and for worse, when we do something good and when we do something bad, which allows us to really institute a rapid feedback loop, which I think people increasingly appreciate. We certainly do because it's making us better all the time. On the defense side, I made the same points last time, and I think they're critical, and they stand every time, is we aim to be absolutely bulletproof on safety, security, and efficiency. That's not where we get creative. That's where we're perfect. Offense is where we get creative, is continue innovating, introducing new services or new variations on services, customized services that really delight the residents.
They are often created in partnership with the residents to continue really growing that value gap between the Sky Harbour offering and really anything else that you can access in business aviation. With that, I think we are done.
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Thank you, Tal. This concludes our prepared remarks. We now look forward to your questions. Operator, please go ahead with the queue.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, please submit it online using the webcast URL. We'll pause for a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from Tom Katherwood with BTIG. The question is, with the pre-leasing program now becoming the standard approach for all new developments, how will Sky Harbour manage the potential risk of locking in lease economics before the full scope of construction costs is determined?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: All right. Thanks, Tom. Good question. I'd say two things. Number one, as we systematize and diversify, we think the risk of significant overruns in any of these projects continues to come down. Certainly, in early days, when we were maybe a little bit more experimental and bringing a different hangar design to each new campus, I think the risk was significantly higher. We've, I think, lowered that considerably. Remember that we're locking in guaranteed maximum price contracts on these projects, which further mitigates the risk. Secondly, the objective is not to get to full occupancy through pre-leasing. So we have yet to determine what the optimum is. It's going to be north of 50%, but does that mean 60, 70? It's not 100%. We do want to leave a little bit in reserve for later.
Fundamentally, the real risk here, assuming construction is going to cost what it costs, the real risk here is underestimating a market's potential. If we think this is a $50 a sq ft market and it ends up being a $60 a sq ft market, that is the basic risk we're taking. I think between those two factors, that risk is significantly mitigated. It is certainly something that's on our mind. I appreciate the question.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question comes from Timothy DeAgostino with B. Riley Securities. The question is, are any properties in operation over 100% occupancy? Can you talk to which ones those would be?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Thanks, Tim. You might have posted this question before we hit the slide. Just in case, if you skip back to the leasing slide, you'll see examples like San Jose, which are significantly above 100% occupancy. What you'll find is the more heavily weighted we are to semi-private hangars versus private hangars, the higher the occupancy is going to be. Remember, all of the new campuses are Sky Harbour 37 hangars, which just geometrically fit more aircraft. Meaning the ratio of aircraft square footage to hangar square footage can be a lot higher in a Sky Harbour 37 than it can be in a Sky Harbour 16. I think you'll see, hopefully, an increase in occupancy as we go forward with these new airports.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Ryan Myers with Lake Street Capital Markets and is as follows. Congrats on another solid quarter showing progress. First question for me, is there anything from this quarter, qualitative or quantitative, that highlights early signs of scale in the business?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. So what I can say on that is there doesn't have to be too much guesswork, Ryan, on that, is that there's a funnel in this business, and it really goes along the lines that I've been enumerating in all of these calls, which is look at site acquisition, look at development base, and then look at operations as revenues start flowing, which will give you a very solid sense of what that is. If you kind of look at 2025, where for most of 2025, we were under construction in three campuses, right, Denver, Dallas, and Phoenix. In 2026, that goes to 10, okay? So the very significant scale. Now, the revenues from that will start accruing in a real step function, right? This is not incremental growth, starting in late 2026 and entering 2027. If you look at the pipeline, watch the pipeline closely.
If we hit the 23 airports by the end of this year, and we'll obviously publish new guidance for site acquisition in 2026, you see how the top of the funnel widens, and I think you can trace directly from that to revenues. I think that's probably the best way to look at that question.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Gerard Mehta with Alliance Global Partners. They ask, what are the details on the potential five-year $75 million-$100 million tax-exempt bond? What's the potential timing, and what is the expected rate?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Thank you, Gerard. This is Francisco. Thanks also for your coverage of our company. Yes. We are looking at a financing that could come to market as early as next month and as late as January or February. It will be, think about it as a holding company issuance, meaning that it will be structurally subordinate to the existing bondholders in the obligated group and the J.P. Morgan facility. It will basically come in lieu of issuing equity, in lieu of. In terms of expected rates, it is going to be subject to market conditions, but these are transactions that we hope will be in the 6% area. If rates do not come at the level that we are looking for, then we will just not do the deal.
One of the things, as I mentioned earlier, to have the flexibility that our liquidity provides is that we tap the markets that make sense, and if we do not like the pricing, we just do not do the deal and look at other alternatives or wait and things like that. That is kind of like the short answer to your question. Thank you for the question. Next.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Next is from Peyton Skill. The JV deal implies that the hangar is valued at $41 million. At that valuation, are you looking to do more of these deals? How are you evaluating this strategy versus the core operation of leasing hangars over the life of the ground lease?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: All right. Peyton, thanks for the question. Let me answer it, and let me ask Francisco to answer it because I think you're coming at it from two directions. I think what you're implying here, without getting into valuations specifically, is that the net present value of a 50-year stream of lease revenue is probably significantly higher than what you've calculated here. And we agree with that. I think that's true. However, I don't know that that should be the only bogey for doing these deals. I think there's a capital formation angle that you need to take into account as well. So Francisco, can you talk to that for a minute? Yeah, sure. Thank you, Tal. And thank you, Peyton, for the question. Indeed, we look, as I mentioned earlier, at all the alternatives in terms of equity, debt, different structures, and so on.
We're looking always to what makes sense for the company from a risk-reward perspective and a cost-of-capital perspective. At this juncture, when the equity markets seem not to fully capture basically what we believe is the value of this company, looking at the monetization of very deliberate of one or two hangars here and there makes a lot of sense in lieu of having to issue equity at the current prices. Of course, our core business, as Tal mentioned, is the leasing of hangars over time. The present value of our expected leasing rates and cash flows, we believe, are higher, even that implied valuation that you mentioned of $41 million. Still, the analysis does not end there. The analysis has to be compared to our alternatives. Right now, we're looking to take advantage of this opportunity. I will say also the following.
There are certain potential tenants out there that just intrinsically do not like to rent. By looking at opportunities where they can actually have the opportunity to acquire a hangar rather than rent it, it basically also expands our universe a little bit on that front. Anyway, very good question. That is kind of like the balanced approach and why we are taking advantage of this opportunity.
Tal Keinan, CEO and Chair of the Board, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: By the way, Peyton, I'll add to that. I don't know that it's exactly a strategy. I mean, you asked, how are you evaluating the strategy versus the core operation? I don't know if it's exactly a strategy. We might do one, we might do two, maybe three of these. I don't see this becoming part of the remember, we don't need that much more equity to fund our development. This is primarily a cost-of-capital question. Right? I mean, once you're covered in terms of your equity, it really becomes a matter of maximizing net present value.
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Next.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is a follow-up from Tom Katherwood. By our math, the letter of intent for a 75% JV ownership stake in a Sky Harbour 34 hangar at Opa-Locka implies a gross valuation of more than $1,000 per sq ft. With an expected cost of roughly $353 per sq ft, this deal represents a development margin of more than 180%. Is this indicative of value across your portfolio, or is the deal unique given the specific needs of your JV partner?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Tom, thanks for that. By the way, I really enjoyed your research coverage. I think you've got us dialed in, I think, quite well. Look, similar question to the previous one. What I'd say is I wouldn't say it's indicative of the value across the portfolio necessarily, but it's also not unique to the specific needs of that JV partner. Anybody who has an appreciation, who's living in that market, I think comes to the same conclusion that we come to, which is the airport system is Manhattan. It's Manhattan. You cannot build more airports in this country. There is no room for it. We are stuck with a static supply of developable land for a very, very growing demand, a very, very sharply growing demand for aviation hangar space. What I'd recommend that all the analysts do is look at your model's sensitivity to inflation assumptions.
Again, I'm not saying we're going to necessarily hit the same inflation rate as Manhattan residential real estate over the past decades, but I wouldn't be surprised if we do. Anybody who shares that view, I think, understands that there is tremendous value here. Again, we tend to think it's worth more than what we're selling it for today. I think we're creating win-wins with some of these people because, again, it's primarily a cost-of-capital question for us. I think it's a good compromise for us to be making. Francisco, you want to add to that? Yeah. I just wanted to add, on your math, just be aware that given the square footage of the Sky Harbour 34, the implied valuation is roughly about $1,200 per constructed rentable sq ft of that hangar. We hope to come at a cost lower than $353.
Basically, you're looking at north of two times or maybe even three times our cost in terms of the implied valuation. Next question.
Tal Keinan, CEO and Chair of the Board, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: That's the cost of the hangar, not the cost of getting to a place where you can actually put these hangars up.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Joe Jackson. Regarding the Miami JV, how was the $30.75 million valuation for a 75% stake determined? Is this a repeatable financing model you plan to use at other campuses?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Again, this is a similar question. We definitely think it's repeatable. We don't know that we're going to want to repeat it too much, but it's certainly repeatable. There's definitely demand for this across the country. Next question.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Philip Restau. Congratulations on the quarter. What are your thoughts about more hangars similar to the 75% in Miami in an SPV? Also, are these more likely to happen if the equity price for Sky Harbour is below that? Is it attractive to raise equity capital, or is that not a major factor? Thanks.
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Okay. So definitely a lot of we get a lot of focus on this particular transaction. Philip, you're bringing a new angle to it. I think if I understand your question right, you get this, right? This is not something this is not the new business model for Sky Harbour. It's about cost of capital. It's about getting to a place where the company is not reliant on primary equity issuance to fund its growth, even if that growth is as fast as we hope it's going to be. We want to be independent of the primary issuance market as a benefit, obviously, to all current shareholders of the company. There is some breakeven. We're probably going to be debating that late at night over the coming year or so.
What is the share price at which it does make sense to raise private equity in the company, considering the options that we have? Remember, there's I don't know how many, 70-some hangars in the network today. It's not taking a significant bite out of your total addressable market if you do two or three deals like this. That is something that I think is probably not unlikely to happen over the coming months. You're absolutely right that the equity price is a factor that we have to consider.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Ryan Myers. Do you think you could see similar JV partnerships across other campuses like the one you announced at Miami Phase 2?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Again, I think all these questions were probably asked before. I think we've addressed that. Why don't we go to the next question?
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Next is Gerard Mehta. Is there an opportunity to do pre-leasing at more airports?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Gerard, thanks for the question. That is the strategy going forward is pre-leasing. Starting with Bradley, Connecticut, we want to do pre-leasing at all future airports.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Next is from Future Hendricks. It has been projected that some of the NY area locations can reach rents of $100 per sq ft. Do you think this is possible? Where is BDL shaking out in your pre-leasing?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: The answer is it's definitely possible. Bradley is not at $100 a sq ft today, but let's see how that goes. Remember, these are pre-leases that are way out. We think the willingness to pay when we're ready to open and there's very short supply will hopefully be significantly higher. Remember also that the closer you get to New York City, the higher the rents on those airports. Of the four New York airports, Bradley is actually the farthest from New York City. That's actually a significant repositioning flight from Bradley to New York and back. The big answer is yes, we do think that's possible.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Alan Jackson. Two questions. Can you please provide a status update on when Sky Harbour expects to receive investment-grade ratings? I believe the original target was the end of this year. Second question. In general, what percentage of the portfolio leases are expected to expire in 2026? Should we expect the same step-up in rental revenue on the second term of the lease as discussed in prior calls?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Very good question. I'll answer the first one. Tal will take the second one. In terms of the first one, as you heard us say before, we're very conscious that we want to take the program to investment-grade ratings. We want to arrive to the ratings with our best foot forward to not just be a triple B minus hanging by the balance, but be a very strong triple B minus. If you let me, I'm going to make the case with Ryan that we should go right to triple B, but let me temper also everybody's expectations.
The idea here is that now that we're completing the leasing of these three new campuses, and then we open up Opa-Locka to phase 2, and then we finish Addison in the next year, next summer is really where we want to approach the ratings, is when we're basically now going to show the full power of the cash flow generation of these various campuses, and that we have basically completed and taken away the construction risk of this portfolio. We believe that that's the opportune time to arrive to the ratings and seek the triple B minus and hopefully triple B ratings. Tal?
Tal Keinan, CEO and Chair of the Board, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Yeah. Alan, I don't know what the actual percentage of portfolio leases that we're expected to expire in 2026. What I'll say is it's more significant because if you look at the mature campuses, Houston, Miami, Nashville, you'll see that the average tenor on those leases is very long. Yeah, I don't know exactly what it is, but I'm guessing more than five years because those are campuses that are in a relatively permanent state, right? We're kind of much closer to finished cycling out of the shorter-term leases where we've compromised both on the identity of the resident and on the revenue per sq ft. The new campuses are in that first phase, right? Dallas, Denver, Phoenix are all in that phase where our objective is to get to 100% occupancy first with compromises, at least on the shorter-term leases, and then go back and recycle.
We do think you're going to get those step-ups, perhaps even higher step-ups here because that was not the deliberate strategy in Miami, Houston, and Nashville.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Philip Restau. What are your thoughts on new locations for 2026?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Philip, thanks. That's probably one of the areas where we think we should be playing our cards as close as possible to our vest. Probably the most proprietary thing that we do is site acquisition in the company. Again, we're structured in a way that we really couldn't find any other company, couldn't find people to hire who have this skill set to do the type of site acquisition we do at airports across the country. The targeting methodology is key to that. It's not always so obvious which airports we should be going after and which airports we actually are going after. Apologies, I'm not going to get any more specific on that other than to say the primary focus is on tier one airports.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Next question is from Tess Chekho. Your projected DSCR is three basis points above your covenant level in 2026. How do you weigh the probability of a cure in the case of a delay or slow leasing?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yes. Thank you for the question. It's important for those of you guys following the obligated group and we, of course, have been slower or a little bit delayed in terms of delivery of these campuses than at the time that we projected this portfolio four years ago now when we did the bond deal. Construction costs, as you all know, have been higher. As you know, we all basically met that with additional equity into the portfolio. The most important thing, as Tal has mentioned before and we mentioned prior calls, is that rents ended up being higher than what we forecasted and higher on a % value basis than the cost increases. Thus, debt service coverage, when you look out into the future, is actually higher than what we forecasted at the time of the bond issuance four years ago.
As we mentioned earlier in the press release and as our team discussed, we just filed the "pivot" in the obligated group, bringing the second phase of Addison into the obligated group and pushing out the Centennial phase 2. As part of that, you're required to file an updated market and feasibility report, basically, on the entire portfolio of properties. I encourage everybody to look at the MSRP filing that we did today and be able to look at this comprehensive report that has a lot of information regarding all our campuses. Obviously, it's their assumptions, their work, and so on, but it gives you a sense of what coverage is going to be in the future. We're very comfortable that the debt service coverage covenant test will be met in terms of compliance. Next question.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Pat McCann with Noble Capital Markets. Can you elaborate on the statement that 2026 will be focused on max revenue capture?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. Thanks, Pat. If you think about it, we have a defined threshold that we've published that we want to see double-digit yield on costs on the basis of current revenues at an airport and our projected construction costs at that airport. If you only use that criterion, there are 200 airports in the country where you can do that. I'm not going to name any airports specifically, but there are a lot of attractive airports in the country. Now that we have our methodology in the place that we want it and we have existing processes at the top airports in the country, we want to shift our focus, at least for the time being, to the airports where you can get much more than just double-digit yield on cost on those airports.
As I've said here before, the denominator of yield on cost, which is primarily construction cost, right, because OPEX is pretty low in our business, that construction cost varies within a fairly tight range across the country, right? It's not double in one place what it is in another, whereas the numerator, the revenue, is very significant. We're in the real estate business, right? It's primarily about location. As we're in a place where I don't think we've still seen real competition come into our space, but we're anticipating it. I mean, we're on these calls every quarter, and people are seeing the numbers of what this business looks like. We're sure there are going to be other players in our space. We would like to be in the best 30-40 airports in the country before we have robust competition.
We'll compete for the remainder, right? We'll still be doing those airports, will still be out there. I think that's the appropriate shift. By the way, by the time we get to those airports, the hope is that our construction costs through prototyping, manufacturing, value engineering, everything that we're doing to get that construction cost down will be significantly lower, which now increases the universe of airports where you can achieve those double-digit yields on cost. Hopefully we get there. Cost of capital, of course, will also be a factor in that. For the time being, call it 2026, we think the focus should be on getting the best airports in the country first, then circle back.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question comes from Dave Storms. Do you see a greater % increase between first and second leases of sq ft that is private and compared to sq ft that is semi-private?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: In general, we're migrating to a more semi-private model, again, because of the occupancy rates. We do see that there are flight departments in the country who recognize, "Hey, look, you can get to 130% occupancy on this airport like we are on San Jose today." Privacy is important enough to me that I'm going to pay you a 30% premium per square foot than what you're getting there, which is great for us, and we're happy to have that as well. Increasingly, we are migrating to a more semi-private weighted model.
Tim Herr, Treasurer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Also, if I may, it has to do also with our prototyping so much bigger. And it allows, obviously, the ability to do semi-private. And as we have discussed in the past, semi-private has the punch in terms of being able to get occupancy theoretically in that Sky Harbour 34 all the way to 140% of economic occupancy. Next question.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: Your next question is from Connor Keim. Do you expect to begin pre-leasing OPF2 in the coming quarters?
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Yeah. So we've already begun leasing Opa-Locka 2. I don't know that we exactly call it pre-leasing because we're already there, and a number of the new residents coming into Opa-Locka phase 2 are actually currently phase 1 residents. We're very happy because there's a big waiting list on phase 1, so it's relatively straightforward to backfill those hangars also at higher rents. That's already in progress. What we've called pre-leasing is really what we're doing on these fresh campuses like Bradley and Dulles.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: There are no further questions at this time. Mr. Gonzalez, I'd now like to turn the call back over to you.
Tiffany, Conference Operator: Thank you, Operator. Thank you to all of you for joining us this afternoon and for your interest in Sky Harbour. Additional information may be found on our website at www.skyharbor.group. You can always reach out directly with any additional questions through the email investors@skyharbor.group. Thank you again for your participation. With this, we have concluded our webcast. Thank you, Operator.
Michael Schmitt, Chief Accounting Officer, Sky Harbour Group Corporation: This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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